Justin Herbert
Justin Herbert
23-Year-Old QuarterbackQB
Los Angeles Chargers
2021 Fantasy Outlook
It took an errant needle poke to Tyrod Taylor's lung to get Herbert his first start last season in Week 2, but he quickly showed he should have been the starter all along. The sixth overall pick in the 2020 draft, Herbert set numerous NFL rookie records, including most TD passes (31) and most passing yards per game (289.1). He became the youngest player in NFL history with 30 TD passes in a season and was the fourth rookie with 4,000 passing yards. Scouts questioned his touch on deep balls coming out of Oregon, but Herbert had few issues capitalizing with his cannon arm, connecting for 10 TD passes on attempts 20-plus yards (3rd) and completing eight passes that went for at least 50 yards (T-1st). He was also good under pressure, completing 54.9 percent of his attempts with an on-target rate of 63.4 percent, both third in the league. And his 4.68 speed added fantasy value as he rushed for five touchdowns (T-6th). Part of Herbert's work last year was the result of volume (39.7 attempts per game, 3rd), as his bad-pass percentage ranked 26th (20.2) and his average target depth was 25th (7.8 yards). But new offensive coordinator Joe Lombardi, who ran a pass-happy offense in Detroit in 2014-15 before serving as Saints QB coach the last five years, could help Herbert improve in those areas without sacrificing too much volume. And Herbert still has quality weapons in Austin Ekeler, Keenan Allen, Mike Williams and former Saints TE Jared Cook. The Chargers also upgraded the offensive line, signing All-Pro center Corey Linsley and left guard Matt Feiler and drafting left tackle Rashawn Slater 13th overall. Herbert, who finished QB9 last season, easily could jump into the top 5 of fantasy QBs this year. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#66.31
ADP
$Signed a four-year, $26.58 million contract with the Chargers in July of 2020.
Caps record-setting rookie year
QBLos Angeles Chargers
January 3, 2021
Herbert completed 22 of 31 pass attempts for 302 yards and three touchdowns in Sunday's 38-21 win over the Chiefs. He also carried the ball six times for nine yards and an additional score.
ANALYSIS
Herbert ends the season with NFL rookie records for most passing touchdowns (31), most total touchdowns (36), most completions (396), most 300-yard games (eight) and most games with multiple passing touchdowns (10). He was also 39 yards shy of setting the single-season record for most passing yards by a rookie. Those accolades become all the more impressive when considering the 22-year-old started only 15 games, losing out the training-camp battle to veteran Tyrod Taylor before an unfortunate medical accident pressed the rookie into action. The main question to be answered in 2021 will be if Herbert can continue this type of production with a new coordinator and head coach, or if the Chargers will opt to bring back Anthony Lynn for one more season despite numerous strategical gaffes during his tenure in that role. Whatever does end up happening on the coaching side of things, it's clear Herbert has cemented himself as one of the top young quarterbacks in the NFL.
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NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Justin Herbert's 2020 advanced stats compare to other quarterbacks?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
  • Bad Pass %
    The percentage of passes that were considered to be poorly thrown.
  • Avg Target Depth
    The average number of yards thrown per pass by the quarterback – including incomplete passes.
  • Sack Rate
    The percentage of dropbacks where the quartback was sacked. The longer the bar below, the more often they are sacked relative to other QBs.
  • Avg Receiver YAC
    The average number of yards after the catch that receivers gained on passes thrown by this quarterback.
  • Receiver Drop %
    The percentage of passes dropped by receivers on passes thrown by this quarterback. The longer the bar, the more sure-handed his receivers have been.
Bad Pass %
20.2%
 
Avg Target Depth
7.8 Yds
 
Sack Rate
5.1%
 
Avg Receiver YAC
5.8 Yds
 
Receiver Drop %
4.7%
 
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2020
2020 NFL Game Log
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Scoring
Standard
PPR
Half PPR
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Snap Counts
Snap %
Los Angeles ChargersChargers 2020 QB Snap Distribution See more data like this | See last season's snap counts
J.Justin Herbert
#% of Team Snaps

109693%
756%
20%
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2020 Justin Herbert Split Stats
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Measurables Review View College Player Page
How do Justin Herbert's measurables compare to other quarterbacks?
This section compares his draft workout metrics with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average.
Height
6' 6"
 
Weight
237 lbs
 
40-Yard Dash
4.68 sec
 
Shuttle Time
4.46 sec
 
Cone Drill
7.06 sec
 
Vertical Jump
35.5 in
 
Broad Jump
123 in
 
Hand Length
10.00 in
 
Arm Length
32.88 in
 
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Justin Herbert
NFL: Rookie Redraft Rankings
48 days ago
With easily the highest projected workload from scrimmage, Najee Harris ranks atop the 2021 rankings for the rookie class.
NFL Draft: Day 2 Fantasy Fallout
51 days ago
Joe Bartel surveys the landscape after Day 2 of the NFL Draft. Elijah Moore was the first WR selected Friday, but does that mean he's the best among other fantasy prospects?
Best Ball Journal: Last-Round Targets
67 days ago
Dan Arnold might function mostly like a wide receiver in Carolina, making him an interesting best ball option in the final rounds at tight end.
Best Ball Journal: Eight Fades
76 days ago
Although he's one of the league's most exciting receivers, Brandon Aiyuk's current price tag acts as if George Kittle and Deebo Samuel don't exist.
NFL Free Agency: Thursday Report
95 days ago
Another domino fell in the wide receiver market Thursday, with former Houston standout Will Fuller landing in Miami on a one-year deal. Also, Allen Robinson signs the franchise tag with Chicago.
2020 Fantasy Outlook
Herbert, the third quarterback drafted this year at sixth overall, looks like the ideal NFL QB at 6-6, 236, with plus athleticism and 4.68 speed in the 40. But he has some issues to overcome before the Chargers crown him heir apparent to Philip Rivers. Herbert has a rifle for an arm to attack downfield but, according to scouts, lacks touch on his deep ball, and his footwork and mechanics are apt to break down under pressure. Despite being a four-year starter at Oregon, Herbert was noted for his inconsistency - even as senior. In his final four games, he stumbled to 58.9 percent passing with four TDs, three INTs and 202 yards per game. And while his timed speed was third fastest among quarterbacks at the combine, Herbert seemed to reluctant to tuck it and run as a collegian. He also needs to adapt to an NFL route tree after playing in Oregon's limited offensive scheme, though that shouldn't be too high a hurdle for the winner of last year's "Academic Heisman." Plus, with Tyrod Taylor entering camp as the starter, Herbert has time to develop his game before likely taking the reins later in the year. When he does, he'll have an improved offensive line protecting him with Mike Pouncey returning from injury, joined by the newly acquired Trai Turner and Bryan Bulaga. He also has excellent weapons to target, including Keenan Allen and Austin Ekeler. Herbert might not be NFL-ready when the season opens, but time is on his side.
More Fantasy News
Sets rookie TD record
QBLos Angeles Chargers
December 27, 2020
Herbert completed 21 of 33 passes for 253 yards and a touchdown in Sunday's 19-16 win over the Broncos. He added 26 rushing yards on four carries.
ANALYSIS
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Plays hero again in win
QBLos Angeles Chargers
December 17, 2020
Herbert completed 22 of 32 passes for 314 yards with two touchdowns and no interceptions in the Chargers' 30-27 overtime win over the Raiders on Thursday night.
ANALYSIS
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Leads last-second win
QBLos Angeles Chargers
December 13, 2020
Herbert completed 36 of 44 attempts for 243 yards, two touchdowns and one interception in Sunday's 20-17 win over the Falcons.
ANALYSIS
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Struggles in loss to Patriots
QBLos Angeles Chargers
December 6, 2020
Herbert completed 26 of 53 pass attempts for 209 yards and two interceptions during Sunday's 45-0 loss to the Patriots.
ANALYSIS
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Inefficient in loss
QBLos Angeles Chargers
November 29, 2020
Herbert converted 31 of his 52 pass attempts for 316 yards, one touchdown and one interception in Sunday's 27-17 loss to the Bills.
ANALYSIS
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