It's been a tumultuous career in New York for Smith, to say the least. A second-round pick in 2013, he played all 16 games as a rookie, but then had trouble keeping an aging Michael Vick on the bench in 2014, and barely played last season after a locker-room fight with a teammate left Smith with a broken jaw that sidelined him for six weeks and opened the door for Ryan Fitzpatrick to seize the starting job. From a physical standpoint, Smith has all the tools to succeed in the NFL. He's got the mobility to escape pressure and move the chains as a scrambler, and the arm strength to stretch the field or fit the ball into tight coverage windows. However, his pocket awareness was rudimentary coming out of a college spread offense, and his shaky footwork leaves his accuracy far below modern NFL standards. Smith is still young enough to turn things around, and as Fitzpatrick proved in 2015, the Jets have the weapons in the passing game to make even average QBs look good.

The good news is that Smith cut his interceptions from 21 in 2013 to 13 last year. The bad news is pretty much everything else. Smith threw only 13 touchdowns in 13 starts and was benched midseason for Michael Vick. His dismal YPA did not improve from the previous year, and his completion percentage the last two years (57.5) ranks 37th out of 41 qualified quarterbacks. With a new regime in town this season, Smith was expected to compete for the starting job with Ryan Fitzpatrick, until he was punched by a teammate during training camp. Smith is now expected to miss at least the first two games of the season with a broken jaw, leaving Fitzpatrick as the starter by default. If he eventually gets healthy and takes the job back, Smith will at least have an improved supporting cast after the Jets traded for Brandon Marshall and drafted deep-threat Devin Smith in the second round. Those two join last season's leading receiver Eric Decker and 6-5 tight end Jace Amaro. Smith is physically gifted — quick release, strong arm, nice touch, good athleticism — but hasn't demonstrated the ability to consistently read defenses or make good decisions.

As long as he holds the starting role over Michael Vick, Smith should establish decent QB2 value. His average of 6.9 YPA last year was respectable considering his extremely weak supporting cast, and his rushing production (366 yards and six touchdowns) was rather impressive. He'll likely throw with significantly better efficiency now that the Jets added Eric Decker, Jace Amaro and Chris Johnson as pass-catching threats.

Smith's draft-day experience didn't go as planned, and now he'll be competing with a quarterback who was over-drafted in Mark Sanchez. Smith probably needs a year to sit, but he might not have that luxury with the Jets. Look for the rookie to run the ball more often than he did in college. Without established playmakers on his side, though, he’s a long shot to thrive as a passer.