Francesco Molinari

Francesco Molinari

41-Year-Old Golfer
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2024 Fantasy Outlook
There was no outlook written for Francesco Molinari in 2024. Check out the latest news below for more on his current fantasy value.
Best result since 2019
January 15, 2024
Molinari fired an eight-under 63 in the final round of the Dubai Invitational to secure solo fifth place.
ANALYSIS
Molinari came out of the gates hot on Sunday with birdies on each of the first four holes. He made two more at 10 and 11 before his only bogey of the day on 14. The 2018 Open Championship winner would close the week out with birdies at 16, 17 and 18 to notch his best result anywhere since a third place finish at the 2019 WGC-Match Play. It's been a struggle for Molinari who last year spent time on both the PGA Tour and DP World Tour. He had missed the cut in eight of his previous 11 starts coming into the week, so this was a much needed result to get some confidence back. Molinari will tee it up again at the Hero Dubai Desert Classic next week.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
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2010
Molinari had a very average year by his standards and did just enough to sneak inside the top 150. Since joining the PGA Tour in 2014, he’s typically played between 15 and 20 events per year (17 in 2022) and usually ends up finishing somewhere just outside the top 100 in earnings. Both of those things held true again this year, and it would be reasonable to expect a very similar outcome in 2023. One possibility of note: Molinari could elect to play more DP World Tour events as he narrows his U.S. schedule.
Molinari played a light schedule last season, mostly spreading out his 15 events throughout the year but the results were mostly disappointing. He missed more cuts than he made, including his last three, but was able to post three top-10s. Molinari has never been a good putter and his ball-striking has dipped since his stellar season in 2017-18. It's hard to expect a sudden resurgence from the 38-year-old going forward.
It took Molinari a long time to finally break through on the PGA Tour and the fact that he was able to back-up his brilliant 2018 season with a strong season in 2019 was very impressive. This past season however was nothing near impressive. Even prior to the break, Molinari was struggling, but the fact that he failed to come back at the resumption of play left a big question mark entering this season. With that said, his number is too low to pass up for salary cap purposes and he's definitely a "must-have" in that format this year.
Molinari had a breakout season in 2018, as he won his first major and earned over $5 million. After claiming the Arnold Palmer this past March, it looked like his 2018 was no fluke. As he held the lead in the final round of the Masters a month later, it was safe to wonder if he was taking control of the PGA Tour. His season pivoted at that point however as he went on to finish 5th at the Masters and never really regained his best form after that. Age really isn't a concern yet for Molinari as he'll turn 37 this season, but the fact that he only played 15 events on the PGA Tour last season is a little concerning. Molinari is legit, but his limited schedule combined with his high number from this past season makes him a questionable salary cap selection this season.
Molinari has been around for a while, but it wasn't until last season that he captured the attention of the entire golf world. Molinari did so by capturing the Open Championship. Just a month prior, he had picked-up his first official victory at the Quicken Loans. For the span of about four weeks, Molinari was the best golfer on the planet. Not surprisingly, Molinari was unable to keep up that pace and he faded towards the end of the season. There is no reason to think that Molinari's game will fall off greatly this season, but there's also little to no chance that he can improve upon his numbers from last season. With that in mind, he's not a good salary cap option this week. As for other formats, Molinari has plenty of value as he'll compete at all the majors and WGC events.
Molinari took a huge leap forward last season, going from more than $1 million in earnings during the 2015-16 season to just under $3 million in earnings last season. He also jumped from five top-25s to 14 top-25s last season. The addition of a runner-up finish at the PGA Championship did wonders for his overall numbers as well as it nearly vaulted Molinari into the top-30. As for the upcoming season, it's hard to imagine that Molinari has another significant jump in him as his previous jump was so large. As such, he's not a great salary cap option this season.
Molinari has been a staple on the European Tour for quite a while now and when he made the move to full-time on the PGA Tour, big things were expected. After two years on the PGA Tour, Molinari has yet to make a splash. He's spent the first two seasons hovering around the $1 million mark in earnings and it doesn't look like that number is about to jump any time soon. With that in mind, he doesn't hold a lot of value in salary cap leagues, but considering his status, he holds a little extra value in draft leagues, where he should go near the 8th-round.
Francesco and his brother Edoardo have been mainstays on the golf scene for years now, with Francesco ending the 2013-2014 PGA Tour season with the better results. He finished the season with only two top-10s, a T5 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational Presented by Mastercard and a T6 at The Players Championship. However, of his 12 PGA Tour starts, seven were in the top-25, and over time he accumulated enough points to get his PGA Tour card. The concern with Molinari, however, has nothing to do with his 2014 season. Instead, it’s his lack of knowledge of PGA Tour venues. Because he’s been a non-member since he started qualifying for majors, Molinari’s PGA Tour schedule has consisted solely of the majors, the WGCs, and the events surrounding those such as Doral. However to be successful on the PGA Tour you need to perform well in all parts of the schedule, including at many venues Molinari has never seen before. There’s a reason why many guys win in their second and third year on tour: that process takes time. Expect the same for Molinari.
Molinari is a top player on the European Tour, but that success has not translated to the PGA TOUR in recent years. Although he has made a good percentage of cuts, he's lacked the high-end finishes in the states. Expect more of the same this season with Molinari showing up here and there on the leaderboard, but not accomplishing much in the big picture.
Last year was a tale of three seasons for Molinari. The first was impressive with a Top-15 at the Honda Tournament of Champions and a Top-3 at the WGC Cadillac Championship. The second was horrifying with a string of missed cuts that lasted from the Masters through the British Open. The final act was just OK with no missed cuts but no Top-10s, either. Of all the acts of his 2011 season, the middle one was the most puzzling as Molinari is too good to miss that many cuts in a row. Expect more consistency this season and maybe an appearance on a Sunday leaderboard at a major.
The other Molinari brother fared about the same as his brother, Edoardo, last season, but without the top-3 finish. Francesco Molinari's top finish on the PGA TOUR last season was a T9 at the Players Championship. Much like his brother, though, Francesco had little success at the four majors. He'll mostly play in Europe in 2011.
Molinari could be a nice sleeper pick. He played well at the U.S. Open, the British Open and the PGA Championship where he earned a top-10. He capped the season with a win at the Omega Mission Hills World Cup, but that was an unofficial event. Still, a win is a win and will certainly help his confidence. Francesco (OWGR #38) and brother Edoardo (OWGR #48) will be playing in the 2010 Masters based on their world rankings at the end of 2009.
More Fantasy News
Will play at PGA Championship
May 10, 2023
Molinari is listed in the field for next week's PGA Championship at Oak Hill after receiving a special invitation by the PGA of America.
ANALYSIS
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Misses cut by eight shots at VTO
April 4, 2023
Molinari carded a two-day total of eight-over-par to miss the cut at last week's Valero Texas Open by eight shots.
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Has to settle for T5 in Abu Dhabi
January 24, 2023
Molinari struggled to a one-under 71 in the final round of the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship to finish in a share of fifth place.
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Struggles with Sunday 78
June 5, 2022
Molinari recorded a six-over 78 in the final round of the Memorial Tournament to finish in a share of 26th place.
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Closing 64 at TPC Craig Ranch
May 17, 2022
Molinari fired an eight-under 64 on Sunday at the AT&T Byron Nelson to finish 18-under and tied for 17th.
ANALYSIS
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