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Past Fantasy Outlooks
Few players on the PGA Tour have seen the peaks and valleys that Choi has over the past decade. He had a multiple-win season in 2007, which resulted in over $4.5 million in earnings, yet two years later he made less than $1 million. Two years after that, he again was near the $4.5 million mark, and the following year, he was again below $1 million. His low came in 2015 when he couldn't even crack $500k. Choi remains a wild-card, but it's safe to say his best days are behind him. With that in mind, he's not a good option for salary cap leagues this season. In drafts, he should go near the 10th-round.
Only four seasons ago, Choi earned over $4 million, but he failed to follow that up with much of anything. In fact, in the two years that followed, Choi failed to crack the $1 million mark. Last year he showed signs of improvement, but as is the case with everyone out here, Choi is getting older and at 44, his skills are bound to deteriorate. Yes, he looked better last season, but even if his game is coming back, he can only go so high at this point. He could improve upon his 2014 number, but probably not by much. As such, he's only worth a quick glance in salary cap leagues. In draft leagues he should go in the 7th round.
Is Choi on the back-end of his career. He's been a trendy sleeper pick the past couple seasons because everyone knows how good this guy can be, but will we see that form again? Last year it seemed like a good bet that Choi would improve upon his previous season and although the bar was set really low, he barely crept above his 2012 number. Choi will turn 44 in May, so it's possible that age has finally caught up with him. In fact, it's probably the main reason behind his declining play. Because of that, he's not a good option in salary cap leagues this year. In draft formats he should go in the 80-90 range.
Choi started the 2012 season the way he ended the 2011 season. He finished top-5 at the Hyundai Tournament of Champions and cashed a check for nearly $250K. From that point, though, Choi never resembled the player who won more than $4 million in 2012. That's right, from more than $4 million in 2012 to less than $1 million the following season. It's not often a player falls that far without an injury, but Choi somehow pulled it off. While his numbers from 2011 might have been inflated, he's certainly better than what he showed last year, and as such, he's a great pick for salary cap teams this year. In draft leagues, expect Choi to go in the fifth round.
Anyone out there aware that Choi made more than $4 million last year? For some season, Choi is always under the radar. He's been a solid player for almost a decade now, but he's rarely mentioned as one of the best in the world. That's part of the deal, though, when you haven't won a major. To his credit, Choi did capture his biggest win yet last season at The Players, and that could have a long-term impact on his future. He's beaten world-class fields already, now he needs to do it during one of those all-important four weeks of the season. Believe it or not, Choi's 2011 season wasn't even his best. He earned more than $4.5 million in 2007, so we know can improve on his number from last year. Will he? Not likely, if at all.
Choi had a nice 2010 season, but seems to have lost some of that umph that made him a multiple PGA TOUR winner. Choi rebounded well from a disappointing 2009 season but failed to earn a victory. He played well at the beginning of 2010, including a nice run at the Masters, and he closed out the year in style with a couple strong finishes during the FedExCup, but something seems to be a little off. Perhaps his age is catching up. He turned 40 last year, and few golfers improve their game after age 40. Don't expect a huge drop-off in production from Choi this season, but don't expect an increase either. Choi does not shine in any statistical category, but he does fairly well with GIR.
Though Choi won twice in 2007 and won at least one tournament each year from 2005-2008, he struggled last season and ended up 86th in the rankings, his lowest finish in the last five seasons. Choi has done this before, though. He won twice on the PGA TOUR in 2002 and failed to win a single event the following year; but he still managed to take in nearly $2 million in earnings that season. Choi's drop off was more severe this time around, but there's nothing to suggest that last season was anything other than a fluke. Expect Choi to regain his success in 2010 and end up with a trophy at least once.
K.J. Choi carried the momentum of a fabulous 2007 season into 2008 when he won at the Sony Open, but the momentum soon ran out and Choi finished the season without earning another top-four. Choi was overvalued heading into 2008, but he's right about where he should be now. He disappears too often and can't be relied upon like some of the names that surround him on the money list.
K.J. Choi had won twice during a season prior to last year, but the events that he captured last year made it his best year ever. Choi won the Memorial and Tiger's event the AT&T National. Both events featured a strong field and Choi was able to come out on top each time. Choi's performance though has been up and down over the last few years, and he might have set the bar a little too high to reach this year. Prior to last season, Choi was consistently around the $2 million mark. Look for him to find some middle ground between his 2007 number and $2 million.
Choi was consistent in 2006. Consistently mediocre. For the second consecutive season, Choi salvaged what would have been considered a disappointing season with a win late in the fall session. That's not a good sign when thinking about drafting him for 2007. Like Tom Pernice Jr., he's a better player late in the year. You might be better off passing on him in the draft and trying to pick him up later in the year.
Choi is another hard player to peg. Through the first nine months of the year Choi was heading for a sub-$1 million year. Then he won the Chrysler Classic of Greensboro. That win accounted for more than half of his 2006 Projected Earnings. We don't usually recommend players that have more than half of their earnings from one win, but Choi is different. He's an established player who was simply having an off year. With or without a win he should crack the $2 million barrier again.
Choi has hovered around the $2 million in earnings mark ever since his breakthrough season of 2002. What we have yet to see is whether or not he can get past that mark. He has not won since that 2002 season which leads us to believe that significantly topping $2 million is going to be hard for Choi. If you spend $2 million on him you have to hope he hits that hot run somewhere and wins twice. We don't think that is going happen, and look for another solid but unspectacular year packed with thirrd, fourth and fifth place finishes.
A new caddie, a new personal trainer, and a new slim frame hope to propel Choi back to his 2002 type of year when he won twice on tour. A long hitter, but his putter deserts him sometimes.
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