UFC 289 Results and Live MMA Odds: Amanda Nunes vs. Irene Aldana

Amanda Nunes, the reigning queen of the Octagon, has decided to hang up her gloves.

The announcement came in the wake of her triumphant victory over Irene Aldana, successfully defending her women's bantamweight title at UFC 289, held in Vancouver this past Saturday. Nunes, considered by many as the most formidable women's fighter ever, walks away from the sport as a dual-division champion, retaining both her bantamweight and featherweight titles.

Nunes' supremacy was clear in her bout against Aldana at UFC 289, which marked both the inception and culmination of her second reign as the women's bantamweight champion. The Brazil-born dynamo displayed her mettle round after round, as her Mexican adversary failed to match her pace. An array of boxing, kicks, and wrestling techniques from Nunes left Aldana reeling, culminating in a knock-out combination of punches in Round 4, followed by a display of domination in wrestling in Round 5. The final scorecards read 50-44, 50-44 and 50-43, reflecting Nunes' clear upper hand.

Nunes leaves behind an unparalleled legacy as the most accomplished female MMA fighter of all time, and arguably one of the best fighters in the sport's history. Her career highlights include two UFC women's bantamweight championships and a featherweight title, along with notable victories over MMA greats like Ronda Rousey, Cris Cyborg, Miesha Tate, Holly Holm, and Valentina Shevchenko. She retires with a formidable professional record of 23 wins and 5 losses.

As Nunes steps away from the UFC, Brazil finds itself devoid of a world champion. Nunes left a poignant message for her Brazilian contemporaries, challenging them to fill the void she leaves.

"Brazilian fighters, pull yourselves together!" Nunes urged during her post-fight interview. "I believe in you!"

As Nunes steps away, her unprecedented achievements in UFC stand as a towering testament to her skill and fortitude.

UFC 289 Card and Results:

• Amanda Nunes def. Irene Aldana via unanimous decision (50-44, 50-44, 50-43)
• Charles Oliveira def. Beneil Dariush via first-round TKO (punches)
• Mike Malott def. Adam Fugitt via second-round submission (guillotine choke)
• Dan Ige def. Nate Landwehr via unanimous decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
• Marc-Andre Barriault def. Eryk Anders via unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
• Nassourdine Imavov vs. Chris Curtis ruled a no contest due to an accidental headbutt
• Jasmine Jasudavicius def. Miranda Maverick via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
• Aiemann Zahabi def. Aoriqileng via first-round knockout (punch)
• Kyle Nelson def. Blake Bilder via unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
• Steve Erceg def. David Dvorak via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
• Diana Belbitag def. Maria Oliveira via unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

UFC 289 Betting Trends

With 7 of the 10 completed fights having gone the distance at UFC 289, the 'Fight Goes the Distance' prop improves to 112-116-3 for +40.69 units profit on the year in 2023, making it the most profitable betting trends to back in mixed martial arts.

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Amanda Nunes (c) def. Irene Aldana via Decision (unanimous) (50–44, 50–44, 50–43) 

The first round started with Nunes launching body and low kicks at Aldana, who kept up a high guard. Nunes continued to push forward with a well-devised strategy, involving front kicks and jabs, providing her with a clear edge. In the second round, Nunes successfully landed a series of jabs, knee stomps, and low kicks, managing a takedown and attempting a pair of standing elbows. Despite Aldana's resilient calf kick and jab, Nunes maintained control.

Entering the third round, Nunes had found her groove, skillfully blocking or evading all of Aldana's retaliations. Nunes gained the upper hand with a takedown, landing on top in half guard. The fourth round persisted with Nunes dominating with heavy punches and low kicks. Aldana struggled to deliver the required volume to stage a comeback. The fifth and final round commenced with Nunes expertly executing a double-leg against the fence and landing on top, throwing short punches. Despite Aldana's efforts, Nunes remained relentless, securing her victory by unanimous decision in the end.

With the win, Nunes wins her fourth fight by decision in her last nine UFC appearances dating back to 2018. A $100 bettor who has backed the 'Nunes by Decision' prop in each of her last nine fights has turned a profit of +$895.

After the bout, Nunes announced her retirement from the UFC. She will go down as the single great female fighter of all time, and quite possibly one of the greatest fighters to ever step foot into the UFC octagon.

Nunes will leave the UFC with an impressive record of accomplishments including holding the UFC Women's Bantamweight Championship twice with six successful title defenses and a record number of 11 wins in UFC title fights. She is the first woman to concurrently hold two UFC titles (Bantamweight and Featherweight) and to defend both while holding them simultaneously. Nunes also has the fourth-longest single UFC title reign and the longest combined title reign in UFC history. With the most wins in UFC Women's history, including 10 finishes and a streak of 12 consecutive victories, she also holds numerous records in both the Bantamweight and Featherweight divisions. Nunes has defeated seven former UFC champions and has been honored with several awards, including 'Female Fighter of the Year' in 2018 and 2019.

She will walk away from the sport with a 23-5 professional MMA record, with 13 knockout wins, 4 submissions, and 6 decisions.

Irene Aldana has had a notable run in the UFC's bantamweight division in her last eight bouts. Since 2018, she has secured victories against Talita Bernardo, Lucie Pudilová, Bethe Correia, Vanessa Melo, Ketlen Vieira, and Yana Kunitskaya. 

Aldana has just two losses over the last five years of her career in the UFC, a split decision loss to Raquel Pennington in 2019, and a unanimous decision loss to Holly Holm in October of 2020. 

Tonight's UFC women's bantamweight title fight against Amanda Nunes at UFC 289 presents a significant opportunity for Aldana to challenge in hopes of becoming the second women's UFC bantamweight champion crowned in 2023.

Irene Aldana UFC Betting Trends

In Irene Aldana's fights since 2018, several notable betting trends have emerged. Betting "Inside the Distance" has proven to be the most profitable trend, with Aldana winning 44.4% of her fights in that manner and earning a solid return of 3.06% on units invested. Additionally, Aldana's impressive Moneyline record of 77.8% showcases her ability to consistently come out on top. 

While the Fight Doesn't Go Distance prop has been less profitable, Aldana's exciting fighting style has resulted in thrilling encounters. Betting on the Under has been less successful, but still provides a slight positive return. 

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The main event of UFC 289 is up next, as Amanda Nunes takes on Irene Aldana for the UFC women's bantamweight gold. Aldana comes in as a +265 betting underdog (via FanDuel) against Nunes, who is lined at -333 on the return. 

UFC 289 Betting Trends: Women's Bantamweight Division

The betting underdog has cashed at a 38% rate since the start of 2021, going 14-23 in that stretch. A $100 bettor who has backed the dog in every fight in the UFC women's bantamweight division since the start of 2021, has earned a profit of +$17 per fight win or lose, for a total of +$642.

Underdogs

However, that trend has been iced as of late by the chalk favorite, who has won 14 of the last 20 bouts in the UFC women's bantamweight division, dating back to the start of 2022.

Betting Favorites

Meanwhile, the Over has been on a red-hot streak in the women's 135lbs division over the last three years, cashing at an 80% (44-11) rate since the start of 2020. A $100 bettor who has backed the Over in every UFC women's bantamweight bout since the start of 2020 has earned a profit of +$14 per fight, win or lose, for a total of +$766.

Overs

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Opening with power kicks, both Dariush and Oliveira initiated the match aggressively. Dariush showcased precision with straight punches, albeit stumbling from a head kick, while Oliveira, applying intense pressure, got forced against the fence. An attempt to take Dariush down saw Oliveira in the bottom half guard, soon transitioning to full guard. 

Despite Oliveira's active defense, Dariush maintained a dominant position, landing blows from the guard. Oliveira managed to regain his footing with an upkick, pushing Dariush to the fence. 

A brief separation saw Oliveira land a potent head kick, unleashing a punch combination that sent Dariush to the canvas. Oliveira's attempted rear naked choke failed, prompting a hailstorm of punches and hammerfists on Dariush, leading to the referee's intervention. The final result was a TKO victory for Oliveira over Dariush.

With the win, Oliveira has won 8 of his last 10 UFC bouts by way of stoppage, turning a profit of +8.39 units on the 'Inside the Distance' prop along the way.

Charles Oliveira has had an eventful UFC career, achieving numerous notable milestones. Oliveira holds the record for most submission wins and has claimed the UFC Lightweight Championship. Despite a recent loss, Oliveira's journey in the octagon continues, as he takes on Beneil Dariush for a chance to rematch Islam Makhachev for UFC gold.

Charles Oliveira UFC Betting Trends

Charles Oliveira has showcased impressive betting trends in the UFC Lightweight division since 2019. With a 77.8% chance of fights ending inside the distance and an 88.9% win rate overall on the moneyline, Oliveira has proven his ability to finish opponents and dominate in the octagon. 

Betting on Oliveira's fights to not go the distance or end under the set round limit has also yielded profitable results. These trends present exciting opportunities for bettors looking to capitalize on Oliveira's performances in the Lightweight division.

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Beneil Dariush has had a successful UFC run since 2018, showcasing his skills with wins, including impressive submissions and knockout victories. Dariush has also faced challenges such as injuries and cancellations. Nevertheless, he has continued to perform at a high level, earning accolades like Performance of the Night and Fight of the Night honors. Dariush's upcoming fight against Charles Oliveira is highly anticipated and marks another opportunity for a chance to advanced towards a UFC title shot.

Beneil Dariush UFC Betting Trends

Beneil Dariush has been a strong contender in the UFC since 2018. With an impressive win percentage of 88.9% on the moneyline, he has secured eight victories and suffered only one loss. This has translated to a solid return on investment (ROI) of 1.50%. 

While Dariush's success rate in winning by decision is slightly lower at 44.4%, his ability to finish fights inside the distance is evident with a similar win percentage. Betting on the under and fights not going the distance has yielded more modest returns but still offers potential profit opportunities.

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Get ready for an epic clash in the UFC Lightweight division as two top-ranked fighters square off. Beneil Dariush is determined to secure a title shot by defeating the former champion Charles Oliveira. 

According to UFC odds, this matchup is anticipated to be a closely contested battle between these seasoned UFC veterans. Dariush currently holds a slight edge as the favorite, with odds at -120. However, recent betting activity has shifted the odds, now placing Dariush at -150 and Oliveira at +125. Expect an intense showdown between these skilled competitors.

When it comes to the Lightweight division, there are intriguing patterns in betting that are worth noting. Let's delve deeper into two key factors: Fight Goes Distance and Over.

UFC 289 Betting Trends: Lightweight Division

Fight Goes Distance: In the Lightweight division since 2023, approximately 48.1% of fights have gone the distance. Out of the 27 matches analyzed, 13 bouts reached the final bell, while 14 concluded earlier. Betting on fights going the distance has proven to be moderately profitable, resulting in a 0.79% return on investment (ROI) with a modest profit of 8.52 units.

Over: The Over bet in the Lightweight division has succeeded in approximately 55.6% of cases since 2023. Among the 27 fights examined, 15 fights exceeded the predetermined round limit, while 12 fell short. However, betting on the Over has been less lucrative, yielding a modest return of 1.41 units and an ROI of 0.13%.

Fight Goes Distance / Over

Favorites in the Lightweight division have consistently performed well across various time frames. Since 2023, their win percentage is 69.2% with a profit of 1.02 units (ROI 0.09%). The favorite in the UFC lightweight division has cashed at a significantly high rate over the last four years of UFC betting.

Favorites

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Mike Malott def. Adam Fugitt via Round 2 Submission (guillotine choke)

The fight kicked off with Fugitt missing a head kick and getting hit by a body kick from Malott who capitalized with a series of powerful attacks. After a slowed pace and several failed attempts from Fugitt, Malott dominated with swift kicks and successful counters. Despite Fugitt's takedown attempts, Malott managed to control the positions, concluding the first round with a 10-9 score in his favor. 

In the second round, Malott's commanding performance continued with his strong kicks and wrestling prowess, leaving Fugitt under pressure. In a stunning move, Malott executed a quick stutter-step and a 3-2 attack, subsequently latching onto an airtight guillotine choke, leading to Fugitt's tap out. The fight ended with Malott's decisive victory over Fugitt via a guillotine choke submission.

With the win, the betting favourite in the UFC welterweight division has won 98 of the last 145 fights dating back to 2021. Meanwhile, the Canadian fighter swept the card at UFC 289, going 5-0 on the night.

Coming up next... Charles Oliveira vs. Beniel Dariush

The face-off between Malott and Fugitt promises more than just a fight—it's an epic clash of titans. Each bringing their unique fighting styles and indomitable spirits, this bout guarantees to be a spectacle.

Malott's hard-hitting style and experience promise to give Fugitt a run for his money. Conversely, Fugitt's ground game and adaptability may hold the key to counter Malott's offensive approach. Ultimately, it will be a contest of strategy, skill, and resilience.

Both fighters hail from highly-regarded training camps. Malott hones his skills at the famous Tristar Gym in Canada, home to legends like Georges St-Pierre.

Meanwhile, Fugitt sharpens his tactics under Trevor Wittman at Onyx MMA in the United States. Wittman's tactical mastery and rigorous training regimens have produced numerous UFC champions, including Kamaru Usman and Justin Gaethje.

Mike Malott: Canada's MMA Titan

Mike Malott, fondly labeled the "Canadian Conqueror," is a force few can match in the Octagon. His explosive punches and remarkable stamina give him a distinct edge, keeping his opponents on their toes.

Hailing from Ontario, Malott kicked off his professional career in 2012 and swiftly rose to prominence in the Canadian MMA circuit. His undefeated professional streak of 6-0 underlines his skill, tenacity, and pure power.

Adam Fugitt: The Rising Star from Washington

Adam Fugitt, the so-called "American Avenger," is carving out his own path in the UFC. His effective ground and pound approach, combined with relentless striking, has seen many a rival falter in the Octagon.

Starting his MMA journey in 2014, Fugitt has consistently delivered impressive performances, gaining a solid foothold in the welterweight division. His victories, both at home and on international platforms, stand as a testament to his agility, prowess, and resolute determination.

Fight Predictions: Who Holds the Upper Hand?

Predicting the victor in this hotly-contested match-up is no easy feat. Bookmakers are slightly leaning towards Malott due to his undefeated professional record. However, Fugitt's tactical prowess and sheer determination make it risky to write him off.

UFC Betting Trends: Welterweight Division

The Over has cashed at a consistent at in the UFC welterweight division over the last four years. Dating back to 2019, the 'Over' has cashed at a 61.9% rate, earning a profit of +25.17 units along the way.

The betting favorite has come through in two-thirds of UFC welterweight fights over the last three years. Since 2020, the chalk favorite has won at a 67% rate, going 132-64. More recently, the betting favorite has been profitable over the last two years, going 97-47, turning +2.4 units profit in that stretch.

So, where do you place your bets? With BetMGM's exclusive bonus code ROTOBONUS, you can make your predictions count. Whether you're siding with the Canadian Titan or the Rising Star from Washington, make the most of this epic clash by placing your bets with BetMGM. 

Dan Ige def. Nate Landwehr via Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27)

The bout between Ige and Landwehr kicked off with a strategic first round, where Ige seemed to edge out with precision striking, especially a notable left hook towards the end. 

In Round 2, Ige continued his momentum, demonstrating sharp jabs and body shots. Landwehr amped up the pressure but found himself frequently bested in the exchanges, with Ige landing a thunderous left hook that nearly ended the contest. 

Landwehr rebounded commendably in Round 3, demonstrating resolve despite being seemingly outmatched. He managed to find his rhythm, landing cleaner shots and showcasing solid clinch work. Ultimately, Ige's early dominance led him to secure a unanimous decision victory.

With the bout going the full three rounds, the 'Fight Goes the Distance' prop in the UFC men's featherweight division improves to 14-10 in 2023, turning a profit of +10.28 units in that stretch. Register today at BetMGM using the exclusive promo code ROTOBONUS and gain access to a remarkable betting bonus of up to $1,000. 

Marc-André Barriault def. Eryk Anders via Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) 

In a thrilling display of back-and-forth action, Barriault emerged victorious over Anders by unanimous decision in a three-round bout. Barriault came out swinging with robust body kicks and powerful right-hand punches that had Anders on the defensive from the outset. Despite a few bouts of retaliatory offense from Anders, notably his knee strikes and clinch knees, Barriault effectively managed to maintain control. 

The second round saw Anders rally briefly, successfully executing a takedown and countering Barriault's combinations with his own, earning him a marginal edge. However, in the final round, Barriault managed to regain his dominance with strong punches and effective counter-punch combinations, consistently denying Anders' attempts to change levels. As the bout reached its conclusion, Barriault capped off his performance with a powerful head kick and left hook that sealed what was a solid performance by the Canadian.

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The next fight on tonight's card promises to be a showdown between featherweight powerhouses Dan Ige and Nate Landwehr.

In Focus: The Tenacious Dan Ige

Known for his lightening speed and relentless determination, Dan Ige has steadily etched his name as a formidable force in the featherweight league. An impressive record of 15 victories in 20 matches truly encapsulates his fighting brilliance and durability in the arena.

The Ascending Arc of Nate Landwehr

At the other end of the Octagon, Nate Landwehr brings his unique flavor to the table. His hard-hitting approach, coupled with his unrivaled brute strength, make him a formidable foe. With a tally of 14 wins offset by just 4 losses, Landwehr has undeniably proven his mettle in the competitive UFC environment.

A Contrasting Clash: Ige's Precision vs. Landwehr's Raw Power

Examining the fighters' tactics presents a stark contrast. Ige's key lies in his precision and agility, leveraging a balanced combination of striking and grappling that keeps his opponents off balance. On the other hand, Landwehr thrives on the sheer force of his punches, his strategy built around commanding control through raw power.

Forecasting UFC 289: The Ige vs Landwehr Clash

While Ige's swiftness and strategic prowess might lend him an early edge, it's impossible to discount the relentless power Landwehr brings to the Octagon. The eventual outcome of this face-off will likely hinge on who can better pinpoint and exploit their opponent's vulnerabilities while sustaining their own strategic advantages.

Marc-Andre Barriault, the Canadian middleweight, has gained a reputation for his aggressive fighting style and knockout power. With a professional record of 13 wins and 5 losses, Barriault has proven himself to be a formidable force in the Octagon. His striking ability, coupled with his solid takedown defense, makes him a dangerous opponent for any middleweight fighter.

Eryk Anders, hailing from the United States, brings his own set of skills and experience to this highly anticipated bout. As a former standout college football player, Anders possesses exceptional athleticism and an unrelenting fighting spirit. With a professional record of 15 wins and 5 losses, he has displayed great versatility in both striking and grappling, making him a well-rounded threat in the middleweight division.

Barriault is primarily known for his aggressive and powerful striking. His excellent boxing technique allows him to deliver heavy punches and devastating hooks that can swiftly end a fight. His striking accuracy and ability to generate knockout power from various angles make him a dangerous opponent for anyone in the Octagon.

Anders, on the other hand, is a versatile fighter with a well-rounded skill set. His background in football, athleticism, and solid understanding of mixed martial arts blend together seamlessly. Anders excels in both striking and grappling, often utilizing his wrestling skills to secure takedowns and control his opponents on the ground. His ground and pound game can be relentless, inflicting significant damage on his adversaries.

Barriault has been on an impressive run lately, showcasing his knockout power and resilience. In his last fight, he faced a tough opponent and secured a spectacular first-round knockout victory. This win boosted his confidence and solidified his position as a rising star in the middleweight division. Barriault's ability to finish fights quickly makes him a fan favorite and a dangerous opponent for anyone in the division.

Anders has also been performing well in recent outings, displaying his versatility and adaptability inside the Octagon. In his previous fight, he showcased his striking prowess by delivering a stunning second-round knockout victory. This victory further established his presence in the division and demonstrated his ability to finish fights against tough competition. Anders' ability to seamlessly transition between striking and grappling makes him a formidable threat in this matchup.

Analyzing the skills and recent performances of both fighters, this matchup promises to be an exhilarating clash between two highly skilled middleweights. While both Barriault and Anders possess the ability to finish fights, predicting the outcome of this bout with certainty is challenging.

However, based on their respective fighting styles and recent performances, we believe that Marc-Andre Barriault's aggressive striking and knockout power may give him an edge in this matchup. If he can dictate the pace and keep the fight standing, he has the potential to land significant strikes that could lead to a decisive victory.

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The betting underdog has won 4 of 5 completed bouts so far tonight at the UFC 289 prelims, turning a profit of +6.81 units along the way. Four of five completed bouts have gone the distance, with the 'Fight Goes the Distance' prop earning a profit of +1.95 units so far. 

We're only halfway through the event, but it's already shaping up to be a night of thrilling surprises. Stay tuned as we bring you more from this rollercoaster ride at UFC 289!

In the initial round of the fight, Curtis came out strong, deploying effective leg strikes, but Imavov skillfully retaliated with well-timed jabs and strategic lead-leg kicks. Despite Curtis' efforts to regain control, Imavov managed to ground him and maintain the upper hand. As the second round commenced, Curtis persisted with his aggressive advance, while Imavov masterfully maintained distance and control. A tense exchange of blows led to a regrettable clash of heads, which compromised Curtis's vision in his right eye. Despite Curtis' plea for more recovery time, the fight was unfortunately called off. The final verdict was no contest due to the unintentional headbutt. 

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Nassourdine Imavov (12-4) displayed his skills by defeating Ian Heinisch (2021), Edmen Shahbazyan (2021), and Joaquin Buckley (2022). However, Sean Strickland stepped in and beat Imavov. Kelvin Gastelum also lost a unanimous decision to Chris Curtis (30-10) after an exciting fight. Imavov and Curtis are now set to face each other. Curtis has trained with Strickland and poses a challenge for Imavov. It's a tough fight to predict, but Imavov has the tools to win. 

UFC 289 Betting Trends: Middleweight Division

Since the start of 2023, 17 of 20 UFC middleweight bouts have ended inside the distance. A $100 bettor who has backed every middleweight bout to end inside this year has turned a profit of +$22 per fight, win or lose, for a total of +$448

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 Jasmine Jasudavicius def. Miranda Maverick via Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) 

Maverick started strong with strikes and low kicks, but Jasudavicius turned the tide with a trip takedown and solid defense. In the second round, Jasudavicius dominated with mount and back control, hunting for submissions. The final round saw Jasudavicius counter and land punches, controlling the fight against the fence. Jasudavicius secured a unanimous decision victory. 

UFC 289 Betting Trends: Women's Flyweight

Jasmine Jasudavicius cashes as +225 underdog, with the win, the underdog improves to 48-71-1 since the start of 2020, turning a profit of +20.79 units along the way.

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Jasmine Jasudavicius def. Miranda Maverick via Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) 

The first round began with Maverick securing an early lead with a swift 3-2-2 combination. However, Jasudavicius proved to be a formidable opponent, showcasing exceptional defense and ultimately claiming the round. The second round saw both fighters exchange heavy blows, with Maverick landing low kicks and an overhand left. Despite Maverick's attempts, Jasudavicius maintained control, even when Maverick tried for a single-leg takedown. By taking Maverick's back and seeking a rear-naked choke, Jasudavicius bagged another round. The final round was equally fierce, with Maverick throwing punches and landing a solid body kick, but Jasudavicius, relentless and aggressive, pushed Maverick to the fence, landed powerful shots and scored a third round victory, wrapping up a dominant performance.

UFC 289 Betting Trends: Women's Flyweight Division

The betting underdog in the UFC women's flyweight division has now cashed at a near 40% rate, going 47-71-1 for +18.54 units profit in that stretch.

 Aiemann Zahabi def. Aori Qileng via R1 KO (punches)

In a fast-paced exchange, Zahabi responds to Aoriqileng's initial low kicks with a furious flurry of strikes. However, Aoriqileng persists in delivering punishing low kicks but becomes overly aggressive, leaving himself vulnerable to Zahabi's devastating counter left hook. Zahabi seizes the opportunity and unleashes a barrage of strikes, leaving Aoriqileng in a semiconscious state. The referee intervenes, declaring Zahabi the winner by TKO (punches).

The coin-flip underdog in the UFC men's bantamweight divison against a favorite of -150 or better has gone 39-34-1 since 2019, turning a profit of +9.4 units along the way.

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 Kyle Nelson def. Blake Bilder Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28)

Round One: Bilder starts with a left hook, but Nelson retaliates with a straight right. Both fighters are cautious, Bilder manages to corner Nelson, but Nelson counters effectively. Nelson ends the round with a strong right-left hook combination, likely taking the round 10-9.

Round Two: The pace picks up with Nelson forcing Bilder to the fence. Bilder defends well and strikes back with low kicks. Nelson's switch head kick lands, and a late-round low kick earns him another 10-9 round.

Round Three: Both fighters aim at each other's lead legs, but Nelson's kicks are more powerful. Bilder corners Nelson again, but Nelson defends and tries to take him down unsuccessfully. After a series of body shots by Nelson and a final leg kick, Nelson likely takes the final round 10-9.

Overall, Nelson appeared to outmaneuver and outscore Bilder in this strategic bout.

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Kyle Nelson (13-5-1), who made a splash in the UFC in 2018 with a formidable 12-1 record, hasn't quite lived up to the early promise. Since his debut, he has only fought six times, managing to snag a single victory. His sole win came against Polo Reyes in Mexico in 2019, followed by a series of disappointments including a knockout by Billy Quarantillo in 2020, an outpointing by Jai Herbert in 2022, and a contentious draw with Doo Ho Choi in 2023 after a point deduction for a headbutt.

On the opposite side of the octagon, Blake Bilder (8-0-1) is an unbeaten force. We first spotted him on the Contender Series where he submitted Alex Morgan in the first round in 2022, earning his UFC contract. His UFC journey started in February this year with a solid unanimous decision victory over Shane Young.

It's a high-stakes fight for Nelson, a powerful striker and wrestler, as he faces Bilder, a skilled grappler. Nelson's tactics against Choi's striking might hint at his strategy. Expect Bilder to aggressively pursue takedowns. Unless Nelson lands early strikes, Bilder's pace could dominate. While Bilder might eventually control with ground-and-pound, betting value could favor Nelson.

UFC 289 Betting Trends: Men's Featherweight Division

There have been a number of consistent betting trends in the UFC men's featherweight division, particularly regarding fights going the distance. Since the start of 2022, 50% of UFC bouts at men's 145lbs have gone the distance, turning a profit of +4.31 units along the way.

The 'Over' has cashed in the UFC men's featherweight division consistently over the last four years. Since the start of 2019, the 'Over' has gone 155-91 for a win rate of 63%, and a profit of +20.59 units.

The betting favorite has cashed at a 72% rate since the start of this year, a betting trend that spans to 2022, with the chalk side having won 55 of the last 80 bouts in the UFC men's featherweight division, dating back to last year.

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Stephen Erceg defeats David Dvořák by decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) 

Erceg emerged victorious despite a strong start from Dvorak in the first round. Dvorak showcased his skills with low kicks and a daring wheel kick, momentarily gaining the upper hand. The intensity escalated in the second round with Dvorak continuing his aggressive approach, but Erceg turned the tide, successfully countering with a head kick and surviving a guillotine choke attempt. The final round saw a determined Erceg take control with a mix of powerful right punches, low kicks, and forceful teeps. Despite Dvorak's tactical maneuvers and a successful double-leg takedown, Erceg's resilience, shown through his successful scramble and counterattacks, culminated in a well-deserved win.

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In the initial round, Dvorak launched low kicks, prompting a retaliatory head kick and counter right from Erceg. The fighters traded leg kicks and strategic blows, with Erceg's counter left and Dvorak's lead right being noteworthy. Each fighter targeted their opponent's calf in a significant kick exchange. Dvorak's daring wheel kick concluded the round, putting him ahead with an estimated score of 10-9.

The second round's tempo escalated with a heated exchange at the center. Despite Erceg's attempts to close in and clinch, Dvorak countered with a knee. Dvorak maintained his low-high 3-2 approach, landing low kicks, while Erceg failed to connect his strikes. Erceg's shift to a southpaw stance was met with a right-hand counter from Dvorak. After a successful head kick from Erceg, Dvorak fell but escaped a guillotine choke and claimed the top guard position. The round concluded in Erceg's favor, with a projected score of 10-9.

In the third round, Erceg kicks off with powerful right punches. His offensive repertoire includes 1-2 combos, low kicks, and a forceful teep. Dvorak counters Erceg's leading hook with a hook and low kick of his own. Despite briefly exposing his back, Dvorak quickly regains footing.

Dvorak turns Erceg's low kick to his advantage midway, pushing him towards the fence, and again intercepts a low kick, settling for a knee strike during their split. A successful double-leg takedown places Dvorak in a half-guard top position.

Erceg, however, manages to scramble up, seize a front headlock, and instigate another scramble. Dvorak sweeps into a top position, exiting with a knee. As the round nears its end, Dvorak delivers a right punch, but Erceg counterattacks, securing a body lock and landing strong knees. The round appears to tilt in favor of Erceg, with a tentative score of 10-9.

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As Dvorak gears up to face a newcomer, he finds himself in treacherous waters despite being the heavy favourite. The specter of a three-fight losing streak looms large, and to make matters worse, he's up against Erceg, an Australian with a formidable repertoire of skills. Erceg's jiu-jitsu is top-notch, and it's a given that he'll exploit any chance to shift the bout to the mat.

While Dvorak is an exceptional grappler in his own right, the need of the hour is to maintain his cool and aim to keep the fight upright. As a native of the Czech Republic, Dvorak boasts potent leg kicks. However, he may have to be judicious with them as Erceg is likely to seize these opportunities to pull the fight down.

Erceg is a worthy opponent, no doubt, but our money's on Dvorak's takedown defense. We believe it'll stand firm and afford him the chance to sway the judges with his striking prowess.

UFC 289 Betting Trends: Men's Flyweight Division

These betting trends provide valuable insights into the performance of the Men's Flyweight division in the UFC across different parameters.

The under has cashed at a 53% rate since the start of 2022, turning a profit of +3.77 units along the way.

The betting favorite has cashed at a 78% rate since the start of 2023, winning 11 of 14 bouts in the UFC men's flyweight division.

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Belbita vs. Oliveira: In a hard-hitting showdown, Belbita's aggressive striking and effective defense earned her a unanimous decision victory over Oliveira. Belbita showcased her power with heavy punches and defended well from her back, while Oliveira had moments of success with takedowns and strikes. Ultimately, Belbita's superior performance secured the win

Diana Belbita defeats Maria Oliveira by unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

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UFC 289 Showdown: Nunes vs Aldana

Experience the excitement of UFC 289 with the riveting match between Amanda Nunes and Irene Aldana. Nunes, a dual champion, brings unmatched technique, agility, and power. Aldana, a challenger with resilience and skill, promises a thrilling match.

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Belbita, armed with her assertive stand-up style, will likely aim to establish an early lead with her strikes. Her kickboxing background will undoubtedly play a crucial role in the impending bout against Oliveira.

Contrarily, Oliveira might aim to ground the fight, leveraging her superior grappling and submission skills. Her expertise in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu can provide a significant edge if the fight becomes a ground battle.

Diana Belbita: The Unyielding Warrior Princess

Originating from Romania, Diana Belbita, known as 'The Warrior Princess', stands as a menacing figure in the Strawweight division. The 28-year-old boasts an impressive record of 15-7-0 (Win-Loss-Draw) and is revered for her aggressive striking coupled with a disciplined grappling approach.

Maria Oliveira: The Brazilian Phoenix

Opposing her, Maria Oliveira, a gifted fighter from Brazil, is renowned for her tenacity. Known as 'Maia', the 27-year-old holds a record of 12-4-0. Oliveira, akin to her Brazilian predecessors, exhibits expertise in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, a strength she utilizes effectively in the UFC Octagon.

UFC Betting Trends: Women's Strawweight Division

Since 2022, the underdogs in this division have shown a win percentage of 44.4%. Out of 45 matches, they have won 20 fights while facing 25 losses. In terms of units, betting on these underdogs has yielded a total of 7.40 units. The return on investment (ROI) for this period stands at 0.41%.

Since 2023, betting on the "under" has resulted in a win percentage of 41.7%. Out of 12 matches, the "under" option has been successful in 5 instances, while 7 matches have resulted in losses. In terms of units, this betting strategy has earned 2.24 units. The ROI for this period is 0.43%.

UFC 289: How to Watch Belbita vs Oliveira

With the UFC 289 main card just around the corner, you would want to capture every thrilling moment of this face-off. Here's your guide on how to tune in:

For viewers in the United States, UFC 289 will be available via Pay-Per-View on ESPN+. UK viewers can watch the event on BT Sport, while Brazilian fans can catch the action on Combate.

We are just a few hours away from the kick-off of the UFC 289 main card, and the RotoWire live blog will be bringing you all the action from the start of the event all the way up until the post-fight press conference.

UFC 289 is live from the Rogers Arena in Vancouver, Canada, and is headlined by a UFC women's bantamweight title bout between the "Lioness" Amanda Nunes and Irene Aldana.

Headed into tonight's UFC event, the betting favorite has won two-thirds of the bouts this year, with a 146-70-3 record, turning a profit of +2.97 units along the way. Meanwhile, the most profitable betting trend in the UFC this year has been the 'Fight Goes the Distance' prop, which has cashed at just under a 50% rate (108-110-1) for a massive profit of +32.39 units since the start of this year.

In tonight's main event, the 'Fight To Go The Distance' prop is lined at odds of +200, with the 'No' prop lined at chalk odds of -227. With that, the betting market suggests a 69% chance for the bout to end before the full five rounds are completed.

Check out the table below to learn more about the best UFC betting trends in 2023.

UFC 2023 Betting Trends

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UFC 289 sees a high-octane encounter between Dan Ige and Nate Landwehr. Ige, with an MMA record of 16-6, recently triumphed over Damon Jackson, while Landwehr (MMA 17-4) subdued Austin Lingo. Despite Ige being the favorite, his recent performance raises doubts. Contrarily, Landwehr's steady victories make him our pick for an upset win.

Here are the UFC 289 main card odds, courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook:

• Amanda Nunes (-340) vs Irene Aldana (+260)
• Charles Oliveira (+124) vs Beneil Dariush (-152)
• Mike Malott (-215) vs Adam Fugitt (+172)
• Dan Ige (-260) vs Nate Landwehr (+205)
• Marc-Andre Barriault (-134) vs Eryk Anders (+110)

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The UFC 289 duel between Charles "Do Bronx" Oliveira and Beneil "Benny" Dariush is a match-up not to be missed. The betting thrill is multiplied when combined with Caesar's Sportsbook, a top-notch platform for sports bettors.

Oliveira and Dariush, giants in the Lightweight division of the UFC, bring distinct fighting styles to the table. Oliveira's blend of Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu and Muay Thai meets Dariush's relentless pressure and wrestling skills in an anticipated clash.

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As UFC 289 looms, anticipation is building for the headline Amanda Nunes vs. Irene Aldana face-off. Let's explore the fighters' backgrounds, dish out our predictions, and evaluate the betting odds available on the best betting sites.

The Fighters: Nunes and Aldana

Amanda "The Lioness" Nunes, the reigning Women's Bantamweight and Featherweight Champion, has a formidable record. She's defeated every past champion in her division, establishing her as one of UFC's most dominant fighters. Nunes is known for her aggressive style and powerful strikes, complemented by her Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu expertise.

Irene "Robles" Aldana, a top-five contender in the Bantamweight division, is recognized for her boxing skills and in-ring tenacity. Her resilience and high-volume striking make her a formidable adversary for any opponent, including Nunes.

Predictions: Nunes vs Aldana

Nunes will likely leverage her aggressive approach and dynamic fighting style. An early knockout could be in her sights. Aldana, conversely, should rely on her boxing skills and endurance, aiming to outlast Nunes. Considering past performances and current form, our prediction leans towards a Nunes win, but Aldana is expected to provide a robust challenge.

Betting Odds: UFC 289

The current odds are:

• Amanda Nunes: -310
• Irene Aldana: +250

While Nunes is the clear favorite, Aldana's resilience makes her +250 odds attractive for risk-takers.

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