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Behind the Numbers

Recent Articles from this Column

Behind the Numbers: Handing Out the Hardware

Mike Trout is an easy choice for AL MVP, but who has been the most valuable fantasy player relative to ADP this season?

Behind the Numbers: Failed Expectations

Few players fell as hard this year as Jay Bruce, who has been sub-replacement level after three straight years of 30 homers.

Behind the Numbers: Overvalued for 2015

Johnny Cueto might be having a great season, but it takes time to rebuild trust, and he hasn't proven that he can be trusted in 2015.

Behind the Numbers: Second-Half Duds

Nelson Cruz has seen a dramatic drop in second-half production, but could he be poised for a rebound in September?

Behind the Numbers: Hot August Targets

Travis Snider has impressed with the Pirates this year, but will he get enough at-bats down the stretch to help fantasy teams?

Behind the Numbers: Moves for the Home Stretch

Teams out of the playoff race still have a lot to play for, including calling up the likes of Cubs prospect Kris Bryant.

Behind the Numbers: Stretch-Drive Help

As we inch toward September, a player like Dustin Ackley, who's heating up and still offers mutli-position eligibility, can be useful.

Behind the Numbers: Beating Spring Predictions

A 2011 first-round pick, Sonny Gray is well on his way to ace status, a little sooner than perhaps expected.

Behind the Numbers: Second-Half Surgers

Jayson Werth has started the second half on fire, and the numbers show he is seeing the ball well this season.

Behind the Numbers: 10 First-Half Breakouts

The groundball-loving Dallas Keuchel had a surprising first half, but can he keep it up in the second half?

Behind the Numbers: Spring Predictions Gone Wrong

You can't always be right, and Evan Longoria is one of the players we missed on this year. Why is he making us look bad?

Behind the Numbers: 10 Surprising Numbers

Dee Gordon has gone from looking like a Quad-A player to an All-Star in a surprising first half that has provided plenty of fantasy value.

Behind the Numbers: Pitchers to Target and Avoid

Justin Verlander is having a tough year, but he's still missing plenty of bats. What's that mean for his prospects the rest of this season?

Behind the Numbers: Hitters to Target

David Ortiz's string of .300 seasons likely will end this year, but he's not lost at the plate and his luck should turn at some point.

Behind the Numbers: Gaining an Edge with xFIP

David Price has been unlucky this season, as his xFIP, which is more than a run lower than his ERA, makes clear.

Behind the Numbers: Is Bryce Harper Overrated?

No prospect in recent memory has garnered scouting reports like Bryce Harper, but is he even a top-10 talent?

Behind the Numbers: Revisiting Keeper Rankings

Where does Troy Tulowitzki rank now on a keeper list, and is his amazing start enough to look past his health issues?

Behind the Numbers: Answering the Mailbag

How has Clayton Kershaw slipped ... on his own team? Answering that question and more in this week's edition of Behind the Numbers.

Behind the Numbers: Scanning the Wire

Mike Zunino has displayed good power this season and has improved his average too, making him worthy of a pickup in 12-team leagues.

Behind the Numbers: My Favorite Metrics

Will Troy Tulowitzki keep up his torrid pace? Dave Regan shares the stats he looks to most when evaluating whether players will improve, maintain or regress.

Behind the Numbers: April NFBC FAAB Review

K-Rod has proven a profitable waiver-wire pickup, but what's the best way to spend FAAB for saves?

Behind the Numbers: Small Sample Size, Big Conclusions

As he slumps his way through April, is Chase Headley establishing a new baseline of performance?

Behind the Numbers: Learning From Small Sample Sizes

The sample size is small, but can Dee Gordon reach 65 stolen bases and a .300 batting average this year?

Behind the Numbers: Is Brandon Belt's Power for Real?

The answer to that and more as this week's edition tackles some early season observations.

Behind the Numbers: Closer Roulette

With four new closers already crowned, where will the closer wheel land next? Colorado's Rex Brothers might be a good bet.

Behind the Numbers: Players Who are Hard to Value

No one questions Yasiel Puig's talent, but his fantasy value is hotly debated. Where should he go in drafts this spring?

Behind the Numbers: Wrapping Up the 2013 Season

Michael Wacha was one of a number of pitching prospects to grab headlines in 2013. Can we expect more in 2014?

Behind the Numbers: 2013 Awards, 2014 Top-10s

Is Max Scherzer worthy of the AL Cy Young award? Find out that and more as it's time to hand out awards for this season and make some top-10 lists for next season.

Behind the Numbers: 2013 Underachievers in 2014

Fantasy owners are starting to lose patience with Mike Moustakas, if they haven't already, but what do we do with him and other underachievers come 2014?

Behind the Numbers: 2013 Overachievers in 2014

Chris Davis is the poster boy for those who outperformed their draft stock this season. But can we expect these players to repeat their success next season?

Behind the Numbers: Stuff on My Mind

Dave Regan surveys the field and answers the important questions, like who's going to replace Matt Harvey?

Behind the Numbers: 30 Players for the Stretch Run

Gordon Beckham is having a nice season, and as his wrist heals, his power should pick up, making him a good addition in the stretch run.

Behind the Numbers: Winning with Non-Stars

Brian Dozier isn't a star, but the Twins infielder is having a year that can help fantasy owners win league titles.

Behind the Numbers: Surpises and Disappointments 2013

Jean Segura has outperformed most expectations this year, but how will the fallout from the Ryan Braun saga impact him next season?

Behind the Numbers: Questions for the Second Half

Is Chris Davis poised for a second-half slowdown? Or is he merely going through a dry spell with his power? Find out the answer to that and much more.

Behind the Numbers: Second-Half Sleepers for Deep Leagues

Even if Dee Gordon is called up to be a utility guy, the stolen-base potential alone makes him worth a look in a lot of formats.

Behind the Numbers: Second-Half Sleepers

Justin Upton a sleeper? Now's the time to roll the dice on the Braves outfielder after a lengthy struggle in the first half.

Behind the Numbers: Trending Up, Trending Down

Forget the home runs, it's Pedro Alvarez's average and on-base numbers that are really surprising. But can he keep up that pace in the second half?

Behind the Numbers: Likes and Dislikes

In which category does Jarrod Parker belong? An expected breakout hasn't happened yet for Parker, but can he turns things around in the second half?

Behind the Numbers: Ignore at Your Peril

Brian Dozier changed his approach at the plate and is seeing improved results, but he's still largely ignored in mixed leagues.

Behind the Numbers: All-Star Picks

Perhaps the fantasy MVP of the first half, Jean Segura is an easy All-Star pick. Not all choices are so easy, however. Who else should be an All-Star?

Behind the Numbers: Brewer Breakout

Jean Segura's breakout season has him positioned to be a top-20 fantasy pick next season. Assuming he can continue his current pace, of course. But can he?

Behind the Numbers: 10 Fearless Predictions

Yasiel Puig will be the best Dodgers outfielder the rest of the way, according to David Regan.

Behind the Numbers: Buy, Sell and Cut Bait

Scott Jenstad fills in for Dave Regan this week. Even though he's an A's fan, or maybe because he's an A's fan, Scott is cutting bait on Brett Anderson in his leagues.

Behind the Numbers: May Turnarounds, Duds & Surprises

Dexter Fowler's April looked like a long-awaited breakout, but he's come crashing back to earth in May. David Regan takes a closer look.

Behind the Numbers: Closer Scenarios Around the League

Addison Reed is locked in as White Sox closer, but not all end-game situations are so secure. Who's next in line to close? How about closer sleepers?

Behind the Numbers: Cain He Rebound?

A 5.57 ERA is not what owners had in mind when they drafted Matt Cain this spring, but does that make him a good buy-low candidate now? The answer to that question, and more, lies within.

Behind the Numbers: Is Weeks Just Weak?

Is Rickie Weeks the most frustrating player in fantasy baseball? Are his skills less than perceived? Is there any hope for his owners? Let's find out, and check others who are off to slow starts this season.

Behind the Numbers: April Heroes and Zeroes

April is usually Matt Kemp's favorite month, but this season is a different story. What's an owner to do?

Behind the Numbers: Looking Over Gattis' Shoulder

Brian McCann is on track for a late-April return from the disabled list. So what happens to Evan Gattis when McCann returns? That's but one of the many questions explored this week.,

Behind the Numbers: Will Davis Flame Out?

Chris Davis is off to a scorching-hot start, but is he destined to flame out for the Orioles

Behind the Numbers: Opening Day Headlines

Chase Utley's Opening Day performance served notice that fantasy owners would be wise not to write off the oft-injured slugger just yet.

Behind the Numbers: Spring Training Heroes

Eric Hosmer tore up spring training last year before a disappointing sophomore campaign. Dave Regan highlights spring performances that have grabbed his attention.

Behind the Numbers: Multiple Shares

Dave Regan examines the common links on the team's that he's drafted so far this spring, including Phillies outfielder Domonic Brown.

Behind the Numbers: Pitcher Rankings

Justin Verlander is at the top of Dave Regan's board as he shares his top-50 starting pitcher and top-30 reliever rankings.

Behind the Numbers: Positional Rankings: SS, 3B, OF

With the move into a loaded Toronto lineup, Jose Reyes tops Dave Regan's list of shortstops this season.

Behind the Numbers: Positional Rankings

Dave Regan explains what he's looking for and shares his rankings at catcher, first base and second for 2013.

Behind the Numbers: An Offseason Review