RotoWire Partners

Jay Bruce

29-Year-Old Outfielder – New York Mets

2016 Stats

AVG

.250

HR

33

RBI

99

R

74

SB

4

2016 Preseason Projections

AVG

HR

RBI

R

SB

2016 Fantasy Baseball Outlook

Bruce has never developed into the superstar that the Reds thought he might become, and now it appears that his crippling-low batting average is the new normal as more teams continue to shift aggressi...

Read more about Jay Bruce

LEAGUE: Majors   40 MAN: YES   BATS: L   THROWS: L   HT: 6' 3"   WT: 227   DOB: 4/3/1987   BORN: Beaumont, TX   COLLEGE: None   DRAFTED: 1st Rd    Show ContractHide Contract

$

Jay Bruce Contract Information:

Agreed to a six-year, $51 million contract with the Reds in December 2010. The deal includes an option for a seventh year that would push the value to $63 million.

November 3, 2016  –  Jay Bruce News

▼ More

RotoWire Fantasy Analysis

+ Add To Watchlist

The Mets informed Bruce on Thursday that they will exercise the $13 million option on his contract for the 2017 season, ESPN's Jerry Crasnick reports.

To instantly reveal our fantasy analysis of every player – including Jay Bruce – simply subscribe now.

Jay Bruce
Jay Bruce Stats
OPTIONS:   Show Partial SeasonsHide Partial Seasons      Show Minor League StatsHide Minor League Stats       Show 5x5 Stats OnlyShow All Statistics       Click stat headings to sort columns.
Year Age Lg Tm G PA AB R H XBH 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO SH SF HBP AVG OBP SLG OPS
2006 19 A A 117 488 444 69 129 63 42 5 16 81 19 9 44 106 0 0 0 .291 .355 .516 .871
2007 20 A SAR 67 292 268 49 87 43 27 5 11 49 4 4 24 67 0 0 0 .325 .379 .586 .965
2007 20 AA CHA 16 74 66 10 22 12 7 1 4 15 2 1 8 20 0 0 0 .333 .405 .652 1.057
2007 20 AAA LOU 50 204 187 28 57 25 12 2 11 25 2 2 15 48 0 1 1 .305 .358 .567 .925
2008 21 AAA LOU 49 201 184 34 67 24 9 5 10 37 8 1 12 45 0 5 0 .364 .393 .630 1.023
2008 21 MAJ CIN 108 452 413 63 105 39 17 1 21 52 4 6 33 110 0 2 4 .254 .314 .453 .767
2009 22 AAA LOU 5 20 18 3 5 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 3 0 0 0 .278 .350 .278 .628
2009 22 MAJ CIN 101 387 345 47 77 39 15 2 22 58 3 3 38 75 1 1 2 .223 .303 .470 .773
2010 23 MAJ CIN 148 573 509 80 143 53 23 5 25 70 5 4 58 136 0 5 1 .281 .353 .493 .846
2011 24 MAJ CIN 157 664 585 84 150 61 27 2 32 97 8 7 71 158 1 2 5 .256 .341 .474 .815
2012 25 MAJ CIN 155 633 560 89 141 74 35 5 34 99 9 3 62 155 0 7 4 .252 .327 .514 .841
2013 26 MAJ CIN 160 696 626 89 164 74 43 1 30 109 7 3 63 185 0 5 2 .262 .329 .478 .807
2014 27 MAJ CIN 137 545 493 71 107 40 21 1 18 66 12 3 44 149 1 5 2 .217 .281 .373 .654
2015 28 MAJ CIN 157 649 580 72 131 65 35 4 26 87 9 5 58 145 0 9 2 .226 .294 .434 .728
2016 29 MAJ NYM 50 187 169 14 37 13 5 0 8 19 0 0 17 43 0 0 1 .219 .294 .391 .685
2016 29 MAJ CIN 97 402 370 60 98 53 22 6 25 80 4 2 27 83 0 3 2 .265 .316 .559 .875
2016  (Multiple Teams) 29 MAJ NYM/CIN 147 589 539 74 135 66 27 6 33 99 4 2 44 126 0 3 3 .250 .309 .506 .815
Preseason     Subscribe now to see our 2016 projections for Jay Bruce
3-Year Averages     147 592 537 72 124 55 27 3 25 84 8 3 48 140 0 5 2 .231 .294 .432 .726
Career  (View All)     1270 5,188 4,650 669 1,153 511 243 27 241 737 61 36 471 1,239 3 39 25 .248 .318 .467 .785

Age is determined on July 1st of each season.       Jump To:     ▼ Advanced Stats      ▼ Games By Position

No No Yes
Jay Bruce Game Log    (View Full Game Log)
# of Games To Display:    Show 7Show 7    Show 14Show 14    Show 30Show 30
DATE OPP AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS HBP SF E AVG OBP SLG OPS
Oct. 2 @Phi 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 .250 .309 .506 .815
Oct. 1 @Phi 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 .250 .308 .507 .815
Sep. 30 @Phi 4 1 3 0 0 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .249 .307 .507 .814
Sep. 28 @Mia 2 1 1 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 .245 .304 .500 .804
Sep. 27 @Mia 5 1 2 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .244 .301 .494 .795
Sep. 26 @Mia 4 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .243 .300 .489 .789
Sep. 25 Phi 4 2 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 .243 .300 .491 .791
Sep. 24 Phi 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .241 .299 .489 .788
Sep. 23 Phi Did not play.
Sep. 22 Phi 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 .239 .298 .482 .780
Sep. 21 Atl 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 .240 .298 .483 .781
Sep. 20 Atl 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .240 .299 .484 .783
Sep. 19 Atl 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .242 .300 .487 .787
Sep. 18 Min Did not play.
Sep. 17 Min 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 .242 .301 .488 .789
Sep. 16 Min 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 .245 .304 .493 .797
Sep. 14 @Was 4 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 .246 .304 .496 .800
Sep. 13 @Was 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 .246 .304 .498 .802
Sep. 12 @Was 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 .248 .305 .502 .807
Sep. 11 @Atl Did not play.
Sep. 10 @Atl 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 .247 .304 .503 .807
Sep. 9 @Atl 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 .249 .304 .506 .810
Sep. 7 @Cin Did not play.
Sep. 6 @Cin 4 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 .251 .305 .509 .814
Sep. 5 @Cin 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 .251 .305 .511 .816
Sep. 4 Was 4 1 2 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .253 .308 .516 .824
Sep. 3 Was Did not play.
Sep. 2 Was 4 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 .251 .306 .510 .816
Sep. 1 Mia 4 1 2 0 0 1 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 .251 .306 .512 .818
Aug. 31 Mia 4 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .248 .305 .505 .810
Last 7 Games 24 5 11 1 0 3 7 3 2 0 0 0 0 1 .458 .519 .875 1.394
Last 14 Games 31 6 12 1 0 4 8 3 4 0 0 0 0 1 .387 .441 .806 1.247
Last 30 Games 80 8 22 1 0 6 13 8 16 0 0 0 0 1 .275 .341 .513 .854

Jay Bruce: MLB Games Played By Position

Year C 1B 2B 3B SS OF LF CF RF DH
2016 138 1 138 2
2015 150 150 2
2014 3 131 131
2013 160 160
2012 154 154
2011 155 155
2010 146 146
2009 98 98

Jump To:     ▲ Basic Stats      ▲ Split Stats      ▼ Advanced Stats

Jay Bruce Split Stats    (View Full Split Stats)

Vs. Left

Year AB R HR RBI SB AVG SLG OPS
2016158146222.222.411.678
2015166164234.229.380.666
2014118186171.161.339.556

Vs. Right

Year AB R HR RBI SB AVG SLG OPS
20163816027772.262.546.872
20154145622645.225.457.754
201437553124911.235.384.685

Home

Year AB R HR RBI SB AVG SLG OPS
20162593617494.239.486.784
20152813813495.235.448.745
20142394210267.188.347.622

Away

Year AB R HR RBI SB AVG SLG OPS
20162803816500.261.525.844
20152993413384.217.421.714
2014254298405.244.398.685
Jay Bruce Advanced Stats
OPTIONS:   Show Partial SeasonsHide Partial Seasons      Show Minor League StatsHide Minor League Stats      Click stat headings to sort columns.
Year Age Lg Tm PA AB Walk Rate Strikeout Rate BB/K Ratio Contact Rate BABIP Isolated Power
2006 19 A A 488 444 9% 21.7% 0.42 76% .351 .225
2007 20 A SAR 292 268 8.2% 22.9% 0.36 75% .400 .261
2007 20 AA CHA 74 66 10.8% 27% 0.40 70% .429 .319
2007 20 AAA LOU 204 187 7.4% 23.5% 0.31 74% .359 .262
2008 21 AAA LOU 201 184 6% 22.4% 0.27 76% .442 .266
2008 21 MAJ CIN 452 413 7.3% 24.3% 0.30 73% .298 .199
2009 22 AAA LOU 20 18 10% 15% 0.67 83% .333 .000
2009 22 MAJ CIN 387 345 9.8% 19.4% 0.51 78% .222 .247
2010 23 MAJ CIN 573 509 10.1% 23.7% 0.43 73% .339 .212
2011 24 MAJ CIN 664 585 10.7% 23.8% 0.45 73% .299 .218
2012 25 MAJ CIN 633 560 9.8% 24.5% 0.40 72% .288 .262
2013 26 MAJ CIN 696 626 9.1% 26.6% 0.34 70% .326 .216
2014 27 MAJ CIN 545 493 8.1% 27.3% 0.30 70% .273 .156
2015 28 MAJ CIN 649 580 8.9% 22.3% 0.40 75% .257 .208
2016 29 MAJ NYM 187 169 9.1% 23% 0.40 75% .246 .172
2016 29 MAJ CIN 402 370 6.7% 20.6% 0.33 78% .279 .294
2016  (Multiple Teams) 29 MAJ NYM/CIN 589 539 7.5% 21.4% 0.35 77% .268 .256
Preseason     Subscribe now to see our 2016 projections for Jay Bruce
3-Year Averages     592 537 8.1% 23.6% 0.34 74% .266 .201
Career     5,188 4,650 9.1% 23.9% 0.38 73% .288 .219

Age is determined on July 1st of each season.       Jump To:     ▲ Basic Stats      ▲ Split Stats      ▲ Games By Position

No No

2016 Stat Review for Jay Bruce    As compared to the top 200 hitters in 2015 (min 420 PA)

Contact

Good contact skills often lead to better fantasy stats.

Explain This

.250 AVG
WEAK
77% Contact Rate
POOR
.268 BABIP
LOW
Power

SLG and ISO are useful indicators of power.

Explain This

.506 SLG
ELITE
.256 ISO
ELITE
Plate Discipline

Patience at the plate often leads to positive outcomes.

Explain This

0.35 BB/K
WEAK
7.5% BB Rate
AVERAGE
21.4% K Rate
WEAK
OPS/OBP

A couple of useful stats for evaluating a hitter.

Explain This

.815 OPS
GOOD
.309 OBP
WEAK

New York Mets Roster

Jay Bruce: Past News Updates   ( ▲ View most recent update )

Bruce went 3-for-4 with a pair of RBI singles and a solo homer in Friday's 5-1 victory over the Phillies.

Exclusive Fantasy Analysis

Subscribe to RotoWire now to instantly reveal our analysis.
Bruce homered in his second straight game and for the third time in five games Wednesday against the Marlins.

Exclusive Fantasy Analysis

Subscribe to RotoWire now to instantly reveal our analysis.
Bruce went 2-for-5 with a two-run homer in Tuesday's game against the Marlins.

Exclusive Fantasy Analysis

Subscribe to RotoWire now to instantly reveal our analysis.
Bruce is not in the lineup Friday against the Phillies.

Exclusive Fantasy Analysis

Subscribe to RotoWire now to instantly reveal our analysis.
Bruce is out of the lineup Thursday against the Phillies, Jared Diamond of the Wall Street Journal reports.

Exclusive Fantasy Analysis

Subscribe to RotoWire now to instantly reveal our analysis.
Bruce is not in the lineup Wednesday for the third time in four days, MLB.com's Anthony DiComo reports.

Exclusive Fantasy Analysis

Subscribe to RotoWire now to instantly reveal our analysis.
Bruce is not in the lineup Monday for the second straight day, according to MLB.com's Anthony DiComo.

Exclusive Fantasy Analysis

Subscribe to RotoWire now to instantly reveal our analysis.
Bruce is out of the lineup Sunday against the Braves, David O'Brien of the Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports.

Exclusive Fantasy Analysis

Subscribe to RotoWire now to instantly reveal our analysis.
Bruce is not in the lineup for Wednesday's game against the Reds, according to Adam Rubin of ESPN.com.

Exclusive Fantasy Analysis

Subscribe to RotoWire now to instantly reveal our analysis.
Bruce continued his recent stretch of hot hitting, blasting a home run to the opposite field in a 5-1 win over the Nationals on Sunday.

Exclusive Fantasy Analysis

Subscribe to RotoWire now to instantly reveal our analysis.
Bruce, who was out of the starting lineup Saturday, is back in the lineup Sunday against the Nationals.

Exclusive Fantasy Analysis

Subscribe to RotoWire now to instantly reveal our analysis.

RotoWire's Preseason Outlooks

2016

Subscribe now to see our 2016 outlook.

2015

It's convenient to blame Bruce's struggles on the knee injury that sidelined him in early May, but it might still be the primary cause for his struggles. He was first sidelined on May 4 and the expectation was that he'd be out four weeks. He returned from the DL on May 21. Did his swing change because he was compensating for the injury? It's a reasonable guess. His approach at the plate became a mess because of his struggles -- he swung far less often at pitches in the zone than he did at any point during his career. He hit fewer line drives and even fewer flyballs. A return to prominence isn't guaranteed, but a full recovery from the injury this offseason could go a long way toward helping him recoup his swing. Opposing teams employed radical shifts more than ever against him last year and it had a pronounced effect on his batting average, so don't expect him to hit better than .250, but the power should return.

2014

It took Bruce 20 games to hit his first homer of the season, and he ended April with the sole long ball. He subsequently hit a combined 17 homers in May and June, perfectly illustrating his streakiness. There is some hope that Bruce is entering his prime years, but 2013 didn't bring any evidence - just more of the same. Mind you, 30-100 seasons aren't bad by any measure, but he hasn't improved his contact rate at a point in his career where that next step should take place. A power spike could theoretically happen, but owners shouldn't rely upon him becoming a high-average, elite power hitter.

2013

Has Bruce hit his upper plateau, or is there another peak left for him to climb? On one hand, Bruce turns 26 at the start of the 2013 season, and hitters often peak in their age 27-29 seasons. His isolated power is trending upward, hitting a career-high .263 last season. On the other hand, his contact rate hasn't improved over the last three years, in fact taking a slight turn for the worse in 2012. Our guess is that his batting average won't show much luck-independent improvement, but there could be a few 40-homer seasons in his future if he remains in Cincinnati.

2012

Bruce's career trajectory is on the rise. He saw career highs in every major counting category to go along with a career-high walk rate and isolated slugging percentage. He improved his performance against left-handers, at least in terms of hitting for power. He has one of the better right-field arms in the game, for those of you in simulation games like Strat-O-Matic or Scoresheet. His low contact rate (73 percent in each of the last two seasons) will prevent him from being an elite hitter for average, but stardom is on his doorstep otherwise. At age 25 in 2012, there's still room for improvement.

2011

Bruce started slowly for the Reds in 2010, hitting into a decent share of bad luck in April, mixed in with a low contact rate. The luck turned around midseason and Bruce finished the year on fire, ending up with a career-high .846 OPS. He's capable of hitting 30-35 homers at his peak, which might occur in the next couple of seasons. He has a big home/road split, but any concern over that has been washed away by his six-year, $51 million contract extension signed in the offseason. The only factor keeping him from being among the elite fantasy outfielders is a lack of stolen bases - he seems unlikely to top double-digits in any given season.

2010

While there are signs that Bruce is *this* close to breaking out (.222 BABIP, improved walk rate and contact rate), his troubles against lefties are a significant problem. Only two of his 22 homers were against southpaws, and he was starting to get benched against select lefties before his wrist injury in July. Keep in mind that he turns just 23 in April, so there's plenty of time for him to improve, but hope that the Reds (and Dusty Baker) share your patience.

2009

Bruce's big major league splash and preseason hype makes his .254/.314/.453 season seem like a disappointment, but keep in mind he did this as a 21-year-old, with only 115 games above A-ball under his belt. Bruce needs to improve his pitch selection (33 walks, 110 strikeouts in 413 at-bats) and lefties throttled him (.190/.263/.299 in 137 at-bats). But improvement in both areas is possible and likely - get him now in dynasty leagues, while the price is still low.

2008

The Reds are in a tricky spot with Bruce, seeing him advance far quicker than they expected. While he still strikes out too frequently, he's very close to being ready for the majors. Yet the team has a surplus of outfielders and new manager Dusty "I haven't seen him play yet" Baker is someone who seems less inclined to pencil him in the lineup right away. The Reds' trade of Josh Hamilton might open up the door for Bruce to start in Cincinnati right away, although at press time there was still some talk that the team was interested in signing Mike Cameron. He's adjusted rapidly to the level of competition with each promotion, so he's likely to succeed right away once he gets that shot.

2007

Bruce had another solid campaign, tearing apart the low-A Midwest League at age 19. Obviously it will get tougher as he climbs the ladder, but so far he's fulfilling the potential the Reds saw when they made him their first-round pick in the 2005 draft. He needs to cut down on his strikeouts some (after all, he's a Red -- who in their organization doesn't need to cut down on his strikeouts?) but if he's not already owned in your Ultra League, you should put him near the top of your prospect lists.

2006

Bruce was drafted out of high school in Texas with the number 12 overall pick in the 2005 draft. His power potential is significant, but he needs quite a bit of refining, particularly in managing the strike zone.