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Circling the Bases: Four Struggling Braves

Ray Flowers

Ray Flowers

The co-host of The Drive on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio (Sirius 210, XM 87: M-F at 5-8 PM EDT), Ray Flowers has spent years squirreled away studying the inner workings of the fantasy game to the detriment of his personal life. You can follow Ray on Twitter (@BaseballGuys), he never sleeps, and you can also find more of his musings at BaseballGuys.com.

There are four main offensive cogs with the Braves that are sucking wind right now, including one that most think has been doing great, when in reality, he really hasn't.

Struggling Braves

Justin Upton is on a 162 game pace of about 45 homers, 94 RBIs and 120 runs scored. That would be a stupendous season. However, I've listed him under the headline “Struggling.” Why? Let me explain.

(1) Upton hasn't gone deep in eight games and he has two homers in his last 25 games. Two. Let me repeat, two. Must be a sample size thing, right? I mean the homers will start flying soon, right? Will they? His fly ball rate of 41 percent is one point above his career norm, so that looks fine. However, take a look at that HR/F which is sitting at 28.0 percent. Not only has he never finished a season with a mark of 19 percent, but his current rate is nearly double his 14.6 career mark. Is it reasonable to expect him to continue to double his career mark

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