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Circling the Bases: Oh R.A. Dickey

Ray Flowers

Ray Flowers

The co-host of The Drive on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio (Sirius 210, XM 87: M-F at 5-8 PM EDT), Ray Flowers has spent years squirreled away studying the inner workings of the fantasy game to the detriment of his personal life. You can follow Ray on Twitter (@BaseballGuys), he never sleeps, and you can also find more of his musings at

Circling the Bases: Mound Musings


It's been rough for Mr. Dickey. Through 14 starts he is 5-8, has a 5.11 ERA and has allowed six or more runs in three of his last four starts. What gives? I'll tell you what. Because he was so stupendous last season people ignored history with Dickey. They looked past the fact that (A) he had never been remotely that good, (B) that knuckleballers are rarely that impressive/consistent, and (C) that he throws the least predictable pitch the game has ever seen.

From my preseason Draft Guide (everything that follows in quotes).

Last season Dickey struck out 230 batters in 233.2 innings, good for a K/9 of 8.86. From 2004-2011 Dickey didn't have one season, not one, of even six strikeouts per nine innings.

Dickey has seen a major regression this season as his K/9 rate has fallen from 8.86 per nine to 6.55. His career mark is 6.30.

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