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MLB Barometer: Cano vs. Rendon

Erik Siegrist

Erik Siegrist

Erik Siegrist is an FSWA award-winning columnist who covers all four major North American sports (that means the NHL, not NASCAR) and whose beat extends back to the days when the Nationals were the Expos and the Thunder were the Sonics. He was the inaugural champion of Rotowire's Staff Keeper baseball league. His work has also appeared at Baseball Prospectus.

MLB Barometer

While we all wait for Giancarlo Stanton's mammoth Home Run Derby blast to re-enter Earth's atmosphere and for Andrew McCutchen to just calm down already, it seems like a good time to reflect on some of the surprise hitting performances of the first half and what they might mean going forward.

Since I've already brought him up, let's start with Stanton. The 21 home runs are no surprise, but the .295/.395/.538 line (good for eighth in MLB in OPS at the break), fueled by a .364 BABIP, seems like an outlier and a mark of a player due for second half regression. However, Stanton hit .290/.361/.608 two years ago (with a .344 BABIP), and those numbers are not at all out of line with his minor league performances. The improved walk rate should be especially stable, given that Stanton is still the only remotely scary bat in the Marlins' lineup. He's made his rep as the game's premier slugger, but provided he avoids the lower body injuries that ha

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