30-Year-Old Wide Receiver – Arizona Cardinals
2013 Fantasy Football Outlook
You know things are desperate when the current incarnation of Carson Palmer is cause for elation and hope. To understand how bad things got, consider that Fitzgerald, a likely Hall of Fame receiver in...
Larry Fitzgerald Contract Information:
He agreed to an eight-year, $120 million contract extension with Arizona in August of 2011 that includes close to $50 million guaranteed.
Fitzgerald caught all 12 of his targets Sunday, finishing with 96 yards and a touchdown.
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|Receiving||Rec Distance||Big Rec Games||Rushing||Kick Ret||Punt Ret||Fumbles|
|2013 Proj||29||ARZ||Subscribe now to see our 2013 projections for Larry Fitzgerald|
Age is determined on September 1st of each season.
|Fantasy Points Per Game||Receiving Stats||Red Zone Targets||Rushing Stats||Red Zone Runs|
|2013 Proj||29||ARZ||Subscribe now to see our 2013 projections for Larry Fitzgerald|
Age is determined on September 1st of each season.
|Snap Count||Receiving||Rec Distance||Rushing||Fumbles||Kick Ret||Punt Ret||Red Zone Targets||Red Zone Runs|
A blank stat line is used above whenever a player was not on the field for any plays in the game that week.
Larry Fitzgerald: Past News Updates ( ▲ View most recent update )
RotoWire's Preseason Outlooks
While it’s unclear at press time whether Kevin Kolb or John Skelton will win the Cardinals quarterback job, it’s abundantly clear that Fitzgerald can thrive with either under center – certainly in comparison to the dreck to which he was subjected in 2010. Fitzgerald managed a career high 17.6 YPC (4th among the league’s 32 100-target WR) and 9.2 YPT (10th), with eight catches of 40-plus yards (2nd). The result was 1,411 receiving yards, good for fourth in the NFL. At 6-3, 218, and with excellent hands, body-control and leaping ability, Fitzgerald’s a top red-zone target, usually among the league leaders in touchdowns. Last season, however the Cardinals – and Kolb in particular – did not look for him as often near the goal line (8 targets inside the 10, tied for 9th). (In the eight games when Skelton was under center, however, Fitzgerald caught six of his eight touchdowns.) At 29, Fitzgerald is still in his late prime and will be among the league leaders in targets regardless of who’s under center. While he’s not especially fast down the field, his size and ball skills allow him to make plays deep even when he’s covered. The addition of rookie Michael Floyd in the first round should create some extra space for Fitzgerald to operate, though Floyd has red-zone skills in his own right and might cut into some of those targets, particularly if Kolb wins the job.
While Calvin Johnson suffered from average quarterbacking, Larry Fitzgerald only wishes he were so lucky. A combination of such luminaries as Derek Anderson, John Skelton, Max Hall and Richard Bartel combined for a 60.5 QB rating, 50.8 completion percentage, 5.8 yards per attempt, 10 touchdowns and 19 interceptions. Somehow, Fitzgerald managed to stay relevant with 90 catches, 1,137 yards and 60 percent of the team's passing scores as he was third in the league with 173 targets and led the NFL in red-zone and inside-the-10 looks. At 6-3, 215 and blessed with great hands (only four drops all season), agility and leaping ability, Fitzgerald is an ideal red-zone target, as he uses his strength and big frame to outjump and outmuscle defenders. Fitzgerald isn't a burner, but his lack of big plays (only one catch for 40-plus) was mostly due to the miserable situation at quarterback. That should change in 2011 thanks to the Cards acquiring Kevin Kolb from the Philadelphia Eagles for Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie and a second round draft pick. One thing that probably won't change: Fitzgerald's generous helping of targets – especially from in close.
Coming off arguably the greatest playoff showing by a wide receiver in NFL history, Fitzgerald seemed poised to separate himself from the pack. Instead he merged with it. Make no mistake, he still finished the year as the league’s No. 4 fantasy receiver, thanks to his league-leading 13 touchdowns. But his 11.3 yards per catch and 7.2 yards per target were below average, resulting in just 1,092 receiving yards. Put differently, while Fitzgerald was sixth in targets (152), he was 16th in yards. At 6-3, 215, and blessed with great agility, athleticism and perhaps the best hands in the league, Fitzgerald’s never been a burner, but he had been able to use his size, strength and leaping ability to make plays down the field. But last season he had just 12 catches of 20 yards or more and none of 40-plus. And while Fitzgerald is a perhaps the best red-zone receiver in the league, he only saw nine looks from inside the 10 (tied for 11th), five of which he converted for scores. With Anquan Boldin gone, Fitzgerald should continue to be heavily targeted, and it’s almost certain he’ll have better efficiency numbers than last year. But whether the Cardinals offense as a whole takes a significant step back with Matt Leinart/Derek Anderson replacing the retired Kurt Warner, or head coach Ken Whisenhunt turns more frequently to the bruising running of Beanie Wells from in close remains to be seen.
After Fitzgerald split the league’s No. 1 defense for a 64-yard go-ahead touchdown catch with 2:47 left in the Super Bowl, it was hard even to imagine how a receiver could be more dominant on the sport’s biggest stage. The catch capped off a four-game playoff run of 30 catches for 546 yards and seven touchdowns – numbers that on a prorated basis dwarf even his league-leading 12 touchdown catches and second-best 1,434 yards. At 6-3, 215, Fitzgerald has ideal size, combined with excellent quickness, agility and arguably the best hands in the game. While he’s not a burner, Fitzgerald is able to make plays down the field due to his tremendous strength, leaping ability, timing, body control and reach. Quite simply, Fitzgerald doesn’t have to be all that open – Kurt Warner can throw the ball in his direction and trust him to go get it. In fact, Fitzgerald had five receptions of 40 yards or more (ninth), but that doesn’t include the four he had in the playoffs. Fitzgerald’s development as a downfield threat in no way compromised his status as one of the league’s elite red-zone and goal-line options. He led the league in red-zone targets with 30 and finished second in red-zone touchdown catches with nine. (Teammate Anquan Boldin, who might not be around in 2009, was first with 10, as the Cardinals led the NFL in red-zone attempts). Fitzgerald also tied for the league lead in goal-line targets with 10, seven of which he converted for scores, the most in the league. The central question for this season is whether Fitzgerald picks up where he left off in the playoffs, during which Boldin missed one game and was dinged up in the others, or whether he goes back to splitting targets (in fact Boldin averaged 10.5 targets per game during the regular season to Fitzgerald’s 9.6). At press time, it looks like the Cardinals will keep Boldin who’s signed at a bargain price – unless another team blows them away with an offer. That would tilt the balance toward another roughly equal split, though it’s possible the playoffs elevated Fitzgerald to an entirely different level from which he won’t look back. Either way, Fitzgerald has the highest floor in the league, and if the playoffs are any indication, one of the highest ceilings, too.
So much for Ken Whisenhunt's run-first philosophy. The Cardinals attempted the second most passes in the NFL last season, the third most from inside the five and the sixth most from inside the 10. Part of that had to do with a defense that ranked 26th in points allowed, but we also get the feeling Whisenhunt eventually realized where the talent was on his team. With Anquan Boldin limited to 12 games, the chief beneficiary was Fitzgerald, who finished third in the NFL in targets with 166, fourth in yards, sixth in receptions and fifth in fantasy points - all despite missing a game with a groin injury. Fitzgerald might seem like a possession receiver given his size and lack of deep speed, but he averaged 14.1 yards per catch and 8.5 yards per target, a far cry from the T.J. Houshmandzadehs and Hines Wards of the league. Fitzgerald has excellent hands, runs precise routes and is deceptively quick for big receiver. He also had four catches of 40-plus yards, putting him in a nine-way tie for ninth along with Braylon Edwards and Chad Johnson among others. Fitzgerald was tied for fifth with 19 catches of 20 yards or more. Fitzgerald's been nagged by muscle injuries the last two years - he missed three games with a hamstring injury in 2006 - but when healthy he's one of the most heavily targeted and reliable wideouts in the league. The notoriously cheap Cardinals inked Fitzgerald to a $40 million deal in March, so perhaps they'll exploit his red-zone talents a little more in 2008. There's also some uncertainty as to who will be throwing him the ball next season - Matt Leinart's returning from a broken collarbone, but Kurt Warner played well in Leinart's absence.
Despite missing three games outright, playing the second half of the season on a hamstring that was less than 100 percent and helping the team break in a rookie quarterback, Fitzgerald still managed to bring in 63 percent of his 110 targets (ninth among receivers with 100 or more) and average a respectable 8.6 yards per look. At 6-3, 226, Fitzgerald has ideal red-zone size, and the Cardinals didn’t hesitate to look in his direction there – his 18 targets tied him for ninth overall, and that was despite playing just 13 games for the league’s 18th-ranked offense. Fitzgerald’s not a burner, and he’s unlikely to make a lot of downfield plays-- in fact, all six of his touchdowns came from within the red-zone. But his outstanding leaping ability coupled with his reach, strength and tremendous hands gives him the ability to go up over defenders in the middle of the field and occasionally on deeper routes – just two receptions of 40-plus yards last year, but four in 2005. Now that Fitzgerald’s apparently done pouting over the firing of Dennis Green, we expect him to fit in well in new coach Ken Whisenhunt’s more creative offensive scheme. The projected development of quarterback Matt Leinart in his second season and the selection of tackle Levi Brown in the draft bode well for Arizona’s offense as a whole, and Fitzgerald in particular. One concern, however, is that if Whisenhunt puts more emphasis on the running game as he did in Pittsburgh, there might not be less targets to be divided between Fitzgerald and teammate Anquan Boldin.
The other half of Arizona’s 100-catch duo, and the fourth-most targeted receiver in the league, Fitzgerald took a major leap forward in his second pro season, finishing fourth in receiving yards and tied for fourth in receiving touchdowns. Fitzgerald is a smooth athlete, with excellent strength and leaping ability, and like teammate Anquan Boldin, he’s very quick for his size. Fitzgerald has tremendous hands, and plays with great focus, so he almost never drops a pass. Fitzgerald’s not a burner (though he did catch four passes for 40-yards plus), but at 6-3, 221, he’s even bigger than Boldin, and as such, sees more touches close to the goal line – Fitzgerald had four passes thrown to him from inside the five, two of which resulted in scores. As a result, Fitzgerald scored 10 touchdowns to Boldin’s seven, and is probably the better bet in touchdown-heavy leagues going forward. Like Boldin, Fitzgerald could lose opportunities if Edgerrin James’ arrival restarts the running game or if the Cardinals defense takes another step forward. An injury to Kurt Warner, or a poor start by the team could bring on the Matt Leinart era, which wouldn’t bode well for Fitzgerald’s near term production. That said, Fitzgerald is one of the top young receivers in the game entering his third season and playing for a coach (Dennis Green) who has always gotten a lot out of his passing game – the downside here isn’t too steep.
Hyped for his 6-2, 223-pound frame, great hands and outstanding concentration, Fitzgerald didn’t set the world on fire during his first season, but few rookie receivers do. And the Josh McCown-John Navarre-Shaun King quarterbacking trio didn’t make things any easier. Still, Fitzgerald was able to leverage his size in the red zone, converting three of eight passes from inside the 20 for scores, and two of four from inside the five. Fitzgerald’s not a burner – just one catch of 40-plus yards last year – and he’s not shifty enough to avoid tacklers in the open field. But with the arrival of Kurt Warner, and the return of Anquan Boldin for a full season, the Arizona passing game should see a nice lift, and Fitzgerald should benefit, especially around the goal line.
The Pittsburgh prodigy is the best bet among rookie receivers to thrive this year. Not blessed with blazing speed, Fitzgerald more than makes up for it with size, strength, quickness off the line, great hands and precise route running. But Fitzgerald was drafted at age 20 and will likely need to adjust to the superior NFL competition. Plus there are only so many balls to go around in Arizona, and the inexperienced Josh McCown is throwing them.