30-Year-Old Quarterback – Green Bay Packers
2014 Fantasy Football Outlook
With a little luck in the durability department, Rodgers should reestablish himself as one of the top fantasy quarterbacks in 2014. He threw for 84 combined touchdowns in 2011 and 2012 and was on pace...
Aaron Rodgers Contract Information:
Agreed to a five-year, $110 million contract extension with the Packers in April of 2013.
Rodgers completed 16-of-27 passes for 162 yards and a touchdown Sunday against the Lions.
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|Passing||Pass Distance||Big Pass Games||Rushing||Fumbles|
|2014 Proj||30||GB||Subscribe now to see our 2013 projections for Aaron Rodgers|
Age is determined on September 1st of each season.
|Fantasy Points Per Game||Passing Stats||Red Zone Passes||Red Zone Runs|
|2014 Proj||30||GB||Subscribe now to see our 2014 projections for Aaron Rodgers|
Age is determined on September 1st of each season.
|Snap Count||Passing||Pass Distance||Rushing||Fumbles||Red Zone Passes||Red Zone Runs|
A blank stat line is used above whenever a player was not on the field for any plays in the game that week.
Aaron Rodgers: Past News Updates ( ▲ View most recent update )
Exclusive Fantasy Analysis (FREE PREVIEW)Rodgers was rested during the Packers' opening preseason game, but will take the field in St. Louis this time around. That being said, it's unclear just how long Rodgers will feature for, but it doesn't figure to be long considering his status as one of the league's elite quarterbacks. However, outside of Jordy Nelson and Randall Cobb, Rodgers is somewhat unfamiliar with his other passing targets, so Saturday should allow an opportunity to build chemistry in a game setting.
Exclusive Fantasy Analysis (FREE PREVIEW)The Packers are as cautious as anyone when it comes to players returning from injury, especially their franchise quarterback, so this report should come as no surprise. Expect Rodgers to be at 100 percent heading into OTAs.
Exclusive Fantasy Analysis (FREE PREVIEW)Rodgers was under heavy pressure early in the cold playoff game against the 49ers and did not complete a pass in the first quarter. Given the tough conditions, he was able to take control of the offense and move the chains, spreading the ball around on short completions. It was an injury-shortened season for Rodgers that emphasized his importance to the Packers. Though limited to nine games, he still posted a passer rating greater than 100 for the fifth straight season.
RotoWire's Preseason Outlooks
Rodgers threw for an impressive 4,295 yards in 2012, but there's actually room for improvement as he recorded the lowest YPA (7.8) since he became a starter in 2008. The quarterback started the season with an average of only 251 yards and one passing touchdown per game over the Packers' first three contests. Don't expect that to happen again. Further, there's a good chance Rodgers' touchdown total will increase as well. He threw 39 touchdowns in 2012 but actually had fewer attempts inside the opponent's 10-yard line than the other top scorers – Drew Brees, Tom Brady, Peyton Manning, Cam Newton and Matt Ryan – and by a wide margin. Brees alone had nearly twice as many passes (55) as Rodgers (29) in that area. At worst, you can probably expect Rodgers' 7.1 percent touchdown rate – down from 9.0 percent in 2011 – to remain steady in 2013. And don't forget about what the Packers quarterback can give you on the ground. Rodgers has never failed to rush for 200 yards in a season, and he's averaged nearly four rushing touchdowns per year since he became a starter. Rodgers snuck into the end zone on the ground just twice last season, so there's yet another area where the superstar's stats could "regress" in a good way.
Rodgers was beyond brilliant in 2011, completing 68.3 percent of his passes while averaging 9.2 yards per attempt, resulting in 4,643 yards in just 15 games. What’s even more impressive is that Rodgers threw 45 touchdowns on just 502 passes. That means nine percent of his passes – nearly one in 10 – went for a touchdown. He did all this while throwing just six interceptions. He added 257 yards and three touchdowns on the ground, too. With the exception of a puzzling loss to the Chiefs in Week 15, Rodgers was unstoppable perhaps to an extent that hasn’t really been seen before – he scored at least two touchdowns in every game, three or more in 10 games, and for all but that one week against the Chiefs, defenses looked entirely helpless against him. Even in his one “bad” game he still scored 22 points in standard leagues. His top pass catchers from a year ago are all back, with wideouts Greg Jennings and Jordy Nelson headlining the list after combining for 24 touchdowns in 2011.
Coming off an impressive Super Bowl campaign, Rodgers is arguably the league’s top quarterback for both fantasy and real-life purposes. He isn’t granted as many pass attempts – his 475 in 15 games ranked 14th – as players like Drew Brees and Peyton Manning, but he closes that gap with efficiency (8.26 YPA, 2nd) and his ability to move the ball on the ground. Rodgers can be expected to hover around 300 yards and four touchdowns as a runner, while Brees and Manning aren’t even guaranteed to post positive yardage in that regard. Rodgers might need to be a bit more cautious as a runner in 2011 after suffering two concussions last year, but that he’s only missed one game in three years probably indicates last year’s concussions were bad luck more than anything in Rodgers’ control. Moreover, Rodgers has gotten better in each of the last two seasons, and he improved as last season progressed, totaling 1,911 yards, 16 touchdowns and two interceptions through the air while completing 71.4 percent of his passes and averaging 9.3 yards per pass attempt over the final seven games. While Rodgers had a deep wide receiver corps last season, he had to do without star tight end Jermichael Finley for most of the year. If Finley, who's expected back in time for training camp, can stay healthy, we might see Rodgers establish a new ceiling.
Rodgers is an incredible fantasy weapon boosted significantly by his consistent running – nine scores in two seasons and 316 rushing yards in 2009. We hate his sack number, 50 in 2009. But the rate improved steadily in the second half of the season, and the Packers improved their offensive line adding OT Bryan Bulaga in the first round of the draft. So the injury risk is less significant than it appeared to be last October. That’s the only possible question mark anyone could have regarding Rodgers, who looks to be the perfect player. Rodgers is very consistent and also very explosive. His rushing ability coupled with his passing proclivity makes Rodgers the man most likely to carry your team from this position. Rodgers’ receivers are also stronger than ever. The cold weather in Green Bay can be unfriendly to the pass, but Rodgers gets big scheduling breaks up until Week 15 and that alone is the reason he’s not our No. 1 QB, though you can certainly make a case. Remember, you need to make the playoffs before you worry about playoff matchups, and getting Rodgers puts you in good stead for that.
He’s going to be on a lot of championship rosters in 2009, should he slip past the fourth round. Most attractive are the 536 attempts. Although the Packers have sought to upgrade the defense, we’re not too optimistic. Expect about 550 again in ’09, as any gains on defense will probably be balanced by increased confidence from the coaching staff in Rodgers, now in his second full year as starter. His big-armed reputation isn’t evidenced in our FAS throws (11-to-20 yards from scrimmage), just a 84.2 rating on 107 tosses and just 20 percent of his attempts (below league average). Of bigger concern for Rodgers rooters is the status of his O-Line. LT Chad Clifton allowed 7.5 sacks last year and is coming off knee surgery, and fellow tackle Mark Tauscher tore his ACL in December and might not be re-signed. OT/G T.J. Lang (Eastern Michigan) was a good middle-round value, but probably needs seasoning. The receivers are good enough, with Greg Jennings a borderline Pro Bowl-type and Donald Driver a declining but still solid chain-mover. No. 3 WR Jordy Nelson has reliable hands but no deep speed. But Rodgers had a 7.5 YPA as a first-year starter, and that’s more likely to get better than worse. And 7.5-plus gets you 25-plus TD passes 80 percent of the time (assuming a healthy season). And if he progresses to 8.0, which is not crazy speculation at all given his place in the development curve, then you’re talking 30-plus TD passes as chalk.
Brett Favre went out with a bang, putting up a season that defied all expectations in light of his recent trends. Rodgers looked so good in a very high-profile game in Dallas (when he replaced an injured Favre) that he's likely going to be overdrafted everywhere. Caution is the best approach here, as he's thown 59 passes in his career. General manager Ted Thompson said to read nothing into the selection of Brian Brohm in the second round. But you don’t take QBs in the second round if you think they're just going to be backups. So clearly the team is not sold on Rodgers. Make sure you aren't either, no matter how he plays in those meaningless summer games. The Packers play calling tendencies are great for fantasy QBs, but that's likely to change now that their Hall of Fame quarterback has retired. The Packers have an exciting young runner in Ryan Grant and an interesting backup in former second-round pick Brandon Jackson. Their defense is also stout, and they play in a division where all of the teams likely will struggle to score. So they don’t have to pass the ball often and probably won't.
Rodgers still has the No. 2 spot locked in, but with Brett Favre in the starting spot, Rodgers is not likely to see much time unless the Packers find themselves completely out of the division race. He's only thrown 31 passes in two NFL seasons so far, and it seemed like the Packers were willing to trade him earlier had the right offer come along.
Rodgers was the Packers' first round pick in 2005 and is their future at quarterback, assuming that Brett Favre retires at some point.
Rodgers, the Packers first round pick in 2005, will likely be listed as the second string QB this season, but it will probably be in name only. Don't expect him to see any extended game action for one or two years.