27-Year-Old Quarterback – Detroit Lions
2015 Fantasy Football Outlook
Despite having the best stable of offensive weapons in his career, Stafford largely disappointed last season. Stafford's never been especially efficient, as his best seasons were mostly products of tr...
Matthew Stafford Contract Information:
In July of 2013, Stafford agreed to a three-year contract extension with the Lions. Stafford had two years worth $23.5 million remaining on his previous contract, with his extension resulting in $53 million in new money. Stafford's deal now runs through the 2017 season and includes $43 million in guarantees.
Stafford completed 22 of 35 passes for 282 yards in Sunday's win over Oakland. He added six carries for 31 yards and a touchdown.
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|Passing||Pass Distance||Big Pass Games||Rushing||Fumbles|
|2015 Proj||27||DET||Subscribe now to see our 2013 projections for Matthew Stafford|
Age is determined on September 1st of each season.
|Fantasy Points Per Game||Passing Stats||Red Zone Passes||Red Zone Runs|
|2015 Proj||27||DET||Subscribe now to see our 2015 projections for Matthew Stafford|
Age is determined on September 1st of each season.
|Snap Count||Passing||Pass Distance||Rushing||Fumbles||Red Zone Passes||Red Zone Runs|
A blank stat line is used above whenever a player was not on the field for any plays in the game that week.
Matthew Stafford: Past News Updates ( ▲ View most recent update )
Exclusive Fantasy Analysis (FREE PREVIEW)Stafford took a beating behind a Lions offensive line that allowed seven sacks Sunday. Although that damage was compounded by an injury to his non-throwing hand, the quarterback was still able to finish Sunday's contest, and fortunately his post-game X-rays were returned negative. As a result, Stafford should be relatively fine moving forward, but the hits he's taken lately have surely contributed to his struggles this season.
RotoWire's Preseason Outlooks
Despite throwing to one of the league's thinnest receiver rotations and finishing the year with a miserable four-game stretch in which he threw for just two touchdowns and five interceptions, Stafford still managed to finish his fifth season with 4,650 yards and 29 touchdowns. It's safe to expect improvement in 2014, perhaps to a significant extent, especially considering the Lions secured two major pass-catching upgrades in the offseason by signing wide receiver Golden Tate away from Seattle and drafting tight end Eric Ebron with the 10th overall pick. Tate was extremely efficient for the the Seahawks, averaging 9.6 yards per target over the last two seasons. By contrast, second- and third-leading Lions' wideouts, Nate Burleson and Kris Durham, averaged only 8.5 and 5.8 yards per target last season, respectively. Ebron, meanwhile, provides wideout speed on a 6-foot-4, 245-pound frame, and he showed a knack for making spectacular catches at North Carolina. Ebron actually led the Tar Heels in receptions and receiving yardage last season, tallying 62 catches for 973 yards (15.7 YPC). He'll be a major upgrade over Brandon Pettigrew and gives Stafford a legitimate red-zone alternative to Calvin Johnson. Reggie Bush and Joique Bell will continue providing Stafford with solid production both in the running and receiving games.
Coming off of a season in which he attempted 727 passes – the most in NFL history – Stafford has plenty of room to become more efficient. Stafford's 59.8-percent completion rate matched his career mark, but that's not a good thing in the quarterback’s fourth season in the league. And his 6.8 YPA ranked him 21st among the 29 QBs with 300 passing attempts. While Stafford passed for nearly 5,000 yards, he threw for only 20 touchdowns – fewer than half of what he mustered in 2011 – and 17 picks. If he can post increases in completion percentage and YPA – something that's likely with the weapons in Detroit, including free agent running back Reggie Bush – Stafford has top-quarterback potential. And his record-setting passing volume was no anomaly – he attempted the fifth-most attempts in league history in 2011. Stafford is also the perfect example of why our perception of "injury proneness" is flawed. After playing in only 13 of the Lions’ 32 games in 2009 and 2010, Stafford hasn't missed a game over the past two seasons. It's more likely Stafford was never really any more susceptible to injuries than anyone else, but simply got unlucky.
Stafford might have the lowest floor of the QBs in this range due to durability concerns. Even in last year’s 16-game showing, he suffered a fractured finger on his right hand and played through injuries to his ankle and knee. It’s encouraging that he was still able to perform at a high level, but coming off a two-year span in which he missed 19 games, it would have been more reassuring had Stafford steered clear of trouble entirely. Still, even if he’s a relative risk, his upside is too high for him to be listed any lower. Stafford is a good bet to lead the league in passing attempts, while playing in an offense that might have the NFL’s best receiver, as well as four or five other productive targets. He averaged 7.6 yards per pass while throwing the ball 663 times in 2011, resulting in 5,038 yards and 41 touchdowns against just 16 interceptions. As long as he (and Calvin Johnson) stay healthy, Stafford is a virtual lock to put up big numbers.
Stafford would probably be ranked higher if he weren’t such a health risk. He has dealt with injuries to his right knee and both shoulders in his two-year career, with two throwing-shoulder injuries limiting him to just three appearances last season. But in the games Stafford did play, he put up very nice fantasy numbers. He totaled 452 yards, six passing touchdowns, one interception and a rushing touchdown against Washington and the Jets. If he could just stay on the field, the strong-armed Stafford would be in a great position to build on those two games, as he has a good supporting cast at the skill positions—Mikel Leshoure and Jahvid Best at running back, Brandon Pettigrew and Tony Scheffler at tight end and Calvin Johnson, Nate Burleson and Titus Young at wideout.
It was a predictably tough rookie year for Stafford after the Lions threw him to the wolves. He got banged up (knee, shoulder) but should be ready for training camp. Take out one big game against the Browns and Stafford threw eight TDs with 18 picks. There is Calvin Johnson, though. He’s a freakishly athletic wide receiver who could almost single-handedly carry Stafford to about 20 TDs. Given the indoor environment and the Lions poor defense, you have a QB situation worth considering. In leagues that do not count picks, Stafford can be a late-round bargain and someone who can really help a savvy owner who plays matchups and sticks to Lions home games.
Even though the Lions took Stafford with the No. 1 overall pick in April, Daunte Culpepper will be a caretaker behind center. And he should be one for the whole year because if Stafford goes out there with this team, he will likely get beat up and then could be shell-shocked for years. Throwing Culpepper to the wolves makes the most sense. New head coach Jim Schwartz, the former defensive coordinator of the Titans, is likely to rely on offensive coordinator Scott Linehan to call the plays. Linehan has been QB friendly in the past – especially for the Vikings (three years beginning in 2002). By now most people realize Calvin Johnson is the LeBron James of the NFL – same type of freakish manchild. But the Lions also have some decent complementary weapons – Ronald Curry and Bryant Johnson both have decent speed for their size, tight-end Brandon Pettigrew was the team’s first-round pick and tailback Kevin Smith is also a good receiver. Moreover, Linehan likes to call pass plays in the red zone and near the goal-line, so that alone should provide a few extra touchdowns for Lions signal-callers. Of course, if the Lions struggle – which they likely will – there’s no telling when Stafford will replace Culpepper, either during particular games, or for good. And if that happens, it’s unrealistic to expect Stafford to be Matt Ryan. The consensus is that Stafford is a supremely talented thrower (though there was too much wobble in his passes in the games we reviewed) not remotely prepared to step in and start early. Look at the rookie year of the player to whom he’s most compared for valuation guidance. Jay Cutler played five games as a rookie and played well, but was available on the waiver wire in non-keeper formats as Stafford will be in the unlikely event he starts even that meager number of contests after Thanksgiving.