RotoWire Partners

According to the Data: Using Scarcity to Find Value in 2013 Drafts

Jonathan Bales

Jonathan Bales

Jonathan Bales is the author of the Fantasy Football for Smart People book series. In addition to RotoWire, Jonathan also provides content to the New York Times, Dallas Morning News, DallasCowboys.com, and NBC.

Using Scarcity to Find Value in 2013 Drafts

In some ways, I believe advanced fantasy football owners understand drafts better than NFL GMs. Yes, I said it. The primary reason is that pretty much every established fantasy owner has a keen sense of position scarcity; while NFL teams proclaim the value of continually (and blindly) selecting the highest-rated player, fantasy owners understand their board isn't the only factor in choosing the perfect team. In addition to sticking to their rankings and drafting for need (yes, need. . .gasp!), owners also weigh position depth - or scarcity - into their draft decisions.

There are a number of complex draft strategies that incorporate scarcity, most of them centered around how a player compares to a "typical" player at his position. The greater the difference and the fewer comparable players at the position, the greater the scarcity. And just like gold or any other tangible commodity, scarce things are valuable.


You've reached the end of our free article preview.
See below to find out how you can read the full version of this article.

Subscribe to RotoWire now and you'll be reading the full version of this article in minutes.

At RotoWire, we give our subscribers everything. That means not only will you be able to read this article, you'll be able to read ALL our articles.

Plus, you'll get all of these great benefits:

➤ Amazing draft kits.  ➤ Full stat projections.
➤ Exclusive cheat sheets.  ➤ Customizable rankings.
➤ Instant news updates.  ➤ Free multi-sport access.
➤ Private expert Q&A.  ➤ And much more!

Get Access To RotoWire Now

Already Registered? Login Now

If you already have a RotoWire account, please login below with your username and password.



Forgot your password?
Click here to have your user info emailed to you.

Questions? Need Assistance?
Talk to a live person toll free at (888) 201-3057.