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According to the Data: Pass-Catching Backs in PPR Leagues

Jonathan Bales

Jonathan Bales

Jonathan Bales is the author of the Fantasy Football for Smart People book series. In addition to RotoWire, Jonathan also provides content to the New York Times, Dallas Morning News, DallasCowboys.com, and NBC.

Are Pass-Catching Running Backs Undervalued in PPR?

In almost all cases, I advocate a contrarian fantasy football draft strategy, i.e. going against public opinion. That's because consensus beliefs are factored into average draft position, and you can't acquire value by emphasizing traits or stats that are already a component of a player's ADP. That idea is why I'm so high on receivers Josh Gordon and Justin Blackmon; after being suspended, the ADP for both players plummeted. It has dropped too far, however, and now two players who will miss at least six combined games both hold value.

With such a viewpoint as the backbone of my pre-draft thought process, I figured owners might actually be able to acquire value in PPR leagues by targeting running backs who don't catch a lot of passes. I figured the PPR market was efficient enough that not only would pass-catching backs rise substantially in PPR leagues, but they might actually move too far. If everyone is t

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