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According to the Data: Comparing Expert Rankings to ADP

Jonathan Bales

Jonathan Bales

Jonathan Bales is the author of the Fantasy Football for Smart People book series. In addition to RotoWire, Jonathan also provides content to the New York Times, Dallas Morning News,, and NBC.

Comparing Expert Rankings to ADP

We recently released our Top 200 Overall Composite Rankings. I think there's a ton of value in aggregate rankings because they factor out individual biases. Generally, such an approach "wisdom of the crowds" will beat individual rankings. Each of the guys put in lots of work to generate their individual rankings, yet chances are the average of their rankings will outperform most of them on an individual basis. That's not a knock on the RotoWire experts at all - they're some of the best in the business - but it's just a likelihood given that aggregates typically beat out individuals.

Let's look at the rankings of Drew Brees, for example. Two of the experts - Mark Stopa and Kevin Payne - have Brees ranked 21st overall, while Luke Hoover has him all the way up at No. 13 and Chris Liss has him down at No. 31. Luke and Chris could certainly be correct in t

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