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According to the Data: Using History to Craft 2013 Rankings

Jonathan Bales

Jonathan Bales

Jonathan Bales is the author of the Fantasy Football for Smart People book series. In addition to RotoWire, Jonathan also provides content to the New York Times, Dallas Morning News, DallasCowboys.com, and NBC.

Using History to Craft Your 2013 Fantasy Football Rankings

One of the major errors I see fantasy owners make is approaching the draft as if their projections and rankings are flawless. They often rank players as if their views are undoubtedly superior to others' opinions, then draft as if those rankings are flawless. The best fantasy owners, however, leave room for error.

They have a good idea of their own imperfections, and they act accordingly.
That was the general concept behind last week's article comparing the RotoWire Top 200 Overall Composite Rankings to ADP. Aggregate rankings are valuable because they don't give much weight to outliers. When you rank a player well above or below the consensus of experts, you really have to examine that player in greater depth. You might be right, but the more your op

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