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Run 'N' Shoot: Who Cares About the Industry Consensus?

Mark Stopa

Mark Stopa

Mark Stopa has been sharing his fantasy insights for Rotowire since 2007. Mark is the 2010 and 2012 Staff Picks champion (eat your heart out, Chris Liss) and won Rotowire's 14-team Staff League II in consecutive seasons. He roots for the Bills and has season tickets on the second row, press level to the Rays.

"Troy Aikman." My college friends and I will always remember the pick, along with our eruption of laughter following it. The pick was nearly 20 years ago, when a friend showed up on draft day without a magazine, without a list, and, unsure who to draft, picked Troy Aikman as his first round fantasy choice. Aikman was a great player, of course, but never close to being first-round worthy in fantasy circles.

Avoiding the "Troy Aikman" pick is what motivates many fantasy players. We don't want to be the butt of jokes all year. We don't want to stray from industry consensus and choose a player who flames out. As a result, many fantasy players - subconsciously or not - draft players as if they're a slave to ADP. We take who the Cheat sheet says we should take, unwilling to stray too far from industry consensus.

This same dynamic exists for those who work in the industry. Nobody wants to go out on a limb for fear of looking stupid, particularly when our opin

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