I vowed to trust my observations for Week 1, rather than parsing the public betting and sharp/square angle, and the outcome wasn't pretty. That's okay - sometimes when you tinker with your mechanics, the results get worse before they get better.
A few of the games were fourth quarter coin flips - CAR-SEA, ATL-NO, NYG-DAL, CHI-CIN, GB-SF, and I went 1-3-1 on those. I did miss on all five of my best bets, however, and went 2-1 on games in which I was just guessing. All in all, I was off, though Week 1 always comes with extra uncertainty.
My best bets this week are the Jets, Ravens, Rams, Bucs, Jaguars and Giants. The Chargers-Eagles, Texans-Titans, Redskins-Packers and Panthers-Bills were coin flips.
Jets +12.5 at Patriots
The short week usually favors the home team, but the Jets defense is still good, and the Pats can't stretch the field. That Danny Amendola is iffy and Shane Vereen out only makes thi You've reached the end of our free article preview.
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