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Survivor: Surviving Week 2

Chris Liss

Chris Liss

Chris Liss is RotoWire's Managing Editor and Host of RotoWIre Fantasy Sports Today on Sirius XM radio.

Surviving Week 2

Three facts need to be acknowledged before we proceed to this week's slate: (1) The main source of carnage in Week 1 was the Steelers; and (2) They were my pick (The Bucs knocked a few others out, but roughly half as many people were on them); and (3) The math in Week 1 wasn't right. I used Steelers chances to win vs. the Patriots chances to win, when I should have compared Steelers win/Pats loss for Pats win/Steelers loss. It would not have changed the pick once I put the Steelers at 80 percent, but I realized writing up Week 2 that I did it wrong. I'm pretty sure I've made this mistake before (in prior years), and it discounts the chance-to-win variable too much. I'm sorry about that. It's likely it skewed a couple of my prior picks.

I also wrote (scroll down) about this at some length in East Coast

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