RotoWire Partners

According to the Data: Home/Road Splits

Jonathan Bales

Jonathan Bales

Jonathan Bales is the author of the Fantasy Football for Smart People book series. In addition to RotoWire, Jonathan also provides content to the New York Times, Dallas Morning News,, and NBC.

How to Project Passing Stats Based on Game Location (Home vs. Road):

We know teams play better at home because home teams typically see around a three-point spike in the Vegas lines. It follows that skill position players will post better fantasy numbers when they're playing at home as compared to when they're on the road.

But how much different? Are the differences meaningful? If so, do they extend to all positions? Can we translate the data into actionable information to help project players?

I'm not going to touch why home teams play better. In all likelihood, it's a combination of things: no travel, an extra day of game prep, the crowd, help from the referees, whatever. We know an effect exists, so I just want to figure out how we can potentially take advantage of it for fantasy purposes.
In this article, I'll take a look at passing stats.

Passing Stats Based on Game Location

I've done some research that sug

You've reached the end of our free article preview.
See below to find out how you can read the full version of this article.

Subscribe to RotoWire now and you'll be reading the full version of this article in minutes.

At RotoWire, we give our subscribers everything. That means not only will you be able to read this article, you'll be able to read ALL our articles.

Plus, you'll get all of these great benefits:

➤ Amazing draft kits.  ➤ Full stat projections.
➤ Exclusive cheat sheets.  ➤ Customizable rankings.
➤ Instant news updates.  ➤ Free multi-sport access.
➤ Private expert Q&A.  ➤ And much more!

Get Access To RotoWire Now

Already Registered? Login Now

If you already have a RotoWire account, please login below with your username and password.

Forgot your password?
Click here to have your user info emailed to you.

Questions? Need Assistance?
Talk to a live person toll free at (888) 201-3057.

Top Fantasy Football Player News
No major news stories have been reported recently.