This is the 16th year I've written this column, believe it or not, and I'm going to change a few things up. For starters, I'll make a few best bets each week and separately keep track of my record on them. While it's nice to have something to say on the entire slate - and I realize people are in office pools that require you pick every game - I usually don't have strong leans on more than a few. The benefit of this is I have a chance to win 60 percent or more - something that's nearly impossible with 256 games, many of which are coin flips.
The downside, of course, is a chance to do really terribly - it's hard to get much lower than 45 percent with a full slate over the whole year as there's safety in numbers. But after finishing around .500 the last several years and sweating out games I might as well have picked out of a hat, I'd rather focus on
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