MLB Betting: Wednesday Best Bets

MLB Betting: Wednesday Best Bets

This article is part of our MLB Betting series.

Previous article: 2-2, -0.32 RW Bucks          
Season: 71-73-6, -7.99 RW Bucks

I'm focusing in on one matinee and one evening game from Wednesday's big split slate, with expectations of some runs in the former and a lower-scoring contest in the latter.

Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros, 2:10 PM ET

Starting Pitchers: Tyler Anderson vs. Jose Urquidy   

The Pick: Astros To Score First And Win (+120 on DraftKings Sportsbook) for 1 RW Buck

Secondary Pick: Astros Over 5 Runs (+106 on FanDuel Sportsbook) for 1 RW Buck

The Astros have been lethal versus left-handers at home in the second half of the season, posting a .309 average, .945 OPS and MLB-high .398 wOBA and 164 wRC+ in that split. Current Houston bats also own a collective .308/.370/.694 slash line against Anderson in 69 career encounters, while Urquidy has a 3.09 ERA and .227 wOBA allowed over two starts against the Mariners this season.

Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs, 7:40 PM ET

Starting Pitchers: Vladimir Gutierrez vs. Alec Mills

The Pick: Under 5 runs – first 5 innings (-120 on DraftKings Sportsbook)

Secondary Pick: Reds moneyline (-120 on Caesars Sportsbook) for 1 RW Buck

Gutierrez owns a 2.55 ERA and has given up just a .242 wOBA versus the Cubs in three starts, and he's been an impressive road performer with a 6-2 mark and 3.58 ERA. Meanwhile, Mills has a 4-2 record at Wrigley Field and has an 11:1 K:BB across 12.2 innings versus the Reds this season. Both squads also rank in the bottom half of baseball in terms of average runs per first five innings in the home/road splits that apply, with the Reds putting up just 2.1 runs per 5 innings on when traveling and the Cubs mustering just 2.8 in that split at home.   

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Juan Carlos Blanco
Winner of the FSWA 2016 Newcomer of the Year Award, Juan Carlos Blanco has been playing fantasy sports for over 20 years and covers NBA, MLB, NFL, CFL and Arena Football for Rotowire.com, including serving as the beat writer for teams in multiple sports. He has previously written for KFFL.com and remains an avid season-long and daily fantasy player in multiple sports as well.
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