Seth Lugo
34-Year-Old
2023 Stats
W-L
8-7
ERA
3.57
WHIP
1.20
K
140
SV
0
2024 Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Lugo, long a multi-inning reliever, was a full-time starter in 2023 for the first time with mixed results. He finished the season with solid ratios, but a decline in strikeouts and wins in just 8 of his 33 starts limited his overall fantasy value. Lugo has long been known for his high spin rate pitches, but his two primary offerings did not perform the same as a starter as they did when he came in from the pen. The league hit .171 off his fastball and .159 off his curveball in 2022, but those numbers jumped to .247 and .280 last year when he worked as a starter despite both pitches maintaining their high spin rates. Lugo's velocity dipped a bit working in the rotation as well. He opted out of the final year of his deal to become a free agent and cashed in with a three-year, $45 million deal in Kansas City. The workload increase of nearly 100 innings from 2021 to last year is a concern, but Lugo's contract should assure him a rotation spot with the Royals while he remains healthy. Read Past Outlooks
Successful in spring debut
Lugo pitched two scoreless innings, allowing a hit, a walk and a hit batsman while striking out one in his Cactus League debut Monday versus the Cubs.
ANALYSIS
Lugo admitted to some nerves before the game, Anne Rogers of MLB.com reports. Lugo is embarking on his first season with the Royals after spending his first seven major-league campaigns with the Mets before pitching with the Padres last year. The right-hander projects to be one of the Royals' top starters after pitching to a 3.57 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 140:36 K:BB over 146.1 innings last year, his first as a full-time starter since 2017.
Lugo admitted to some nerves before the game, Anne Rogers of MLB.com reports. Lugo is embarking on his first season with the Royals after spending his first seven major-league campaigns with the Mets before pitching with the Padres last year. The right-hander projects to be one of the Royals' top starters after pitching to a 3.57 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 140:36 K:BB over 146.1 innings last year, his first as a full-time starter since 2017.
Pitching Stats
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2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2023 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
91
Last 10 Games
94
Last 5 Games
99
How many pitches does Seth Lugo generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Seth Lugo generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2021
-9%
BAA vs LHP
2023
-3%
BAA vs RHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2021vs Left | .231 | 130 | 41 | 107 | 18 | |||
Since 2021vs Right | .253 | 134 | 32 | 132 | 16 | |||
2023vs Left | .252 | 76 | 18 | 72 | 12 | |||
2023vs Right | .245 | 64 | 18 | 68 | 7 | |||
2022vs Left | .167 | 33 | 8 | 17 | 3 | |||
2022vs Right | .279 | 36 | 10 | 41 | 6 | |||
2021vs Left | .237 | 21 | 15 | 18 | 3 | |||
2021vs Right | .237 | 34 | 4 | 23 | 3 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2021
-8%
ERA at Home
2023
-4%
ERA on Road
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2021Home | 3.40 | 1.22 | 121.2 | 9.8 | 2.7 | ||||
Since 2021Away | 3.71 | 1.21 | 136.0 | 8.7 | 2.4 | ||||
2023Home | 3.66 | 1.23 | 64.0 | 8.9 | 2.1 | ||||
2023Away | 3.50 | 1.18 | 82.1 | 8.4 | 2.3 | ||||
2022Home | 3.41 | 1.17 | 31.2 | 10.5 | 2.8 | ||||
2022Away | 3.78 | 1.17 | 33.1 | 8.6 | 2.2 | ||||
2021Home | 2.77 | 1.23 | 26.0 | 11.4 | 3.8 | ||||
2021Away | 4.43 | 1.38 | 20.1 | 9.7 | 3.5 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Seth Lugo compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
3.89K/9
8.6BB/9
2.2HR/9
1.2Fastball
93.4 mphERA
3.57WHIP
1.20BABIP
.307GB/FB
1.61Left On Base
76.3%Exit Velocity
83.1 mphBarrels/BBE
6.0%Spin Rate
2567 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
26.9%Swinging Strike
9.5%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Seth Lugo See More
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
Lugo signed a one-year, $7.5 deal with the Padres that includes incentives for starting and relieving. The 33-year-old has appeared in 275 games throughout his seven-year career, with only 38 of those outings coming as a starter. Lugo has worked exclusively in relief the past two seasons, compiling a 3.56 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 124:37 K:BB over 111.1 innings, but he currently projects to open 2023 as San Diego's fifth starter and will build up as such. If he wins that job during spring training, it's reasonable to envision him shifting to the bullpen at some point, similar to Nick Martinez last year.
More Fantasy News
Gets three years, $45M from KC
Lugo agreed to a three-year, $45 million contract with the Royals on Tuesday, Jon Heyman of the New York Post reports.
ANALYSIS
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Declines player option
Lugo declined his player option for the 2024 season on Thursday, Ari Alexander of KRPC2 reports.
ANALYSIS
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Dominant in eighth win
Lugo (8-7) allowed three hits and three walks while striking out seven over 8.2 shutout innings to earn the win Tuesday over the Giants.
ANALYSIS
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Settles for no-decision Wednesday
Lugo came away with a no-decision Wednesday in the Padres' 3-2 win over the Rockies, allowing two runs on seven hits and two walks over six innings. He struck out seven.
ANALYSIS
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Collects seventh win
Lugo (7-7) allowed three runs on five hits and a walk while striking out seven over six innings to earn the win Friday over the Athletics.
ANALYSIS
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