Eric Hosmer
Eric Hosmer
30-Year-Old First Baseman1B
San Diego Padres
2020 Fantasy Outlook
Hosmer may not ever eclipse the 25-homer mark in his career; if he could not do it in 2019, it may just never happen. He elevated the ball more than he did in 2018, but it was a return to his 2016-17 ways more than anything else. Just once in the past seven seasons has he had a GB/FB rate below 2.0. He fell one run shy of driving in 100 runs for just the second time in his career despite being an everyday player nearly his entire career. That ability -- the ability to play every single day -- is what his value hinges upon. He needs to compile to produce fantasy value as he does not have any one skill that can stand alone if the playing time suffers due to injury. He was the 20th-ranked first baseman at the end of 2019, and there is nothing in the Statcast numbers to say there is anything better for him hidden underneath. He is a low-risk, low-reward player, and there is safety in that for fantasy players. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#237
ADP
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$Signed an eight-year, $144 million contract with the Padres in February of 2018. Contract includes an opt-out clause in 2023.
Launches two-run homer
1BSan Diego Padres
September 23, 2020
Hosmer went 2-for-4 with a two-run home run during Wednesday's 5-2 loss to the Angels.
ANALYSIS
The veteran first baseman went deep during the opening frame, but the two-run shot was the only scoring the Friars were able to muster all day. Hosmer is now 3-for-15 with one homer, three RBI, one walk and five strikeouts in four games since returning from the injured list over the weekend.
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Batting Stats
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2019
2018
2017
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
3
14
6
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
4
8
2
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+46%
OPS vs RHP
2020
 
 
+65%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+30%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+57%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018vs Left .561 457 34 7 49 4 .199 .254 .307
Since 2018vs Right .820 1032 132 42 154 6 .289 .346 .475
2020vs Left .598 47 5 2 9 1 .182 .234 .364
2020vs Right .984 98 17 7 26 2 .326 .378 .607
2019vs Left .600 168 12 1 16 0 .231 .280 .321
2019vs Right .781 499 60 21 83 0 .276 .321 .460
2018vs Left .527 242 17 4 24 3 .179 .240 .287
2018vs Right .829 435 55 14 45 4 .295 .368 .462
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+11%
OPS at Home
2020
 
 
+3%
OPS at Home
2019
Even Split
2018
 
 
+27%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018Home .779 722 77 25 97 6 .274 .334 .445
Since 2018Away .704 767 89 24 106 4 .248 .302 .401
2020Home .872 64 8 4 18 1 .263 .328 .544
2020Away .846 81 14 5 17 2 .289 .333 .513
2019Home .734 319 35 11 44 0 .267 .310 .423
2019Away .737 348 37 11 55 0 .263 .310 .426
2018Home .806 339 34 10 35 5 .284 .357 .449
2018Away .635 338 38 8 34 2 .223 .287 .348
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Stat Review
How does Eric Hosmer compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.32
 
BB Rate
5.8%
 
K Rate
17.9%
 
BABIP
.296
 
ISO
.231
 
AVG
.287
 
OBP
.333
 
SLG
.517
 
OPS
.851
 
wOBA
.371
 
Exit Velocity
83.6 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
42.0%
 
Barrels/PA
8.5%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
The Padres signed Hosmer to an exorbitant contact, citing presence for their young and maturing clubhouse as the driving force. Unfortunately, there's no fantasy points for intangibles, rendering the move a bust, at least for the first year. Hosmer's 95 wRC+ was the second lowest of his career, ahead of only the 80 mark posted in his sophomore season. His K% spiked to a career-high 21.0%, fueling a .253 average, the second lowest of his career. After hitting 25 homers for two consecutive campaigns, Hosmer only knocked 18 out of the yard. His 141 combined runs and RBI was his lowest since 2014 when he missed 31 games. Players can struggle transitioning to a new team and a new league, especially those saddled with a new contract. His production has typically trailed that of other first baseman, but Hosmer is likely to rebound and his price will no doubt reflect the down year, so there's profit potential if you drafted power elsewhere.
Hosmer matched his career high with 25 long balls in 2017, but with the league-wide home-run rate also reaching a new apex, the first baseman’s total didn’t even put him in the top 60 in baseball. In spite of his non-elite power production, Hosmer still captured his first Silver Slugger award by chipping in 98 runs, 94 RBI and most notably, a career-best .318 batting average, which placed him second in the American League. Hosmer’s hit tool has always made him a more stable producer in the average category than most of his contemporaries, but banking on another .300-plus mark from the 28-year-old may be asking too much. Though Hosmer showed improved plate discipline and used the opposite field more than ever before, his average was aided by a .351 BABIP, which was 35 points above his career mark. The expected decline in average dings Hosmer’s outlook, but if he’s able to maintain his power gains from the past two seasons, he could still offer one of the more well-rounded rotisserie profiles at first base.
Hosmer set a career high in homers and RBI in 2016, but then, who didn't? It's cliche, but the increased total was a matter of doubles and triples turning into homers, as his extra-base hits, slugging and isolated power all dropped. Hosmer's flyball percentage remained a low 25 percent; a 6.3 percent spike in HR/FB did the trick. The first baseman set another career high, fanning at nearly a 20 percent pace. This, in tandem with a low BABIP, especially against southpaws, led to his posting his second lowest batting average as a big leaguer (.266). All that said, Hosmer had a typical campaign, piggybacking the league trend of increased power and whiffs. He remains a fallback choice at first base, without the power usually attributed to the position but a volume contributor due to durability and an above average hit tool. If you miss out on the studs early, Hosmer remains a reliable consolation prize with a likely bounce-back in batting average, albeit with a drop in pop.
What feels like a career season for Hosmer was really more like a return to where he was in 2013 with a worse surrounding cast. The high average, high OBP and solid slugging percentage Hosmer put up in 2015 are things that he has done previously, but he had more runs scored and more runs driven in because he had a better team around him. The power that left him in 2014 came back last season and his HR/FB ratio returned to its previous levels, and he has now played in 150 games in three of the past four seasons. He could hit 20-plus homers in 2016, but there is little reason to believe a 30-homer season is anywhere in his future as long as he remains in Kansas City and his GB/FB ratio stays north of 1.5. Hosmer has to hit more flyballs to get there, and he’s at his best when he is hitting line drives all over the park.
Hosmer's counting stats suffered a significant drop-off in his 2014 season, but this can be partially attributed to a stress fracture in his hand that cost him most of August. Though many thought the first baseman was poised for a breakout season, he ended up posting career-lows in home runs (nine), RBI (58), runs (54) and steals (four). His batting average dipped 32 points from the season before, but some bad luck was to blame, as he recorded his lowest BABIP (.312) since the 2012 season. By the time Hosmer was able to get hot in the playoffs, it was too late for fantasy owners, but a .983 postseason OPS is cause for optimism heading into 2015. His 83.4% contact rate was right in line with his career average, but his line drive rate dropped over five points to 16.9%. Prospective fantasy owners are surely hoping he'll square up the ball a little bit better in his age-25 season, and if he can do that, it wouldn't be overly surprising to see him return close to the .801 OPS he posted in 2013.
Who knows what exactly George Brett said to Hosmer when he took over as the Royals' interim hitting coach, but whatever it was, it marked the turning point for the young first baseman and transformed him from a struggling hitter barely able to maintain a .250 average to a .300 hitter with strong gap power and the added ability to hit the long ball. Even after Brett stepped down, Hosmer continued to rake and batted over .300 in each of the final four months of the season with 16 home runs in that span. At just 24 years old, Hosmer has so much more ahead of him. If he can simply maintain his current level of plate discipline and contact rates, the power should continue to develop, giving him a very strong chance to elevate his game to a higher level worthy of an eventual place among the top-10 at the first base position.
Last season quickly became one to forget for the now 23-year-old Hosmer, who failed to build on his rookie season success. Though he showed some flashes of power in the early goings, Hosmer struggled to keep his batting average above .220 for the first two months and found himself in a hole from which he just could not dig himself out. He pressed at the plate, saw his strikeout totals increase, and failed to make clean contact. He had moments during the second half where it looked like he had the potential to work his way out of his struggles, but ultimately he failed and finished the year with a .232/.304/.359 slash line and his ISO dropped nearly 50 points from his rookie year. Most of Hosmer's struggles stemmed from mental hurdles, an unusually low .255 BABIP, and a shoulder issue that occurred early in the year which apparently lingered until he was shut down in mid-September, so there is definitely hope that he shrugs off the poor sophomore campaign. His price tag on draft day should be significantly lower in 2013, which could turn him into one of the better bargains this year.
Hosmer spent nearly a month at Triple-A Omaha before he was unleashed on the American League to show what all the hype was about. He finished third in the Rookie of the Year voting as he posted 19 home runs, drove in 78 runs, hit .293 and even stole 11 bases. He possesses a disciplined eye at the plate with an ability to drive the ball for power, which should serve him well for seasons to come. The only concern for fantasy owners is that there may be too much hype surrounding the 22-year-old, and he may not be able to fulfill many lofty expectations. Hosmer should make strides in 2012 toward establishing himself as the face of the Royals organization.
Hosmer is the clear-cut first baseman of the future for the Royals, and it seems the future remains a year away. With Billy Butler holding things down at first and the team going nowhere in the immediate future, the Royals aren't in a hurry to get Hosmer to the majors and start his service clock. The 21-year-old has more than held his own at every level and looks to be a bright spot for an organization that is going through some dark times.
Hosmer had vision problems that led to a miserable hitting campaign for the 2008 first-round draft pick (No. 3 overall). He's a left-handed hitter with raw power and overall upside, but it may take some time and lots of at-bats to reach that potential. He needs time to refine his mechanics and work on his stroke with his newly corrected vision (he had corrective surgery after the season). Hosmer's overall bat speed is evident, but he needs to learn to recognize pitches and be more patient at the plate. He could be ready by late 2012, but probably not much sooner. His draft position alone dictates that the Royals will be patient and give him every chance to succeed at lower levels before they expose him to the highest quality pitching, but he'll need to regain his confidence in 2010.
The Royals drafted Hosmer third overall out of high school in the 2008 amateur draft, but his inaugural professional season was truncated to 11 at-bats because questions arose as to whether he signed his contract before the deadline. Despite this, he is already being labeled as one of the organization's top hitting prospects. He has a big league body (6-3, 210) and can hit for both power and average, but Hosmer could still start the season at rookie ball because of his lack of playing time last summer.
More Fantasy News
Goes 1-for-4 in return
1BSan Diego Padres
September 19, 2020
Hosmer (finger) went 1-for-4 in Saturday's 4-1 loss to the Mariners.
ANALYSIS
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Returning to action Saturday
1BSan Diego Padres
September 19, 2020
Hosmer (finger) will be activated off the 10-day injured list Saturday and start versus the Mariners, Dennis Lin of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Expected back soon
1BSan Diego Padres
Finger
September 19, 2020
Hosmer (finger) is likely to return off the injured list this weekend or shortly thereafter, Dennis Lin of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Takes live batting practice
1BSan Diego Padres
Finger
September 15, 2020
Hosmer (finger) took part in live batting practice on the field prior to Tuesday's game, Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.
ANALYSIS
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Ditches splint
1BSan Diego Padres
Finger
September 14, 2020
Hosmer was able to work out Monday without a splint to protect the fractured index finger on his left hand, Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.
ANALYSIS
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