Matt Mervis

25-Year-Old First Baseman1B
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Mervis was pretty unlucky in his first big-league cup of coffee, but first basemen and designated hitters don't usually get many chances in their mid-20s to prove they belong in a big-league lineup. He had a .218 BABIP, .167 average and .234 xBA while showcasing an impressive 111.8 mph maxEV, 13.8 Barrel% and 50.0 HardHit% in 58 events over 99 plate appearances. His 32.3 percent strikeout rate was by far the highest mark of his pro career, but his 30.7 O-Swing% and 75.0 Z-Swing% were strong swing-decision marks for a rookie. Mervis, who turns 26 in April, was excellent for the second year in a row at Triple-A, but his exploits at that level are irrelevant at this point. He is either a Quad-A hitter or a big leaguer, and we won't know for sure until he gets an extended look. Just because Mervis looks like he's atop the depth chart in December doesn't mean that won't change as the offseason progresses, so make sure you don't go into the season relying on him. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#417
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Cubs in May of 2023.
May be slated for bench role
1BChicago Cubs
February 4, 2024
With January trade addition Michael Busch likely to play first base, per Jared Wyllys of AllCHGO.com, Mervis may have to settle for a bench role to begin the season.
ANALYSIS
Busch is not considered a great defender, but the team seems to want his slugging bat in the lineup, which could come at the expense of Mervis at first base. Mervis and Busch are young players with some upside, though both struggled during their respective MLB debuts last season, with strikeouts a key problem for each player. The situation at first appears to be fluid, but for now consider the outlook for Mervis to be somewhat dampened by the arrival of Busch.
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Batting Stats
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2023
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
5
15
4
1
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2021
 
 
+55%
OPS vs RHP
2023
 
 
+55%
OPS vs RHP
2022
No Stats
2021
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2021vs Left .368 19 0 0 3 0 .158 .158 .211
Since 2021vs Right .572 80 8 3 8 0 .169 .263 .310
2023vs Left .368 19 0 0 3 0 .158 .158 .211
2023vs Right .572 80 8 3 8 0 .169 .263 .310
2022vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2021
 
 
+8%
OPS on Road
2023
 
 
+8%
OPS on Road
2022
No Stats
2021
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2021Home .509 48 3 1 6 0 .167 .271 .238
Since 2021Away .549 51 5 2 5 0 .167 .216 .333
2023Home .509 48 3 1 6 0 .167 .271 .238
2023Away .549 51 5 2 5 0 .167 .216 .333
2022Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Matt Mervis compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.25
 
BB Rate
8.1%
 
K Rate
32.3%
 
BABIP
.218
 
ISO
.122
 
AVG
.167
 
OBP
.242
 
SLG
.289
 
OPS
.531
 
wOBA
.242
 
Exit Velocity
91.0 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
43.1%
 
Barrels/PA
8.1%
 
Expected BA
.234
 
Expected SLG
.427
 
Sprint Speed
21.0 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
46.6%
 
Line Drive %
19.0%
 
Fly Ball %
34.5%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Matt Mervis See More
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2023 Fantasy Outlook
Mervis, one of the gems of the undrafted free agent class from the shortened five-round pandemic draft of 2020, was one of the breakout hitting prospects of 2022. Not only did he destroy the pitching at High-A (182 wRC+), Double-A (148 wRC+) and Triple-A (152 wRC+), but his strikeout rate dropped and his walk rate increased as the competition improved. Mervis slashed .297/.383/.593 with 15 home runs, a 10.4 BB% and a 14.6 K% in 57 games at Triple-A and had three strikeouts and three walks while homering five times in his first 12 games of the Arizona Fall League. He is seemingly getting better every week en route to tallying 41 home runs in 149 games (and counting) in 2022. The Cubs added veterans Eric Hosmer and Trey Mancini during the offseason, temporarily blocking the path the playing time at first base in the majors, though his long-term outlook at the position remains positive. Mervis' OPS was 1.034 against righties and .869 against lefties, so while he may be worse against same-handed pitching, he won't need a platoon partner when the Cubs deem him ready for the big leagues. Mervis had already drawn plenty of attention as a popular sleeper pick early in offseason drafts, but expect his ADP to trend down heading into spring training with the likelihood that he opens the season at Triple-A Iowa following the Cubs' additions of Hosmer and Mancini.
More Fantasy News
Optioned to Iowa
1BChicago Cubs
June 15, 2023
The Cubs optioned Mervis to Triple-A Iowa on Thursday, Jordan Bastian of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Opens scoring Saturday
1BChicago Cubs
June 10, 2023
Mervis went 1-for-4 with a solo home run in Saturday's 4-0 win over the Giants.
ANALYSIS
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Out against lefty
1BChicago Cubs
June 8, 2023
Mervis isn't in the Cubs' lineup Thursday against the Angels.
ANALYSIS
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Sitting against lefty
1BChicago Cubs
June 5, 2023
Mervis is not in the starting lineup Monday versus the Padres.
ANALYSIS
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On bench versus southpaw
1BChicago Cubs
June 4, 2023
Mervis is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Padres.
ANALYSIS
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