Charlie Blackmon
Charlie Blackmon
32-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Colorado Rockies
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Blackmon was a top fantasy option just two years ago. Sure, he’ll turn 33 in July and there are signs of skills decline, but chances are rumors of his demise are premature. Blackmon’s 19.3 K% last season was the highest of his career, but assuming it doesn’t get much worse, it’s still better than average. His power waned due to a four-point drop in flyball rate, but his 17.7 % HR/FB was his second best ever. Blackmon’s running has curtailed, but remember he swiped only 14 bags in his stellar 2017 season, a number certainly still within reach. Aside from playing in Coors Field, Blackmon’s numbers are driven by volume, playing at least 154 games four of the past five seasons, averaging 678 PA during that span. The market appears to be over-penalizing a fantasy stud for a down age-32 season. He may not rebound to a first-round, $30 level, but Blackmon has plenty left in his tank. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a six-year, $108 million contract extension with the Rockies in April of 2018. Contract includes player options for 2022 and 2023.
Hits first spring homer
OFColorado Rockies
March 13, 2019
Blackmon went 1-for-3 with a solo home run in Colorado's 5-3 Cactus League win over the Diamondbacks on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
The lefty slugger was just 3-for-19 this spring coming into the contest, but he checked in with his first long ball with his third-inning solo shot. The 32-year-old slashed .291/.358/.502 over 626 at-bats last season and should remain a threat to rack up lofty run totals hitting atop a talented Rockies lineup.
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Batting Stats
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+9%
OPS vs RHP
2019
No Stats
2018
 
 
+8%
OPS vs RHP
2017
 
 
+7%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .881 495 76 19 50 9 .312 .372 .509
Since 2017vs Right .959 926 180 47 124 17 .311 .383 .576
2019vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018vs Left .817 261 40 10 24 6 .293 .352 .464
2018vs Right .886 435 79 19 46 6 .289 .362 .525
2017vs Left .952 234 36 9 26 3 .333 .393 .559
2017vs Right 1.023 491 101 28 78 11 .329 .402 .622
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+41%
OPS at Home
2019
No Stats
2018
 
 
+25%
OPS at Home
2017
 
 
+58%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home 1.098 687 151 38 97 13 .363 .428 .670
Since 2017Away .776 734 105 28 77 13 .263 .333 .443
2019Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018Home .957 337 70 14 37 6 .334 .390 .567
2018Away .768 359 49 15 33 6 .249 .329 .439
2017Home 1.239 350 81 24 60 7 .391 .466 .773
2017Away .784 375 56 13 44 7 .276 .337 .447
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Stat Review
How does Charlie Blackmon compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB/K
0.44
 
BB Rate
8.5%
 
K Rate
19.3%
 
BABIP
.329
 
ISO
.211
 
AVG
.291
 
OBP
.358
 
SLG
.502
 
OPS
.860
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
Blackmon's fourth full season with the Rockies was his best yet, as he established new career-highs in nearly every meaningful offensive category while becoming the fourth Colorado player in the last five seasons to capture the National League batting title. With another step forward in power, Blackmon's stolen-base output dropped slightly, and his lower success rate (14-for-24, 58.3 percent) could lead to fewer green lights in the future. Other than the declining efficiency on the basepaths, he's proven to be a very good player in an excellent situation. Over the past two seasons, he's shown significant improvement against lefties, topping out with a .952 OPS against southpaws in 2017. Blackmon was extremely productive at home last season, posting a .391/.466/.733 line at Coors Field, improving his home OPS by 300 points from 2016, and topping his road OPS (.784) by 455 points. Expecting a repeat is unfair, but he was nearly a top-five player with his 2016 numbers, so he'll likely be among the first 10-12 players off the board in 2018.
Although some toe injuries hampered Blackmon's ability to run last season (only 28 stolen base attempts, as opposed to 56 in 2015), those issues did not hold him back at the plate. The 30-year-old hit 35 doubles and 29 homers which propelled him to a stellar .324/.381/.552 slash line. Blackmon managed to bring his strikeout rate down below 16 percent, and his road splits were perhaps the most encouraging numbers of all. While most Rockies hitters have gaudy numbers at home that drop off as soon as they're away from Coors Field, the outfielder's OPS on the road was a mere 13 points lower than his OPS at home. If he can bring the stolen bases back into his game while maintaining this solid approach away from Coors Field, Blackmon should carry his weight as an early pick.
Blackmon ran a bit in the minors — he stole 30 bases as a 22-year-old in 2009 at High-A — but scarcely looked like a burner in his first few major league seasons. Blackmon was unleashed in 2015, and stole a career-high 43 bases in a tidy 56 attempts (76.7 percent). He now has 71 stolen bases over the past two years. Blackmon has also been a quality hitter, primarily due to his plus contact skills, as evidenced by his .288/.336/.437 career batting line. Thanks to the statistical inflation that is Coors Field, he has been good for 16 homers per 162 games and a .288 average since coming up in 2011. With Blackmon showing that he can be an efficient basestealer, he should have a green light throughout the 2016 season. Now that he's running wild, he can add an elite skill to an already well-rounded talent base.
The Rockies were prepared to go with a timeshare in both center field and the leadoff spot to open 2014, but Blackmon quashed those plans following a six-hit game in the season’s first week. It was a harbinger of what was to come over the rest of April for Blackmon, who was arguably the fantasy MVP during that month with an incredible .389 batting average, five homers, seven steals and 23 runs scored over 28 games. Alas, the first-year starter wasn’t able to sustain that level of production when his BABIP and HR/FB rate normalized, slashing a more earthly .271/.318/.405 from May onward. That larger sample represents a reasonable approximation for Blackmon’s 2015 line, and while certainly not eye-popping, the 28-year-old’s base-stealing skills and moderate power profile will allow him to rack up the counting stats while he retains a regular role at the top of the order. However, like many Rockies, Blackmon was prone to dramatic home/road splits last season, making him an optimal play in home-heavy slates to avoid the batting average drain away from Coors Field.
Foiled by a turf toe issue just a season before, Blackmon was actually the beneficiary of injuries in 2013. With Carlos Gonzalez and Dexter Fowler sidelined for large swaths of the second half, Blackmon received his first extended opportunity at regular duty in the majors and was magnificent, batting .309/.336/.467 in 258 at-bats, while showing moderate speed and power. He could stand for some improvement in plate discipline (2.7 percent walk rate), but his well-rounded skill set allows him to compensate for the deficiency. For the first time in his career, he'll now have a legitimate chance at earning a starting gig out of spring training, with Dexter Fowler out of the picture. Blackmon will face stiff competition from Corey Dickerson and Brandon Barnes for the job but should have the upper hand heading into the spring given his impressive finish to the previous campaign.
Blackmon missed nearly the entire first half dealing with a turf toe issue, taking him out of the running for a backup outfield spot during spring training. After a run of strong play at Triple-A Colorado Springs, Blackmon earned his callup to the Rockies. Late-season injuries in the outfield resulted in a de facto 2013 audition for Blackmon, who batted .362 while playing regularly in September. Though Blackmon's power has not been as quick to develop as some might have expected, his ability to hit for contact, get on base, and steal the occasional bag somewhat offset a lack of home runs. Blackmon's all-around skill set could give him an edge over much of the existing competition in the Rockies' outfield logjam, but he will likely be relegated to no better than fourth outfielder status entering the season.
Blackmon tore up the Pacific Coast League to earn a promotion to the big leagues last season, but he slumped in 27 games with the Rockies before a fractured left foot ended his season in July. On some teams, Blackmon might be a lock to grab a starting job during spring training, but he's currently in position with Colorado to enter a battle for a bench job barring a move or two by the Rockies' front office. In addition to carrying a steady contact rate through each stop in the minors, Blackmon has displayed a combination of power and speed that could make him a 20-20 threat capable of hitting for a good average at some point down the road. While the Rockies signed Michael Cuddyer as a free agent to start in right field, the trade of Seth Smith to Oakland increases Blackmon's chances of becoming the fourth outfielder this season.
Blackmon, the Rockies' 2008 second-round pick, profiles as a future everyday outfielder who can play all three positions and hit for a bit of power with some nice speed. In 2010, he hit .297/.360/.484 at Double-A Tulsa with 11 homers and 19 stolen bases. He finished the year with a nice showing in the Arizona Fall League with a .264/.372/.417 batting line. Thanks for the outfield depth ahead of him, Blackmon will probably spend much of 2011 at Triple-A Colorado Springs, while he waits for a callup. At 24 years old, he's a prospect worth tracking.
More Fantasy News
Returns to action Sunday
OFColorado Rockies
March 10, 2019
Blackmon (illness) is starting in right field and batting leadoff in Sunday's spring game against the Dodgers, Patrick Saunders of The Denver Post reports.
ANALYSIS
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Takes swings Saturday
OFColorado Rockies
Illness
March 9, 2019
Blackmon (illness) stepped in for some at-bats Saturday at camp during Kyle Freeland's simulated game, Thomas Harding of MLB.com reports.
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Out for Mexico series
OFColorado Rockies
Illness
March 9, 2019
Blackmon fell ill Friday and didn't travel to Mexico with the Rockies for the team's two-game series with the Diamondbacks, Patrick Saunders of The Denver Post reports.
ANALYSIS
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Slated to play right field
OFColorado Rockies
February 18, 2019
Manager Bud Black said Blackmon will start in right field for the Rockies, Patrick Saunders of The Denver Post reports.
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Likely switching to left field
OFColorado Rockies
February 14, 2019
Blackmon is expected to move to left field for the 2019 season, Patrick Saunders of The Denver Post reports.
ANALYSIS
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