Aroldis Chapman
Aroldis Chapman
31-Year-Old PitcherRP
New York Yankees
2018 Fantasy Outlook
Chapman's return to the Yankees did not go as smoothly as expected in the first year of his five-year, $86 million deal. He finished 2017 with the lowest strikeout rate of his career (12.3 K/9, 32.9 percent) and even lost his job as the closer for a brief stretch during the second half of the season. His removal from the ninth-inning role closely followed a hamstring injury that surfaced around the middle of August. Additionally, he lost more than a month in the first half due to inflammation in his rotator cuff. Looking ahead, there are a few reasons to be encouraged. First, Chapman fanned 41.5 percent of the batters he faced in September, proving that he belonged back in the closer role as the Yankees entered the postseason. Second, he was very effective in the playoffs as well, allowing one earned run in eight innings while finishing with a 16:2 K:BB. Finally, even with the injuries, he didn't lose velocity. Chapman should remain in the top tier of closers entering 2018. Read Past Outlooks
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$Signed a five-year, $86 million contract with the Yankees in December of 2016.
In line for closing role
PNew York Yankees
October 3, 2018
Manager Aaron Boone said Chapman will serve as the Yankees' closer during Wednesday's AL Wild Card Game against Oakland if the club has a lead to protect heading into the ninth inning, Marc Carig of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
Though this doesn't come as any sort of surprise, Boone's statement is notable since Chapman has only recorded one save since mid-August due to a knee injury. Dating back to Sept. 20, Chapman has appeared in five games, during which he allowed three runs in 4.1 innings.
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-10%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-1%
BAA vs RHP
2017
 
 
-17%
BAA vs LHP
2016
 
 
-17%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .152 164 69 18 21 5 0 2
Since 2016vs Right .169 480 183 50 72 18 1 5
2018vs Left .136 55 25 7 6 1 0 0
2018vs Right .135 157 68 23 18 7 0 2
2017vs Left .175 65 27 4 10 2 0 2
2017vs Right .211 145 42 16 27 7 0 1
2016vs Left .135 44 17 7 5 2 0 0
2016vs Right .163 178 73 11 27 4 1 2
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-13%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-24%
ERA on Road
2017
 
 
-24%
ERA at Home
2016
 
 
-33%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2016Home 2.23 0.88 92.0 10 2 50 14.0 3.3 0.4
Since 2016Away 2.57 1.19 66.2 1 2 40 14.4 4.6 0.4
2018Home 2.73 1.04 29.2 3 0 17 15.2 5.5 0.3
2018Away 2.08 1.06 21.2 0 0 15 17.9 5.0 0.4
2017Home 2.83 0.87 28.2 4 2 13 12.9 1.9 0.9
2017Away 3.74 1.48 21.2 0 1 9 11.6 5.8 0.0
2016Home 1.30 0.75 34.2 3 0 20 14.0 2.6 0.0
2016Away 1.93 1.03 23.1 1 1 16 13.9 3.1 0.8
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Stat Review
How does Aroldis Chapman compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
K/BB
3.10
 
K/9
16.3
 
BB/9
5.3
 
HR/9
0.4
 
Fastball
99.0 mph
 
ERA
2.45
 
WHIP
1.05
 
BABIP
.298
 
GB/FB
1.39
 
Strand %
76.9%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Aroldis Chapman
The Z Files: Historical Top 200
November 10th
Todd Zola takes a look at the end-of-season top-200 performers over the last five years and thinks Charlie Blackmon's being discounted too heavily in early drafts given his track record.
FanDuel MLB: Tuesday Playoff Picks
October 9th
Derek VanRiper looks at Tuesday's single-game slate between the Yankees and Red Sox.
DraftKings MLB: Tuesday Playoff Picks
October 9th
Derek VanRiper previews Tuesday's DraftKings Showdown contest between the Yankees and Red Sox.
AL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
September 23rd
Erik Siegrist looks at the last set of roster moves and role shifts in the AL and wonders how much rust Aaron Judge will be able to shake off before the end of the regular season.
Mound Musings: The 2018 Season Pitching Awards Issue
September 20th
Brad Johnson offers up his season-ending awards, good and bad, including the Biggest (Pleasant) Surprise trophy, which goes to Tampa Bay’s Blake Snell.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
Chapman missed 30 games due to suspension at the outset of 2016 following a domestic violence incident at his home during the offseason. He recorded his first save as a Yankee in his second appearance with the club in early May and proceeded to reel off a stretch with 44 strikeouts in 31.1 innings before he was shipped to the Cubs in July. Chapman immediately became the preferred ninth-inning option in Chicago, and his dominance with the Cubs included a 1.01 ERA and 0.82 WHIP to go with a 46:10 K:BB over 26.2 innings. Despite the time lost with his suspension, Chapman piled up 36 saves in 39 chances, while posting ratios in the neighborhood of his previous career-bests with the Reds in 2012. Now 29, Chapman still lights up the radar gun with triple-digit velocity, while keeping hitters off-balance with his high-80s slider. After returning to the Yankees via free agency, Chapman will be among the first closers off the board on draft day.
Chapman has struck out more than 40 percent of the batters he's faced for four consecutive years now, while walking just 11.9% of the hitters he's faced over the last two years. Opposing hitters have hit below .200 for four years in a row as well. But all of his on-field accomplishments were overshadowed this offseason when the Reds attempted to trade him to the Dodgers, only to see the trade get overturned due to an incident where Chapman was accused of domestic violence. A deal to the Yankees was later completed, and then Chapman was hit with a 30-game suspension from the commissioner's office, which he accepted. This will keep Chapman out until the second week of May, and Andrew Miller will presumably handle the ninth inning until that time. Make sure to discount Chapman at least a couple rounds, but he should still be an elite fantasy reliever when he is finished serving his suspension.
Somehow Chapman found a way to be more dominant in 2014 than he had ever been before. He struck out a record 52.4% of the batters he faced, averaging 100.3 mph on his fastball, a full 2.0 mph faster than in 2013. He did all of that despite the scary spring training head injury that forced him to miss the first five weeks of the season. If Chapman has a weakness, it's his command -- he walked 12.0% of the batters he faced. Chapman is still evolving as a pitcher, too. He added a changeup (throwing it 6.7% of the time) and threw his slider more often (24.5%, as opposed 14.6 in 2013). The only question is how early do you want to take the plunge, and if you do get him, how do you support him with other pitchers?
For the second offseason in a row, Chapman's role hasn't yet been determined. Former manager Dusty Baker was the primary impediment to the plan to move Chapman to the starting rotation (though Chapman himself didn't seem to be sold on the idea -- whether he was always uncertain or whether Baker pushed him in that direction is up for debate), and now that Bryan Price has taken over as the manager, that door remains open. One thing seems likely -- even if Chapman closes, his usage won't be as rigid as it was last season, when often it was "save situation or bust" -- the Reds lost six extra-innings games where Chapman never got into the game. When he got on the mound, Chapman had a few hiccups but was typically dominant again, carrying a 15.8 K/9. His walk rate and home-run rate both trickled upward, and on occasion he struggled with his secondary offerings.
Chapman finished 2012 with a fantastic season as the Reds' closer. The Reds plan to convert Chapman to a starter for 2013 with Jonathan Broxton taking over as closer, but plenty of durability questions remain. He went through a dead-arm period in September despite the Reds taking great pains not to overextend him, plus he was shut down in the fall of 2011 at the Arizona Fall League when the Reds tried to stretch him out. Moreover, there's a pretty good argument that the Reds benefit the most by him pitching so well in high-leverage situations. The transition will be interesting to watch and the Reds plan to cap his innings and have him start between 25-30 games. With his excellent strikeout potential, he should be a very tempting player on draft day.
Chapman's primary issue this upcoming season is the same as it was entering 2011 - what is his role? The Reds wanted to transition him back to a starting role, but he experienced shoulder soreness in the Arizona Fall League after two outings and was shut down for winter, not pitching at all in Puerto Rico after being slated for a starting role there. When Chapman was healthy in 2011, he was dominant, but when he was off a little he was off a lot. The end result was a 71:41 K:BB and a 3.60 ERA over only 50 innings. The Reds absolutely need to find a way to better maximize his value, whether it be as a starter or as a high-leverage reliever. Another year of the same will be a waste of a tremendous asset. He won't be used as a closer, with the Reds signing Ryan Madson to fill that role in January.
What is Chapman's ultimate role with the Reds? Right now he's still in the bullpen, as the top set-up man, but he could either start for the Reds this year or could replace closer Francisco Cordero. Because the Reds already have six viable starter candidates, Chapman is more likely to stick in the bullpen for another year. There's some concern about Chapman's stamina should he transition back to starting, and obviously his velocity won't peak as high if he does get stretched out. Either way, his tremendous fastball (MLB record 105 mph) and slider will continue to wow crowds and confound opposing hitters. He should have value even if he doesn't close or start for the Reds in 2011.
Chapman may be the top international pitching prospect in the world. A lefty with a fastball that's reportedly been clocked at 102 mph, he was viewed as one of Cuba's top players before he defected last July. At age 21, he's seen as having tremendous upside and drew attention from many MLB teams, and eventually signed with the Reds. However, he may need to spend a full season in the minors before he's ready to face major league hitters. In his only test against major league hitters, he had a 5.68 ERA in 6.1 innings for Cuba in the 2009 World Baseball Classic - but did regularly hit 100 mph. He'll battle for a final rotation spot this spring.
More Fantasy News
Picks up 32nd save
PNew York Yankees
September 29, 2018
Chapman walked one and struck out two over two-thirds of an inning to notch his 32nd save of the season in Saturday's 8-5 win over the Red Sox.
ANALYSIS
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Throws scoreless seventh inning
PNew York Yankees
September 25, 2018
Chapman earned his first hold of the season, issuing one walk while striking out two in a scoreless seventh inning Monday against the Rays.
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Reinstated from disabled list
PNew York Yankees
September 19, 2018
Chapman (knee) was activated from the 10-day DL prior to Wednesday's game against Boston.
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Returning Wednesday or Thursday
PNew York Yankees
Knee
September 18, 2018
Chapman (knee) will be activated from the 10-day disabled list Wednesday or Thursday, Lindsey Adler of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Fires successful sim game Monday
PNew York Yankees
Knee
September 17, 2018
Chapman (knee) threw a 22-pitch simulated game Monday, Lindsey Adler of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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