Randal Grichuk
Randal Grichuk
27-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Toronto Blue Jays
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Grichuk has had three full seasons at the big-league level, and they have all been remarkably similar across the board. The change in his home park did little to impact his home-run total or his run production, but he did reduce his strikeout rate (to 26.4%) and got a small bump in OBP for those who play in that format. Grichuk does not have the normal type of splits you would expect from a hitter with a lower average. He hits with more power against righties, but it comes at the cost of contact. When he faces lefties, Grichuk makes more contact and hits for a higher average, but not for as much power. Last season saw him get off to a horrendous start at the plate, which was followed by a sprained knee that wiped him out for all of May. He hit .271/.319/.553 once he came off the disabled list with 54 extra-base hits in 385 plate appearances. A sleeper source for 30 homers in 2019. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a five-year, $52 million contract extension with the Blue Jays in April of 2019.
Launches 14th homer
OFToronto Blue Jays
June 21, 2019
Grichuk went 3-for-4 with a home run, three RBI and a walk Friday against the Red Sox.
ANALYSIS
Grichuk delivered a two-run home run in the top of the third inning, and he singled home a run in the seventh to push the lead to four. The 27-year-old is slashing .228/.287/.425 with 14 home runs and 31 RBI over 74 games in 2019.
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
3
13
15
12
2
2
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
8
11
5
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+1%
OPS vs LHP
2019
 
 
+25%
OPS vs LHP
2018
 
 
+1%
OPS vs LHP
2017
 
 
+19%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .763 352 39 15 37 3 .247 .307 .456
Since 2017vs Right .755 871 111 46 114 7 .232 .282 .473
2019vs Left .803 96 11 3 9 1 .271 .344 .459
2019vs Right .643 223 26 11 22 0 .201 .251 .392
2018vs Left .810 150 18 7 19 1 .263 .313 .496
2018vs Right .800 312 42 18 42 2 .237 .295 .505
2017vs Left .662 106 10 5 9 1 .204 .264 .398
2017vs Right .788 336 43 17 50 5 .248 .292 .497
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+18%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+40%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+19%
OPS at Home
2017
 
 
+5%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .821 616 84 40 89 4 .252 .297 .523
Since 2017Away .693 607 66 21 62 6 .220 .282 .411
2019Home .812 151 23 10 18 0 .254 .298 .514
2019Away .578 168 14 4 13 1 .191 .262 .316
2018Home .871 235 34 17 39 1 .255 .306 .565
2018Away .733 227 26 8 22 2 .236 .295 .438
2017Home .775 230 27 13 32 3 .249 .287 .488
2017Away .739 212 26 9 27 3 .226 .283 .456
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Stat Review
How does Randal Grichuk compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against this season's data (min 100 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.23
 
BB Rate
6.8%
 
K Rate
29.0%
 
BABIP
.281
 
ISO
.191
 
AVG
.227
 
OBP
.284
 
SLG
.418
 
OPS
.702
 
wOBA
.303
 
Exit Velocity
88.8 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
32.7%
 
Barrels/PA
5.5%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Randal Grichuk
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55 days ago
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60 days ago
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Rounding Third: Exploring Hitter Statcast Data
71 days ago
Teoscar Hernandez was a surprise leader among qualified hitters in barreled hits percentage last season – among the revelations that Jeff Erickson discovered while navigating batter Statcast data.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2011
2010
The tools remain exciting, but the clock is ticking on Grichuk. He needs to learn to be more patient and selective at the plate. His strikeout rate has hovered around 30 percent in each of the past three seasons, with his O-Swing percentage sitting up in the high-30s. His walk rate has ranged from 5.9 percent to 6.3 percent since the start of 2015, leading to sub-.290 OBPs the last two seasons. Grichuk sure hits the ball hard when he does connect, as evidenced by his 10.0 Brls/PA rate last season, which ranked sixth in the majors (min. 190 batted-ball events). The Cardinals traded him to Toronto this winter, where he should compete for an everyday role in right field in spring training. However, if he can't learn to make more consistent contact and get on base more, he could be passed over for Teoscar Hernandez or Anthony Alford.
Grichuk's strong 2015 campaign had him in a very favorable position heading into 2016, with an everyday job, plus power and what many believed to be an average hit tool. However, things went south in a hurry for the 25-year-old, as he came out of the gate with just a .206 batting average and strikeouts in a quarter of his plate appearances through mid-June. This led the Cardinals to shock everyone and send him back to the minors on two occasions during the summer. His performance vastly improved after the second demotion, as he slashed .275/.303/.579 with 12 home runs and 33 RBI, although it came with an unsustainably-high 34.1 percent strikeout rate. He will open the season as the everyday left fielder, although he showed in 2016 that he can be incredibly streaky, so he should be treated as a volatile asset. Grichuk will need to make more consistent contact in order to stay in manager Mike Matheny's good graces.
Grichuk came up to the big leagues for good on May 16th and clubbed nine extra-base hits in 13 starts over the rest of the month, enough to earn him a starting job for the rest of the season. He finished with a ridiculous 57 extra-base hits in just 103 games and 350 plate appearances, including 17 home runs. That's a huge power output for just over half a season's worth of at-bats, and it should be enough to earn Grichuk an Opening Day starting job despite a crowded outfield in St. Louis. Grichuk still has the same contact issues that kept him in the minor leagues to begin 2015, however, as he managed to strike out 110 times despite his limited action. He seems to have the power to succeed even with a high K-rate, but the .276 average Grichuk mustered will be his ceiling unless he can find a way to make more contact.
Grichuk bounced back and forth between Triple-A Memphis and the major leagues for the Cardinals in 2014 after being acquired in the David Freese trade with Anaheim, totaling 110 at-bats in 47 games. He served as a defensive replacement and pinch-hitter in most cases. Grichuk does have some power as indicated by his 25 home runs in 436 at-bats for Memphis, but he appears to be headed for a similar role in 2014 after the Cardinals acquired Jason Heyward from Atlanta. Barring major injury to one of the regulars ahead of him, or a trade, Grichuk might be a full year away from getting an opportunity to handle a starting job.
Grichuk was promoted to Double-A Arkansas after a reasonably strong year at High-A Inland Empire in 2012, and represented himself well, posting a slash line of .256/.306/.474 in 500 at-bats in 2013. While it's easy to get excited about his prodigious power potential (.218 ISO in 2013), Grichuk still needs to work on his plate discipline, as his 5.2% walk rate in 2013, though an improvement from his 2012 number, is still well below commonly accepted margins. Going into his age-22 season, Grichuk's plate discipline seems to be the final piece of the puzzle. The Cardinals acquired Grichuk as part of the David Freese-Peter Bourjos deal in November, which likely makes his path to big league at-bats even longer than it was in the crowded Anaheim outfield. Most likely, he'll start the season at Double-A Springfield, with the hope of earning a promotion to Triple-A Memphis at some point in 2014.
Grichuk was drafted 24th overall in the 2009 draft and finally made it through a full season without any injuries in 2012. He spent all of last season with High-A Inland Empire and slashed .298/.335/.488 with 18 homers and 16 steals over 575 plate appearances. His talent is obvious, but 23 walks over that many trips to the plate probably won't cut it, and as is the case for a number of the Angels' top prospects, Grichuk needs to work on his plate discipline. That's easier said than done and his four percent walk rate in 1,313 minor league plate appearances indicates that he has a long ways to go.
Grichuk will not turn 20 until mid-way through the 2011 season, but he already has two professional seasons under his belt. Last season, Grichuk hit .299 with 11 home runs and 46 RBI in 251 at-bats, but he still has to work on his plate discipline after posting a 12:59 BB:K ratio last season. Don't expect Grichuk to advance past High-A Rancho Cucamonga this season.
The Angels' first pick in the 2009 draft is all hitter, an outfielder from a high school in Texas with excellent power. There's not much else to Grichuk, no speed or arm to speak of, making him a different sort of Angel. He's a long, long way from the majors, and the lack of defensive or positional value limits his long-term upside.
More Fantasy News
Slugs 13th homer
OFToronto Blue Jays
June 17, 2019
Grichuk went 2-for-4 with a two-run home run in Monday's 10-5 loss to the Angels.
ANALYSIS
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Gets breather
OFToronto Blue Jays
June 13, 2019
Grichuk is not in the lineup Thursday against the Orioles.
ANALYSIS
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Hits pair of homers
OFToronto Blue Jays
June 5, 2019
Grichuk went 2-for-4 with two home runs, three RBI and three runs overall in Wednesday's 11-7 win over the Yankees.
ANALYSIS
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Launches 10th homer
OFToronto Blue Jays
June 5, 2019
Grichuk went 1-for-4 with a solo home run in Tuesday's win over the Yankees.
ANALYSIS
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Swats ninth homer
OFToronto Blue Jays
May 31, 2019
Grichuk went 1-for-4 with a home run and two RBI in Friday's 13-6 loss to the Rockies.
ANALYSIS
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