Kenley Jansen
Kenley Jansen
30-Year-Old PitcherRP
Los Angeles Dodgers
2018 Fantasy Outlook
Jansen is one of the best closers of this generation, if not the best. The 2017 season didn't end as he'd hoped -- Jansen allowed runs in three consecutive appearances and blew a save in the World Series -- but the right-hander was absolutely dominant throughout most of the year. He posted a 1.31 FIP (best among all pitchers with at least 50 innings) and 39.5 K-BB percentage while going 41-for-42 in save chances during the regular season. The walk rate was the lowest of his career and his swinging-strike rate was his highest mark ever, so while it seems impossible for him to get any better, the skills are elite and there aren't even any yellow flags entering his age-30 season. The team context solidifies Jansen as the top closer option on the board. Read Past Outlooks
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$Jansen agreed to a five-year, $80 million deal with Dodgers in Dec. of 2016.
Notches 35th save
PLos Angeles Dodgers
September 14, 2018
Jansen picked up the save in Friday's 3-0 victory over the Cardinals, striking out one in a scoreless ninth inning.
ANALYSIS
Jansen started the inning by hitting the leadoff batter, but he was able to settle down and generate three consecutive outs to close out the ninth. He has now collected at least 35 saves in five straight seasons and has a 2.89 ERA with 73 strikeouts over 65.1 innings so far in 2018.
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-30%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-4%
BAA vs LHP
2017
 
 
-49%
BAA vs RHP
2016
 
 
-43%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .208 372 124 17 73 14 1 10
Since 2016vs Right .146 402 162 18 55 7 3 9
2018vs Left .195 120 27 7 22 2 1 4
2018vs Right .203 145 46 10 27 5 0 6
2017vs Left .236 129 45 4 29 5 0 4
2017vs Right .120 129 64 3 15 1 1 1
2016vs Left .191 123 52 6 22 7 0 2
2016vs Right .109 128 52 5 13 1 2 2
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-18%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-46%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-56%
ERA on Road
2016
 
 
-26%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2016Home 1.82 0.66 108.2 7 4 64 12.5 1.2 1.0
Since 2016Away 2.21 0.97 93.2 2 3 59 13.0 1.9 0.7
2018Home 2.08 0.84 34.2 1 4 17 9.9 1.0 1.6
2018Away 3.82 1.21 30.2 0 1 18 10.3 3.8 1.2
2017Home 1.82 0.69 34.2 3 0 20 13.8 1.6 1.0
2017Away 0.80 0.80 33.2 2 0 21 15.0 0.3 0.3
2016Home 1.60 0.48 39.1 3 0 27 13.7 1.1 0.5
2016Away 2.15 0.92 29.1 0 2 20 13.5 1.8 0.6
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Stat Review
How does Kenley Jansen compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
K/BB
4.29
 
K/9
10.1
 
BB/9
2.3
 
HR/9
1.4
 
Fastball
92.4 mph
 
ERA
2.89
 
WHIP
1.01
 
BABIP
.260
 
GB/FB
0.91
 
Strand %
80.4%
 
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Defensive Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
In his walk year, Jansen posted career bests in saves (47), ERA (1.83) and WHIP (0.67). Batters were simply unable to properly square up the 29-year-old's cutter, which was regularly hitting the mid-90s by season's end. That isn't a new development, as Jansen's career low strikeout rate in the majors is 37.6 percent from his rookie year in 2010. His K-BB% (37.1 percent) and FIP (1.44) both ranked second among qualified relievers last season, solidifying his place in the very highest tier of MLB bullpen arms. The new development is he showed an ability to last multiple innings in a game during the playoffs, a la Andrew Miller, throwing 20.1 innings across seven postseason games. Jansen remained where he was comfortable, signing a five-year $80 million deal with the Dodgers this offseason, making his outlook pretty straight forward. He will remain one of the top closers on the board as long as his skills remain constant.
A foot injury resulted in Jansen's 2015 debut being delayed until mid-May, but once he returned, the right-hander once again provided a stabilizing influence in what was a less-than-stable Dodgers bullpen. Jansen converted 36-of-38 save opportunities, a total that projects to 48 saves had he played the full six months. His 13.8 K/9 represented his fourth consecutive 13.0-plus mark in that category, while his 1.4 BB/9 was less than half his 2.9 career mark. The Dodgers may add new pieces to the bridge in front of him before Opening Day, but there is little to suggest that the organization sees him as anything other than a lock to be their closer in 2016. At age 28, he's firmly in his prime and should be drafted as one of the first closers off the board.
Jansen allowed 45 percent of his season’s runs in three outings. The trio of three-run outings was contained in just two innings of work and that was essentially the difference in his ERA from 2013 to 2014. Otherwise, he was still absolutely amazing with a career-high 44 saves, a 37.7% strikeout rate, and 5.3 K/BB ratio. Absent those three crazy outings and his out-of-whack .350 BABIP, he might have bested his 1.99 ERA from 2013. While his strikeout rate is technically dropping if you push out a decimal, from 39.3% to 37.7%, his swinging-strike rate is actually on the rise from 14.2% to 16.6%, meaning the strikeout rate could jump back up toward his obscene 44.0% mark from 2011. His stikeout and save totals will almost certainly fall this season, with Jansen expected to miss 8-to-12 weeks after undergoing surgery on his left foot in mid-February, but he should have no trouble regaining the closer role once healthy.
Well who knew Jansen would be a better closer than Brandon League last year? Okay, put your collective hands down. Jansen was spectacular, posting a 1.88 ERA, 0.86 WHIP, and an eye-popping 111:18 K:BB in 76.2 innings. Jansen has cut his BB/9 rate from 4.4 to 3.1 to 2.1 over the last three years while maintaining a 13.0 K/9 rate. He should be a top-five closer again in 2014 and should not have a problem topping the 2013 save total (28) with a full season handling the Dodgers' ninth-inning role.
Jansen's strikeout rate wasn't quite on 2011's historic level, but a 13.7 K/9 is still quite impressive. Jansen recorded 25 saves, 99 strikeouts, and checked in with a 2.35 ERA and impressive 0.85 WHIP. He had offseason surgery to correct a heart ailment and should be able to get through a full season in 2013 without a recurrence. Over the offseason, the Dodgers gave Brandon League a $22.5 million contract to be their closer, which sinks Jansen's fantasy value assuming that League pitches well enough to keep the job. Monitor this situation between now and Opening Day and slot Jansen accordingly.
Despite a minor heart ailment, Jansen had a breakout 2011, setting a single-season big league record with a 16.10 K/9IP (96 strikeouts in 53.2 innings) for pitchers with a minimum of 50 innings pitched. The converted catcher functioned primarily as a setup man for Javy Guerra last year, but it's likely he'll have the opportunity to compete for the closer slot come spring training. Jansen has the talent to be a top-five closer given the opportunity.
It was an eye-popping debut for the converted catcher in 2010, as Jansen rode a grand total of 56 professional innings to a key role in the Dodger bullpen. Routinely hitting the mid-90s and above, Jansen struck out 41 batters in 27 innings while posting a 0.67 ERA. Sure, the 15 walks were a few more than you'd like to see, but Jansen is still raw and improved command could easily come in time. He's set to pitch near the back end of the LA bullpen in 2011 and could find himself in the closer discussion depending on how things shake out with Jonathan Broxton's command and Hong-Chih Kuo's health.
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Sharp in return
PLos Angeles Dodgers
September 13, 2018
Jansen fired a perfect inning with a strikeout in Wednesday's 8-1 win over the Reds.
ANALYSIS
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Back with Dodgers
PLos Angeles Dodgers
September 10, 2018
Jansen (heart) rejoined the Dodgers in Cincinnati on Monday as expected, David Vassegh of AM 570 LA Sports reports.
ANALYSIS
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Will join team in Cincinnati
PLos Angeles Dodgers
Chest
September 9, 2018
Jansen is flying to Cincinnati on Sunday to rejoin the Dodgers, Bill Shaikin of the Los Angeles Times reports.
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Will miss weekend series
PLos Angeles Dodgers
Chest
September 5, 2018
Jansen will not travel with the Dodgers for their weekend series in Colorado, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.
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May be held out vs. Rockies
PLos Angeles Dodgers
Chest
September 3, 2018
Jansen could miss the team's weekend series against Colorado, Ken Gurnick of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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