Aaron Sanchez
Aaron Sanchez
27-Year-Old PitcherSP
Toronto Blue Jays
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Injuries took their toll on Sanchez for the second season in a row, and he was limited to just 20 starts in 2018. He was unable to find consistent success when on the mound, finishing with a gaudy WHIP for the second season in a row. Sanchez was one of the more effective pitchers in the league in 2016, so there will inevitably still be believers in 2019 drafts and auctions. However, for as good as Sanchez can look when healthy and on his game, the strikeouts have never really been there. Even in that breakout 2016 season in which he posted a 3.00 ERA, he had just a 20.4% strikeout rate. His control has been a mess the past two seasons and the division is filled with tough opponents and hitter-friendly ballparks. In short, Sanchez should be viewed primarily as a late-round dart. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year, $3.9 million contract with the Blue Jays in January of 2019, avoiding arbitration.
Handled by Yankees
PToronto Blue Jays
July 12, 2019
Sanchez (3-13) gave up four runs on seven hits and two walks while striking out two in five innings Friday against the Yankees. He took the loss.
ANALYSIS
He only had three swinging strikes all night and averaged 94 mph with his fastball, which generated just one swinging strike on 39 pitches. At a certain point, it seems like the Blue Jays will need to explore options like moving Sanchez to the bullpen. His 6.22 ERA is the second-worst mark among qualified starting pitchers behind only Reynaldo Lopez (6.34 ERA).
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-2%
BAA vs LHP
2019
 
 
-9%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-18%
BAA vs RHP
2017
 
 
-37%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .274 540 101 76 125 25 4 15
Since 2017vs Right .281 557 88 60 135 20 1 16
2019vs Left .277 231 48 26 56 8 2 8
2019vs Right .304 225 31 32 56 10 0 6
2018vs Left .288 241 36 39 57 14 2 6
2018vs Right .237 233 50 19 49 6 1 5
2017vs Left .211 68 17 11 12 3 0 1
2017vs Right .337 99 7 9 30 4 0 5
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-2%
ERA on Road
2019
 
 
-18%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-2%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-60%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 5.38 1.68 113.2 3 10 0 8.3 5.2 1.4
Since 2017Away 5.28 1.65 124.1 5 12 0 6.1 5.1 0.9
2019Home 5.59 1.65 46.2 2 6 0 8.3 5.4 1.4
2019Away 6.79 1.85 50.1 1 7 0 6.4 5.4 1.3
2018Home 4.83 1.61 54.0 1 2 0 9.0 5.0 1.0
2018Away 4.94 1.51 51.0 3 4 0 5.6 4.9 0.9
2017Home 6.92 2.08 13.0 0 2 0 5.5 5.5 3.5
2017Away 2.74 1.52 23.0 1 1 0 6.3 4.7 0.4
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Stat Review
How does Aaron Sanchez compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against this season's data (min 70 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
1.36
 
K/9
7.3
 
BB/9
5.4
 
HR/9
1.3
 
Fastball
94.0 mph
 
ERA
6.22
 
WHIP
1.75
 
BABIP
.335
 
GB/FB
1.99
 
Left On Base
64.5%
 
Exit Velocity
89.8 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
6.1%
 
Spin Rate
2251 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
42.3%
 
Swinging Strike
8.6%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
It was a disappointing 2017 season for Sanchez, as the right-hander was only able to make eight starts due to a recurring blister issue. His last appearance came in mid-July, and throughout the course of the year he posted a 4.25 ERA and 1.72 WHIP; Sanchez was unable to get into any sort of groove. This came on the heels of a breakout 2016 campaign in which Sanchez recorded a 3.00 ERA over 192 innings with the peripherals to mostly back it up (7.6 K/9, 3.0 BB/9, 0.70 HR/9). He wasn't able to make another leap into the upper echelon of hurlers this past season, but there's legitimate hope that he will regain his form following a full offseason of rest, although it's no lock that the blister epidemic will just fade away. Health provided, the 25-year-old should slide into the front-end of Toronto's rotation, just behind Marcus Stroman.
Few saw Sanchez's 2016 campaign coming. In his first big league season as a starter, the 23-year-old posted Cy Young-caliber numbers, leading the AL in ERA and win percentage (.882) while managing the league's ninth-best WHIP (1.17) and win total (15). The right-hander's refined curveball proved a perfect complement to his elite fastball that routinely sat in the mid-90s. Sanchez's biggest battle was his own organization. From the start, Jays upper management declared they would limit his innings and even planned to move him to the bullpen by midseason. However, his unexpected dominance changed things, and he wound up logging 192 regular-season innings with an average of 97.3 pitches per start while notching 23 quality starts (tied for third in the AL) over 30 starts. Including the playoffs, the righty tossed 203.2 frames. He seems ripe to regress, especially considering he only struck out 7.55 per nine innings while walking 2.95. Those peripherals don't jive with such a low ERA and he looks even riskier coming off almost a 100-inning jump.
After shining out of the Toronto bullpen as a rookie in 2014, Sanchez won a spot in the starting rotation to begin the 2015 season. He struggled in April, but was really turning it around in May and June before a shoulder strain forced him onto the DL. Upon his return in late July, Sanchez was assigned to the bullpen where he developed into the team's setup man down the stretch. His overall numbers do not jump off the page, but Sanchez had a 2.39 ERA, 0.87 WHIP and .467 OPS allowed in his 30 relief appearances. Sanchez is known for an electric mix of pitches that allows him to strike batters out at a high clip, and he has shown an ability to control his pitches better in shorter spurts. Still, the team has not said officially whether Sanchez will be in the bullpen or the starting rotation in 2016. If his proven success in relief keeps him in the bullpen, he should continue working as a primary setup man.
Sanchez finally debuted his electric stuff with the Blue Jays in 2014, excelling in a late-inning role out of the bullpen. The 6-foot-4 righty started the season at Double-A New Hampshire, where the refrain about his poor control continued, as he walked 14 percent of the batters he faced in 66 innings. Sanchez was then promoted to Triple-A Buffalo for a five-week stretch and then made the jump to the majors in late July, where he worked exclusively as a reliever. The 22-year-old was fantastic out of the bullpen, posting a 1.09 ERA and 0.70 WHIP with 27 strikeouts in 33 innings. He also notched three saves, splitting time with Casey Janssen in the closer role down the stretch. Sanchez’s dominance as a big-league reliever, and his struggles as a starter in the upper levels of the minors combine to lend credence to the idea that he profiles best as a dominant closer long term. To begin 2015, he'll likely get a look in the rotation following the loss of Marcus Stroman to a torn ACL in March, with the fallback option of moving back into the bullpen if he's unable to harness his control in the expanded role.
Sanchez spent nearly all of 2013 at High-A Dunedin, finishing with a 3.34 ERA, 7.8 K/9, and 4.2 BB/9 over 83.1 innings, as a shoulder injury cost him part of the season. The walk rate, while still not very good, reflects improved control compared to 2011 and 2012. Meanwhile, Sanchez couldn't carry over his strikeout totals to the next level, after posting a 9.7 K/9 for Low-A Lansing in 2012. Poised to open 2014 at Double-A New Hampshire, Sanchez is considered a potential frontline starter for the Jays down the line, but it would be encouraging to see him miss bats at an elevated clip again in the Eastern League this season.
Sanchez spent most of the 2012 season working as a starter at Low-A Lansing, where lapses with control (5.1 BB/9) offset an impressive ability to miss bats (9.7 K/9) and record a large number of outs on the ground (2.22 G/F). If his secondary pitches don't develop as expected, Sanchez possesses a big enough fastball to succeed with a transition toward a late-inning relief role. Still just 20 years old, the Jays can afford to give Sanchez plenty of time to hone his command in the lower levels of the minors, and it's possible that he will return to the Midwest League to start 2013 before getting his first exposure to High-A.
The tall, lanky (6'4", 190) righty flashes plus-velocity with an easy delivery and many scouts believe he has a very high upside. He needs to wok on his control but the 18-year old held his own in 2011, striking out 56 batters in 54.1 innings between Rookie and Low-A.
More Fantasy News
Continues losing streak
PToronto Blue Jays
July 6, 2019
Sanchez allowed two runs on three hits with four walks and five strikeouts across five innings while taking a loss against the Orioles on Friday.
ANALYSIS
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Listed as Friday's starter
PToronto Blue Jays
July 5, 2019
Sanchez is listed as the Blue Jays' starting pitcher Friday versus the Orioles.
ANALYSIS
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Hung with another loss
PToronto Blue Jays
June 30, 2019
Sanchez (3-11) gave up six runs on seven hits and four walks while striking out three over three innings to take the loss against the Royals on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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First to 10 losses
PToronto Blue Jays
June 24, 2019
Sanchez (3-10) took the loss Monday as the Blue Jays were downed 10-8 by the Yankees, surrendering seven runs on nine hits and three walks over 5.1 innings while striking out four.
ANALYSIS
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Another poor performance
PToronto Blue Jays
June 19, 2019
Sanchez (3-9) allowed seven runs (six earned) on nine hits and two walks while striking out none across 3.2 innings to take the loss Wednesday against the Angels.
ANALYSIS
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