2020 Stats
W-L
0-1
ERA
3.42
WHIP
1.10
K
42
SV
0
2021 Projections
2021 Fantasy Outlook
You could be forgiven for forgetting about Smyly heading into last year, as he missed 2017 and 2018 due to Tommy John surgery before struggling to a 6.24 ERA in 2019. A solid 25.9 K% and 8.0 BB% in 12 starts that year after a mid-season trade to the Phillies hinted at a modest amount of promise, but few would have predicted his 37.8 K%, 3.42 ERA and 2.01 FIP for the Giants last season. That came in a tiny sample of 26.1 innings, as he missed time with a strained finger, but was backed by a 2.6-mph jump in fastball velocity, enough to convince the Braves to give him a one-year, $11 million deal. It's not like his success came completely out of nowhere, as the lefty managed a 3.24 ERA over his first four seasons, and getting back to that level now that he's fully healthy could certainly be sustainable. He's still firmly in lottery-ticket territory, but he's one of the most interesting members of that group. Read Past Outlooks

Signs one-year deal with Atlanta
Smyly signed a one-year, $11 million contract with Atlanta on Monday.
ANALYSIS
Smyly posted a 6.24 ERA in 2019, his first season back after missing two years due to Tommy John surgery. In 2020, however, he looked far better, posting a 3.42 ERA while striking out an impressive 37.8 percent of opposing batters. While that did come in a small sample of just 26.1 innings, it also came with a jump in his fastball velocity from 91.2 mph all the way up to 93.8. It would be a surprise if he can maintain that level of strikeout dominance over a full season given that he owns a solid but considerably less impressive 24.0 percent mark over the course of his career in that category, but there's reason to believe his 2019 blip is behind him and that he'll be quite a useful option in 2021.
Smyly posted a 6.24 ERA in 2019, his first season back after missing two years due to Tommy John surgery. In 2020, however, he looked far better, posting a 3.42 ERA while striking out an impressive 37.8 percent of opposing batters. While that did come in a small sample of just 26.1 innings, it also came with a jump in his fastball velocity from 91.2 mph all the way up to 93.8. It would be a surprise if he can maintain that level of strikeout dominance over a full season given that he owns a solid but considerably less impressive 24.0 percent mark over the course of his career in that category, but there's reason to believe his 2019 blip is behind him and that he'll be quite a useful option in 2021.
Pitching Stats
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2020
2019
2018
2017
2020 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log

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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
69
Last 10 Games
69
Last 5 Games
80
How many pitches does Drew Smyly generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Drew Smyly generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2018
-14%
BAA vs LHP
2020
-76%
BAA vs LHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2018vs Left | .238 | 29 | 14 | 31 | 12 | |||
Since 2018vs Right | .277 | 123 | 49 | 112 | 21 | |||
2020vs Left | .069 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | |||
2020vs Right | .283 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 1 | |||
2019vs Left | .287 | 20 | 11 | 29 | 12 | |||
2019vs Right | .276 | 100 | 44 | 97 | 20 | |||
2018vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
2018vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2018
-30%
ERA on Road
2020
-48%
ERA on Road
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2018Home | 6.78 | 1.54 | 69.0 | 10.4 | 3.8 | ||||
Since 2018Away | 4.75 | 1.51 | 66.1 | 9.8 | 4.6 | ||||
2020Home | 4.15 | 1.23 | 13.0 | 13.8 | 3.5 | ||||
2020Away | 2.16 | 1.08 | 8.1 | 13.0 | 3.2 | ||||
2019Home | 7.39 | 1.61 | 56.0 | 9.6 | 3.9 | ||||
2019Away | 5.12 | 1.57 | 58.0 | 9.3 | 4.8 | ||||
2018Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2018Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Drew Smyly compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
4.67K/9
14.4BB/9
3.1HR/9
0.7Fastball
93.8 mphERA
3.42WHIP
1.10BABIP
.358GB/FB
1.47Left On Base
68.7%Exit Velocity
81.9 mphBarrels/BBE
6.3%Spin Rate
2235 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
23.0%Swinging Strike
12.8%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
When the Cubs signed Smyly prior to the 2018 season, they understood that he might not contribute much in his first season with the club. The southpaw spent the early portion of the campaign continuing to rehab from the Tommy John surgery he underwent in June of 2017, and he progressed to simulated games after the All-Star break. Just when he appeared to be closing in on a return from the disabled list, the Cubs opted to shut him down for the season. After the extra-long layoff, the hope is that Smyly will be fully healthy and ready to compete for a spot in the Rangers' rotation following a November trade. He turns 30 in June and his medical history is lengthy, but in AL-only leagues and deep draft-and-hold formats, there are worse late-round speculations.
More Fantasy News

Whiffs 10 in loss
Smyly (0-1) allowed two runs on three hits and a walk over five innings Sunday, striking out 10 and taking the loss against the Padres.
ANALYSIS
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Strong in big start Tuesday
Smyly did not factor in the decision against Colorado on Tuesday, throwing 5.1 innings and allowing one run on four hits and two walks while striking out five.
ANALYSIS
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Surrenders three runs
Smyly gave up three runs on four hits and a walk and struck out eight over 3.2 innings in a no-decision versus the Mariners on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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Still starting Wednesday
Smyly will start Wednesday's game against the Mariners, Andrew Baggarly of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Starting in Seattle
Smyly will start Wednesday's game against the Mariners, Andrew Baggarly of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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