Joc Pederson
Joc Pederson
26-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Los Angeles Dodgers
2018 Fantasy Outlook
2017 was an up-and-down year for Pederson. The outfielder hit .241/.361/.466 with nine homers in the first half before a .156/.253/.312 start to the second half led to his demotion to Triple-A Oklahoma City in the middle of August. His struggles continued for the remainder of the regular season (at Triple-A and with the Dodgers), and he finished out the second half with a .162/.278/.303 line in 43 games. Pederson turned things around in the postseason, however, hitting .304/.360/.826 with three homers in the final two series after being left off the NLDS roster. Most of his opportunities came against right-handed pitching last season due to his struggles against same-handed pitching, and given the depth that the Dodgers possess in the outfield, it's hard to see that changing in 2018. Still, he's a solid source of power late in drafts and is even more intriguing in leagues where OBP is used in place of batting average. Read Past Outlooks
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$Agreed to a one-year contract with the Dodgers in January of 2018, avoiding arbitration.
Out of lineup for Game 5
OFLos Angeles Dodgers
October 28, 2018
Pederson is not in the starting lineup for Game 5 of the World Series against Boston on Sunday, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
Pederson will begin the game on the bench with lefty David Price slated to toe the rubber for the opposition. Pederson will server as a valuable left-handed bat in the later innings.
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Batting Stats
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+67%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+74%
OPS vs RHP
2017
 
 
+29%
OPS vs RHP
2016
 
 
+96%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016vs Left .521 189 11 3 18 2 .163 .250 .271
Since 2016vs Right .872 1053 162 58 141 9 .252 .351 .521
2018vs Left .512 57 3 1 4 0 .170 .211 .302
2018vs Right .893 386 62 24 52 1 .260 .338 .556
2017vs Left .597 55 4 1 4 0 .204 .291 .306
2017vs Right .768 268 40 10 31 4 .214 .340 .429
2016vs Left .469 77 4 1 10 2 .125 .250 .219
2016vs Right .918 399 60 24 58 4 .269 .371 .547
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+4%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+19%
OPS on Road
2017
 
 
+20%
OPS at Home
2016
 
 
+19%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016Home .836 568 85 34 84 5 .228 .333 .503
Since 2016Away .803 674 88 27 75 6 .247 .338 .465
2018Home .768 210 28 13 28 0 .220 .281 .487
2018Away .912 233 37 12 28 1 .275 .358 .554
2017Home .805 163 26 8 21 2 .216 .350 .455
2017Away .672 160 18 3 14 2 .209 .313 .360
2016Home .936 195 31 13 35 3 .247 .374 .562
2016Away .787 281 33 12 33 3 .246 .336 .451
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Stat Review
How does Joc Pederson compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB/K
0.47
 
BB Rate
9.0%
 
K Rate
19.2%
 
BABIP
.253
 
ISO
.273
 
AVG
.248
 
OBP
.321
 
SLG
.522
 
OPS
.843
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
Plenty of questions awaited Pederson going into 2016, as the young outfielder had walked and homered his way into the 2015 All-Star Game, then struggled mightily in the second half. He acquitted himself well during his 2016 campaign, improving his contact rate from 66.7 percent to 75 percent. The latter figure is still below league average, but the Dodgers will certainly take it when bundled with Pederson's raw power. The improved contact led to fewer walks, but the extra hits made the change a net positive to his on-base percentage, along with improvements to batting average and slugging percentage. The Dodgers limited his exposure to lefties, as 399 of his 476 plate appearances came against right-handers. They could continue to do so in 2017, by platooning him with Trayce Thompson or Enrique Hernandez. Still, Pederson's power still gives him significant value, especially in leagues that use OBP in place of batting average.
A strong spring training both at the plate and in the field elevated Pederson to be the team's Opening Day center fielder, and he quickly rewarded the organization's confidence. Pederson hit .230/.364/.487 with 20 home runs before making the NL All-Star team and battling Todd Frazier in the Home Run Derby finals. From there Pederson hit just .178/.317/.300 with six homers after the break, ultimately losing playing time to Enrique Hernandez late in the season. Pederson has earned some Adam Dunn comparisons for his power as well as his propensity to take a walk (15.7-percent BB rate) and strike out (29.1 percent). He is unlikely to ever hit .300 given the strikeouts, but the power is real and he should show improvement in his sophomore campaign. Pederson should head to camp as the starting center fielder, but given his dismal second half, he's not a lock to keep the job through another prolonged slump.
The Dodgers' outfield depth kept Pederson at Triple-A for the bulk of 2014, even though he seemed ready to contribute at the big league level. Of some concern is that he struck out 26.9% of the time at Albuquerque, but Pederson has a good eye at the plate (100 walks, 18.1% BB%) and the combination of power and speed necessary to become a five-category star. He also showed significant improvement against lefties with the move from Double-A to Triple-A, striking out less against lefties than righties last season and posting a very similar batted ball profile in each split. Reaching the 30-30 plateau for the first time in his professional career at Triple-A, Pederson has nothing left to prove in the minors and should be on track to start in center field for the Dodgers on Opening Day.
Pederson solidified his status as arguably the organization's top position prospect, batting .278/.381/.497 for Double-A Chattanooga. That line included 22 home runs and 31 stolen bases to go with 70 walks. Pederson was considered for a 2013 callup at times, but his big league debut will instead likely come in 2014. The Dodgers have a crowded outfield, but Pederson's ability to play center field should get him a look at some point this season, a timetable that could move up if the front office finds a taker for one of the team's high-priced veterans currently on the roster.
Pederson was named the organization's 2012 minor league player of the year, as he broke out with a .313/.396/.516 performance for High-A Rancho Cucamonga. Pederson homered 18 times and stole 26 bases all while playing the entire year at age 20. The true test will come this year as Pederson makes the jump out of a hitter-friendly environment to Double-A where the pitching will be far more advanced. How he handles himself at the plate in 2013 will go a long way toward determining how we think about him long term, but 2012 was a step in the right direction.
More Fantasy News
Sits versus lefty in Game 4
OFLos Angeles Dodgers
October 27, 2018
Pederson is not in the lineup for Game 4 of the World Series against the Red Sox on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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To lead off in Game 3
OFLos Angeles Dodgers
October 25, 2018
Pederson is slated to bat leadoff in Game 3 of the World Series against Boston on Friday, Andy McCullough of the Los Angeles Times reports.
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Out again vs. southpaw
OFLos Angeles Dodgers
October 24, 2018
Pederson is out of Wednesday's starting lineup for Game 2 of the World Series versus the Red Sox.
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Sits against Sale in Game 1
OFLos Angeles Dodgers
October 23, 2018
Pederson is not in the lineup for Game 1 of the World Series against the Red Sox on Tuesday, Eric Stephen of TrueBlueLA.com reports.
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Out of Game 5 lineup
OFLos Angeles Dodgers
October 17, 2018
Pederson is not in the starting lineup for Game 5 of the NLCS versus Milwaukee on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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