Noah Syndergaard
Noah Syndergaard
26-Year-Old PitcherSP
New York Mets
2018 Fantasy Outlook
It began on Opening Day as Syndergaard was removed after six scoreless innings with a blister. Two starts later, he left early again with a split fingernail. Then came a bout of tired arm, diagnosed as bicep tendinitis. After skipping a turn, he returned on April 30 and promptly tore his lat muscle. Rehab took longer than anticipated, but Thor returned in late September, tossing an inning against the Nationals before throwing two against the Phillies to end the season. Remember, Syndergaard opted not to have surgery last offseason to take care of a bone spur in his right elbow. It remains to be seen if that decision will come back to haunt him. There's no doubting his skills; the question is health. Some believe Syndergaard should ratchet down the velocity of his 98 mph heater and 91 mph slider. Realize Syndergaard only threw 30.1 innings last season, so he may not reach the total commensurate with his market price. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Agreed to a one-year, $2.975 million deal with the Mets in January of 2018, avoiding arbitration.
Fans six in shutout
PNew York Mets
September 30, 2018
Syndergaard (13-4) fired a complete game shutout in Sunday's win over the Marlins, striking out six and allowing five hits.
ANALYSIS
Sunday's outing was a strong finish to the season, as Syndergaard ends the 2018 campaign with a 3.03 ERA and a 155:39 K:BB in 154.1 innings. Health concerns will linger through the upcoming 2019 draft season, but he continues to pitch at a very high level when he's healthy enough to take the ball every fifth day.
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Pitching Stats
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Minor League Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-6%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-7%
BAA vs RHP
2017
 
 
-39%
BAA vs LHP
2016
 
 
-13%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .253 737 188 54 171 37 3 9
Since 2016vs Right .239 775 219 31 174 29 4 11
2018vs Left .258 346 73 24 82 14 2 3
2018vs Right .241 298 82 15 66 11 1 6
2017vs Left .186 63 23 2 11 3 1 0
2017vs Right .305 61 11 1 18 2 0 0
2016vs Left .262 328 92 28 78 20 0 6
2016vs Right .228 416 126 15 90 16 3 5
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-5%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-10%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-70%
ERA at Home
2016
 
 
-20%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2016Home 2.75 1.14 196.2 15 8 0 10.2 1.8 0.5
Since 2016Away 2.88 1.19 171.2 13 7 0 9.6 2.4 0.5
2018Home 2.87 1.26 78.1 8 1 0 9.2 2.5 0.5
2018Away 3.20 1.16 76.0 5 3 0 8.9 2.0 0.6
2017Home 1.71 0.86 21.0 1 1 0 11.1 0.0 0.0
2017Away 5.79 1.50 9.1 0 1 0 7.7 2.9 0.0
2016Home 2.87 1.11 97.1 6 6 0 10.8 1.7 0.6
2016Away 2.29 1.19 86.1 8 3 0 10.5 2.6 0.5
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Stat Review
How does Noah Syndergaard compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
K/BB
3.97
 
K/9
9.0
 
BB/9
2.3
 
HR/9
0.5
 
Fastball
97.5 mph
 
ERA
3.03
 
WHIP
1.21
 
BABIP
.332
 
GB/FB
2.08
 
Strand %
75.8%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
Thor established himself as the Mets' ace fairly early in his sophomore season, improving upon nearly all of his rookie metrics en route to leading all qualified starters with a 2.29 FIP. His elbow was examined in May, and in late June he was pulled from a start and it was revealed that he was dealing with a bone spur in his elbow. Syndergaard posted a 3.10 ERA and 108:31 K:BB in 92.2 innings after the diagnosis, compared to a 2.08 ERA and 110:12 K:BB in 91 innings prior, so it is possible that his control was negatively affected, although he still pitched like an ace. Surgery to remove the bone spur was deemed unnecessary in the offseason. Syndergaard still boasts two filthy pitches in his 98 mph fastball and 91 mph slider, so he should be one of the top five pitchers off the board heading into his age-24 season. The next hurdle for the best young pitcher in baseball will be to eclipse the 200-inning mark for the first time in his career.
"Thor" made his much-anticipated debut on May 12, and from Day 1, he was every bit as advertised. Using a fastball that averaged over 97 mph -- the highest ever recorded for a starting pitcher in a season with a minimum of 100 IP (according to FanGraphs) -- a curveball, a changeup, and a rarely-used slider, Syndergaard struck batters out at a 27.5% clip while issuing just 31 free passes in 150 regular-season innings. The 23-year-old had an above-average groundball rate, but the balls that got up did some damage -- his inflated HR/FB rate was really his only blemish. It's rare that you find a pitcher with Syndergaard's overpowering stuff and great control, the latter being the product of a remarkably clean, repeatable delivery. His talent is not in question, and after he tossed 179.2 combined innings between Triple-A Las Vegas and the majors last season, neither is his 2016 workload. Invest with confidence.
The big right-hander enters 2015 as the top pitching prospect in the minor leagues, and a borderline top-5 overall prospect. A lot was made of Syndergaard’s “struggles” at Triple-A Las Vegas in 2014, but a 4.60 ERA pitching in some of the most hitter-friendly conditions in the minor leagues is not nearly as bad as it looks. He fell victim to a .378 BABIP and still posted a quality 145:43 K:BB ratio in 133 innings. His second-half numbers (3.54 ERA and 63 strikeouts in 53.1 innings) were particularly impressive for a 21-year-old in the Pacific Coast League. At 6-foot-6, 240 pounds, he is equipped to handle 200-plus inning seasons, and the Mets have said he will have a generous 185-190 innings cap on his age-22 season. The biggest question is where he will fit in the rotation. With Jacob deGrom’s emergence and Matt Harvey’s return, the Mets easily go five deep, so Syndergaard may begin 2015 back in Las Vegas awaiting a June callup.
Syndergaard, who was traded to the Mets along with Travis d'Arnaud for R.A. Dickey, has surpassed d'Arnaud as the Mets' top prospect. Syndergaard went 9-4 with a 3.06 ERA, a 1.15 WHIP and 10.2 K/9 rate in 23 starts between High-A St. Lucie and Double-A Binghamton and also started the Futures Game for Team USA. He has a mid-90s fastball that bears in hard on righties and mixes in a 12-to-6 hard-biting curveball, and but his changeup is still a major work in progress. Syndergaard should follow the same path as fellow top prospects Matt Harvey and Zack Wheeler the past two years; beginning the year at Triple-A before receiving a summer call-up. Syndergaard projects to be a No. 2 or No. 3 starter, but his ceiling may hinge on the development of his changeup.
After a brief taste in 2011, Syndergaard pitched the entire season at Low-A Lansing. Throwing 103.2 innings, he recorded a 2.60 ERA, a 1.08 WHIP and had 122 strikeouts against only 31 walks. Just 20 years old, the 6-foot-5 right-hander will likely be brought along slowly by the Mets despite a very high ceiling. In addition to missing bats at an elite clip, Syndergaard surrendered just three homers in his first full professional season and does a good job of getting many of his contact outs on the ground. Look for him to spend most of the next two seasons in the minors refining his secondary pitches before getting onto the radar in New York in late 2014 or early 2015.
More Fantasy News
Lined up to start Sunday
PNew York Mets
Illness
September 27, 2018
Syndergaard (illness) is scheduled to start Sunday against the Marlins, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Six scoreless innings in no-decision
PNew York Mets
September 25, 2018
Syndergaard fired six scoreless innings Tuesday in a no-decision against the Braves, allowing three hits and two walks with five strikeouts.
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Lines up for two-start week
PNew York Mets
September 23, 2018
Syndergaard will make his next start Tuesday against the Braves and is expected to take the hill for the Mets' final game of the season Sept. 30 against the Marlins.
ANALYSIS
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Serves up two homers in loss
PNew York Mets
September 19, 2018
Syndergaard (12-4) took the loss Wednesday against the Phillies, allowing three runs on four hits and three walks across four innings. He struck out six.
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Blanks Boston for 12th win
PNew York Mets
September 14, 2018
Syndergaard (12-3) picked up the win Friday, allowing three hits and three walks over seven scoreless innings while striking out six in an 8-0 victory over the Red Sox.
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