Noah Syndergaard
Noah Syndergaard
26-Year-Old PitcherSP
New York Mets
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Normally, when a pitcher of Syndergaard’s ilk visits the disabled list twice, there’s trouble. However, last season the respites were a blessing in disguise to manage workload, coming off a 2017 campaign in which he threw only 30.1 innings. Better yet, neither stint was related to his elbow or shoulder. The first was for a strained ligament in his right index finger while the second was due to hand, foot and mouth disease. Syndergaard finished with a reasonable 25 starts and 154.1 innings, paving the way for a year with no restrictions. His fastball and slider velocity dropped a tick, perhaps explaining a career-low 24.1 K%. There was talk new pitching coach Dan Warthen encouraged Syndergaard to back it off a bit, but there was no evidence the decline was by design. As always, the key with Syndergaard is health. His stuff remains filthy. If 32 starts were guaranteed, Syndergaard would be a top-five starter. As is, he’ll be someone’s fantasy ace. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year, $6 million contract with the Mets in January of 2019, avoiding arbitration.
Strikes out nine in win
PNew York Mets
July 13, 2019
Syndergaard struck out nine while allowing two runs on five hits and no walks across seven innings to earn a victory against the Marlins on Saturday.
The right-hander was able to capture his seventh win because of a Robinson Cano homer in the top of the eighth. The game was locked 2-2 when Sydergaard last left the mound. Syndergaard has won four straight decisions, and he hasn't suffered a loss since May 19. Still, his numbers are a little disappointing based on the high standards he set for himself in his first four seasons. Syndergaard is 7-4 with a 4.55 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 110 strikeouts in 112.2 innings this season. He will look to build upon this performance in his next outing Friday in San Francisco.
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .246 610 138 35 139 28 3 7
Since 2017vs Right .257 628 161 37 148 22 3 16
2019vs Left .246 201 42 9 46 11 0 4
2019vs Right .264 269 68 21 64 9 2 10
2018vs Left .258 346 73 24 82 14 2 3
2018vs Right .241 298 82 15 66 11 1 6
2017vs Left .186 63 23 2 11 3 1 0
2017vs Right .305 61 11 1 18 2 0 0
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
ERA at Home
ERA at Home
ERA at Home
ERA at Home
Since 2017Home 3.33 1.19 162.0 14 4 0 9.3 2.3 0.7
Since 2017Away 3.92 1.23 135.1 7 6 0 8.8 2.0 0.7
2019Home 4.45 1.21 62.2 5 2 0 8.8 2.9 1.3
2019Away 4.68 1.28 50.0 2 2 0 8.8 1.8 0.9
2018Home 2.87 1.26 78.1 8 1 0 9.2 2.5 0.5
2018Away 3.20 1.16 76.0 5 3 0 8.9 2.0 0.6
2017Home 1.71 0.86 21.0 1 1 0 11.1 0.0 0.0
2017Away 5.79 1.50 9.1 0 1 0 7.7 2.9 0.0
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Stat Review
How does Noah Syndergaard compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against this season's data (min 70 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
97.7 mph
Left On Base
Exit Velocity
86.3 mph
Spin Rate
2050 rpm
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
Swinging Strike
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
It began on Opening Day as Syndergaard was removed after six scoreless innings with a blister. Two starts later, he left early again with a split fingernail. Then came a bout of tired arm, diagnosed as bicep tendinitis. After skipping a turn, he returned on April 30 and promptly tore his lat muscle. Rehab took longer than anticipated, but Thor returned in late September, tossing an inning against the Nationals before throwing two against the Phillies to end the season. Remember, Syndergaard opted not to have surgery last offseason to take care of a bone spur in his right elbow. It remains to be seen if that decision will come back to haunt him. There's no doubting his skills; the question is health. Some believe Syndergaard should ratchet down the velocity of his 98 mph heater and 91 mph slider. Realize Syndergaard only threw 30.1 innings last season, so he may not reach the total commensurate with his market price.
Thor established himself as the Mets' ace fairly early in his sophomore season, improving upon nearly all of his rookie metrics en route to leading all qualified starters with a 2.29 FIP. His elbow was examined in May, and in late June he was pulled from a start and it was revealed that he was dealing with a bone spur in his elbow. Syndergaard posted a 3.10 ERA and 108:31 K:BB in 92.2 innings after the diagnosis, compared to a 2.08 ERA and 110:12 K:BB in 91 innings prior, so it is possible that his control was negatively affected, although he still pitched like an ace. Surgery to remove the bone spur was deemed unnecessary in the offseason. Syndergaard still boasts two filthy pitches in his 98 mph fastball and 91 mph slider, so he should be one of the top five pitchers off the board heading into his age-24 season. The next hurdle for the best young pitcher in baseball will be to eclipse the 200-inning mark for the first time in his career.
"Thor" made his much-anticipated debut on May 12, and from Day 1, he was every bit as advertised. Using a fastball that averaged over 97 mph -- the highest ever recorded for a starting pitcher in a season with a minimum of 100 IP (according to FanGraphs) -- a curveball, a changeup, and a rarely-used slider, Syndergaard struck batters out at a 27.5% clip while issuing just 31 free passes in 150 regular-season innings. The 23-year-old had an above-average groundball rate, but the balls that got up did some damage -- his inflated HR/FB rate was really his only blemish. It's rare that you find a pitcher with Syndergaard's overpowering stuff and great control, the latter being the product of a remarkably clean, repeatable delivery. His talent is not in question, and after he tossed 179.2 combined innings between Triple-A Las Vegas and the majors last season, neither is his 2016 workload. Invest with confidence.
The big right-hander enters 2015 as the top pitching prospect in the minor leagues, and a borderline top-5 overall prospect. A lot was made of Syndergaard’s “struggles” at Triple-A Las Vegas in 2014, but a 4.60 ERA pitching in some of the most hitter-friendly conditions in the minor leagues is not nearly as bad as it looks. He fell victim to a .378 BABIP and still posted a quality 145:43 K:BB ratio in 133 innings. His second-half numbers (3.54 ERA and 63 strikeouts in 53.1 innings) were particularly impressive for a 21-year-old in the Pacific Coast League. At 6-foot-6, 240 pounds, he is equipped to handle 200-plus inning seasons, and the Mets have said he will have a generous 185-190 innings cap on his age-22 season. The biggest question is where he will fit in the rotation. With Jacob deGrom’s emergence and Matt Harvey’s return, the Mets easily go five deep, so Syndergaard may begin 2015 back in Las Vegas awaiting a June callup.
Syndergaard, who was traded to the Mets along with Travis d'Arnaud for R.A. Dickey, has surpassed d'Arnaud as the Mets' top prospect. Syndergaard went 9-4 with a 3.06 ERA, a 1.15 WHIP and 10.2 K/9 rate in 23 starts between High-A St. Lucie and Double-A Binghamton and also started the Futures Game for Team USA. He has a mid-90s fastball that bears in hard on righties and mixes in a 12-to-6 hard-biting curveball, and but his changeup is still a major work in progress. Syndergaard should follow the same path as fellow top prospects Matt Harvey and Zack Wheeler the past two years; beginning the year at Triple-A before receiving a summer call-up. Syndergaard projects to be a No. 2 or No. 3 starter, but his ceiling may hinge on the development of his changeup.
After a brief taste in 2011, Syndergaard pitched the entire season at Low-A Lansing. Throwing 103.2 innings, he recorded a 2.60 ERA, a 1.08 WHIP and had 122 strikeouts against only 31 walks. Just 20 years old, the 6-foot-5 right-hander will likely be brought along slowly by the Mets despite a very high ceiling. In addition to missing bats at an elite clip, Syndergaard surrendered just three homers in his first full professional season and does a good job of getting many of his contact outs on the ground. Look for him to spend most of the next two seasons in the minors refining his secondary pitches before getting onto the radar in New York in late 2014 or early 2015.
More Fantasy News
Escapes with sixth win
PNew York Mets
July 7, 2019
Syndergaard (6-4) picked up the win Saturday, giving up four runs on seven hits and three walks over five innings while striking out three in a 6-5 victory over the Phillies.
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Allows three runs in return
PNew York Mets
June 30, 2019
Syndergaard did not factor into the decision against the Braves on Sunday, pitching 5.2 innings and allowing three runs on seven hits and three walks while striking out five.
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Activated for Sunday's start
PNew York Mets
June 30, 2019
Syndergaard (hamstring) was activated off the 10-day injured list to start Sunday's game against the Braves.
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On track to return Sunday
PNew York Mets
June 26, 2019
Syndergaard (hamstring) is scheduled to come off the injured list to start Sunday against the Braves, Anthony DiComo of reports.
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Fans nine in rehab start
PNew York Mets
June 26, 2019
Syndergaard (hamstring) gave up three runs on five hits over five innings while striking out nine for Low-A Brooklyn on Tuesday.
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