Kenta Maeda
Kenta Maeda
32-Year-Old PitcherSP
Minnesota Twins
2020 Fantasy Outlook
For the second straight season, Maeda transitioned to the bullpen in September, excelling with two wins, three saves and three holds. He pitched well as a starter, despite what a bloated 4.11 ERA says. Still, this is two consecutive years Maeda's K% increased while his BB% decreased as a reliever. After being traded to Minnesota, Maeda should be expected to be a starter for most of the year, though the Twins could skip a start here or there. His 26.4 K% and 8.3 BB% as a starter continue to render Maeda above average in the role. Maeda's bread-and-butter pitch remains his splitter, which he used a little more than in the past while also increasing usage of his slider and change at the expense of his two-seamer (which he bagged completely) and 93-mph four-seamer. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#164
ADP
Add To Watchlist
$Signed an eight-year, $25 million contract with the Dodgers in January of 2016. Traded to the Twins in February of 2020.
Long ball ruins effort
PMinnesota Twins
August 6, 2020
Maeda allowed three earned runs on on three hits and one walk while striking out four across six innings Thursday against the Pirates. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
Maeda didn't allow a baserunner in four of the six innings he pitched and dominated the Pirates for most of the outing. However, he ran into trouble in the second inning when he allowed the first two batters he faced to reach base before allowing a three-run home run to Gregory Polanco. Maeda's otherwise strong performance was a continuation of earlier outings this season, and he now has a 2.65 ERA with a 16:3 K:BB in 17 innings. He's currently in line to draw his next start Tuesday at Milwaukee.
Read More News
Pitching Stats
Loading Pitching Stats...
2020
2019
2018
2017
2020 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2019 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2018 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2017 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
Minor League Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Minor League Pitching Game Log...
Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
82
Last 10 Games
82
Last 5 Games
82
How many pitches does Kenta Maeda generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Kenta Maeda generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-28%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-1%
BAA vs LHP
2019
 
 
-36%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-24%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2018vs Left .251 601 131 58 135 26 5 20
Since 2018vs Right .181 617 207 39 102 28 2 17
2020vs Left .135 40 8 3 5 0 0 1
2020vs Right .136 22 8 0 3 2 0 1
2019vs Left .247 312 65 30 69 13 2 11
2019vs Right .158 312 104 21 45 8 2 11
2018vs Left .276 249 58 25 61 13 3 8
2018vs Right .209 283 95 18 54 18 0 5
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-27%
ERA at Home
2020
 
 
-100%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-39%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-3%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2018Home 3.27 1.01 154.0 14 11 1 10.5 2.3 1.2
Since 2018Away 4.50 1.25 142.0 6 7 4 10.1 3.6 1.1
2020Home 0.00 0.33 6.0 1 0 0 9.0 1.5 0.0
2020Away 4.09 0.82 11.0 1 0 0 8.2 1.6 1.6
2019Home 3.13 0.85 83.1 8 3 1 10.0 1.8 1.4
2019Away 5.12 1.34 70.1 2 5 2 9.7 4.4 1.2
2018Home 3.76 1.28 64.2 5 8 0 11.1 3.1 1.0
2018Away 3.86 1.24 60.2 3 2 2 10.8 3.1 0.9
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Kenta Maeda compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
5.33
 
K/9
8.5
 
BB/9
1.6
 
HR/9
1.1
 
Fastball
92.2 mph
 
ERA
2.65
 
WHIP
0.65
 
BABIP
.158
 
GB/FB
1.19
 
Left On Base
73.2%
 
Exit Velocity
79.6 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
3.6%
 
Spin Rate
2235 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
16.9%
 
Swinging Strike
15.0%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
Loading Advanced Pitching Stats...
Defensive Stats
Loading MLB Defensive Stats...
Stats Vs Today's Lineup
Want more matchup stats?
Loading Matchup Stats...
Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
Subscribe Now
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Kenta Maeda
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Slim Pickings
Yesterday
Todd Zola ranks starting pitchers in a week with few elite two-start hurlers. Max Scherzer is scheduled for two starts, but he's also dealing with a hamstring injury.
Dream11 Fantasy Baseball: Twins at Pirates
4 days ago
Juan Pablo Aravena breaks down Thursday's Twins at Pirates game for Dream11 contests.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
7 days ago
Jan Levine is back with his NL recommendations, including a number of hot performers and returning veterans.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: The Rich Get Richer
8 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching as Jacob deGrom is one of a number of top-tier pitchers scheduled for two starts.
Bernie on the Scene: Standings Predictions for the Sprint
13 days ago
Bernie Pleskoff projects the 2020 season team by team. Will the Indians' pitching be the difference in this year's sprint?
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
Maeda began the season as starter, but finished it in the bullpen. He held opponents to a .233 average as a starter with a 28% strikeout rate, but as a reliever struck out 35% of the hitters he faced while opponents batted .265 against him. The 31 K-BB% out of the bullpen was elite, even if it was only 74 batters faced. Maeda's move to the 'pen was one related to a crowded house more than a degradation of skill, so don't assume his days as a starter are over. Maeda's skills play up in either role -- the lack of clarity around his role should not overly concern you if you are drafting early. The right-hander is a classic example of "draft skills, not role" in his current shape. Either way, you should realize a profit with Maeda as a late-round pick.
Maeda improved slightly upon his strong strikeout and walk rates from his rookie season, but he missed time due to injury and was relegated to the bullpen on a couple of occasions. The Dodgers were also conservative in his starts, limiting Maeda's exposure to opposing lineups -- Maeda threw more than five innings just seven times all year, which led to a 40-inning drop in regular-season workload. Maeda throws five different pitches and he mixes them reasonably well, but he induced fewer swings on pitches out of the strike zone overall (29.9 percent O-Swing rate), struggled on the road (5.62 ERA) and continued to run into trouble against lefties (.263/.322/.458). Perhaps the biggest thing working against Maeda in fantasy is the fact that the Dodgers have evolved past the "workhorse" mentality, instead using the 10-day DL to rotate guys and keep them fresh. The skills are solid, but Maeda's workload will likely be capped once again.
Signed through 2023 for a total of $25 million (plus incentives), Maeda is already looking like one of the great bargains in baseball after his first season stateside. As the calendar turned to July, Maeda sat with a 2.82 ERA, and although he did slip some late in the year, he finished with 16 wins, strong ratios and an average of more than a strikeout per inning. Elbow issues drove his price down last offseason, and while Maeda made 32 regular-season starts, he required additional rest for 19 of them. The Dodgers want Maeda to add mass this offseason with the hope that his body will hold up to a heavier workload (and a more regular schedule) in 2017. Thirty more innings or so, even if they come with some regression with the ratios, could thrust Maeda into elite company among fantasy starters. Best of all, his cost may remain suppressed as the memory of his late-season struggles and injury concerns linger.
Maeda, who was regarded as the top pitcher in Japan, signed an eight-year deal with the Dodgers in the offseason. Comparisons to his most immediate predecessors, Yu Darvish and Masahiro Tanaka, are a bit unfair, as both were historically unprecedented. Maeda probably isn't MLB ace material, as his K/9 rate has never exceeded 8.1, but it has also never fallen below 7.3, and his BB/9 rate has steadily hovered around 1.9. Maeda's success has come from limiting hits, and more recently, keeping the ball in the park. Maeda's fastball sits 89-92 mph with some movement, and it reaches 94 mph on occasion, and he features two variations of a slider. Above all, Maeda has been remarkably durable to this point, throwing at least 175 innings in each of the past seven seasons, but irregularities were found in his elbow during his physical with the Dodgers, which helps explain all the incentives in his contract.
Maeda entered 2014 regarded as the top pitcher in Japan after the departure of Masahiro Tanaka to MLB. While his W-L record declined to 11-9 and his ERA increased to a five-year high, he still had a 2.60 ERA with a 161:41 K:BB ratio in 187 innings. Still, the buzz about him moving to MLB declined and his team decided not to let him leave via the posting in 2015, even though he's said he wants to pitch in the U.S. He could be posted for the 2016 season and he'll be eligible for international free agency in 2017. When Maeda eventually does show up in the majors, fans expecting another Tanaka or Yu Darvish will probably be disappointed. Listed at 6-foot, 179 pounds, Maeda is physically smaller than Japan's recent exports. His arsenal of an 88-94 mph fastball, a slider and a changeup is more respectable than it is eye-popping. On the plus side, Maeda has good control, isn't home-run prone and offers a strong track record of health. He'll certainly be near the top of a big-league rotation when he decides to move to the States.
Maeda is regarded as the second best pitcher in Japan after Masahiro Tanaka. He went 15-7 with a 2.10 ERA and 158:40 K:BB ratio in 175.2 innings last season. When signing his 2014 contract with the Hiroshima Carp, Maeda declared his intent to move to MLB for 2015. He's been a reliable innings eater throughout his NPB career; and features a fastball at 90-94, and breaking pitch that traverses the plane from cutter to slider. He should figure prominently in a 2015 MLB rotation as a result.
More Fantasy News
Dominant in Saturday's win
PMinnesota Twins
August 1, 2020
Maeda (2-0) picked up the win in Saturday's 3-0 victory over Cleveland, giving up just one hit and one walk over six scoreless innings. He struck out six.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Impressive in Twins debut
PMinnesota Twins
July 26, 2020
Maeda (1-0) tossed five innings Sunday, earning the win while allowing two runs against the White Sox. He struck out six batters and walked one.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Sharp in final tuneup
PMinnesota Twins
July 21, 2020
Maeda gave up three runs over five innings with seven strikeouts and threw 85 pitches in Monday's scrimmage, the St. Paul Pioneer Press reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Makes Twins debut
PMinnesota Twins
February 24, 2020
Maeda gave up a run, on a home run, with a strikeout over two innings in his Twins debut in Saturday's spring training win over Boston.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Dealt to Minnesota
PMinnesota Twins
February 9, 2020
The Dodgers agreed to a deal Sunday that sends Maeda and cash to the Twins in return for Brusdar Graterol, Luke Raley and the 67th pick in the 2020 draft, Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.