Josh Bell
Josh Bell
26-Year-Old First Baseman1B
Pittsburgh Pirates
2019 Fantasy Outlook
There were some positives in Bell’s 2018 season. His batting average improved by six points, his on-base percentage increased by 23 points and he improved his already-stellar walk and strikeout rates. However, these upgrades were heavily offset by a downturn in power. Bell hit just 12 homers compared to 26 the year prior and his slugging percentage dropped 55 points as a result. Some of this regression was expected, as his home-run-to-flyball rate came back down to a more reasonable 9.2% from his 19.1% mark in 2017. His struggles against left-handed pitching also hurt him, as he mustered just a .734 OPS with two home runs against them last season. Bell’s standing as the Pirates’ starting first baseman is safe, but he needs to improve his power output to avoid getting lost in the wash at the first-base position. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year contract with the Pirates in March of 2019.
Hits fourth homer
1BPittsburgh Pirates
April 21, 2019
Bell went 1-for-3, hitting a two-run home run in a 3-2 loss to the Giants on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
The 26-year-old accounted for the only runs the Pirates scored in the loss. After a really disappointing 2018 season, Bell is off to a wonderful start, hitting for both average and power. While his four homers through 19 games doesn't stand out, he's already a third of the way to his 12-bomb total from last season. With five doubles and a triple as well, Bell supports a .591 slugging percentage. He is also hitting .303 with 15 RBI and 13 runs in 66 at-bats.
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Batting Stats
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
14
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
6
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+8%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+24%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+6%
OPS vs RHP
2017
 
 
+7%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .752 322 35 11 41 1 .250 .326 .426
Since 2017vs Right .813 964 128 31 127 3 .264 .355 .458
2019vs Left .836 23 3 1 3 0 .278 .391 .444
2019vs Right 1.037 60 11 3 13 0 .308 .383 .654
2018vs Left .734 158 15 2 17 1 .254 .335 .399
2018vs Right .781 425 59 10 45 1 .264 .365 .416
2017vs Left .758 141 17 8 21 0 .242 .305 .453
2017vs Right .813 479 58 18 69 2 .259 .342 .470
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+10%
OPS on Road
2019
 
 
+31%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+17%
OPS on Road
2017
 
 
+10%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .759 616 71 19 90 0 .253 .331 .428
Since 2017Away .834 670 92 23 78 4 .268 .363 .471
2019Home 1.127 40 7 3 10 0 .303 .400 .727
2019Away .859 43 7 1 6 0 .297 .372 .486
2018Home .705 274 30 5 33 0 .254 .318 .387
2018Away .826 309 44 7 29 2 .269 .392 .435
2017Home .762 302 34 11 47 0 .246 .334 .428
2017Away .835 318 41 15 43 2 .263 .333 .502
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Stat Review
How does Josh Bell compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB/K
0.71
 
BB Rate
12.0%
 
K Rate
16.9%
 
BABIP
.315
 
ISO
.300
 
AVG
.300
 
OBP
.386
 
SLG
.600
 
OPS
.986
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Pirates Depth Chart
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19 days ago
Mike Barner suggests that a Braves stack, featuring Freddie Freeman, could be a wise play for a three-game Thursday slate where Cubs pitcher Yu Darvish will likely be highly owned.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
Long considered a hit over power first baseman, Bell uprooted that narrative last season with 26 long balls and just a .255 average. He finished with a .211 ISO, which ranked 52nd among qualified hitters, with 11 of his home runs coming at PNC in a bottom-eight park for homers. However, his flyball rate was just over 30 percent while his HR/FB was inflated at 19.1 percent; it's hard to bet on him repeating that level of power production next season. Further, while Bell made consistent contact, walked at an above-average rate and his BABIP was depressed, his xBA was identical to his actual batting average, so it's not a given that he gets a lot back in that department in 2018. There may very well be another level or two to his game, but it's unwise to assume he puts it all together and vaults into top-75 territory right away this season. It's better to instead keep expectations modest -- another $10-plus season in 15-team leagues -- with anything beyond that being a bonus.
Bell burst onto the scene in 2016, stroking a memorable grand slam off Chicago's Jake Arrieta in his first series just prior to the All-Star break. GM Neal Huntington then recalled Bell for good in August. Bell batted .273/.368/.406 in 152 plate appearances, though he hit just .167 in his final 47 at-bats. The 24-year-old played at first base but later saw time in right field. His defense is below average but his bat excites fantasy owners. The switch-hitter hit .324 with 13 homers and 41:55 BB:K in 359 Triple-A plate appearances, contending for the Triple Crown. He also showed excellent command of the strike zone in Pittsburgh, walking more times (21) than he struck out (19). Bell should start out on the strong side of a platoon with David Freese at first base, but given his pedigree and long-term upside as a hitter, he should eventually earn everyday at-bats and could have a breakout season.
Bell is somewhat of an enigma. The 6-foot-2, 233-pounder produced a sterling .317/.393/.446 line split between Double-A and Triple-A while exhibiting tremendous plate discipline (65:65 K:BB). He hit only seven homers in 572 plate appearances, however, and the Pirates need power from the first base position. The organization is hopeful the 23-year-old matures into 20-plus home run hitter annually, as his raw power grades out as above average, though potential .300 hitters have plenty of value regardless of home run-hitting ability. A former outfielder, Bell will likely begin 2016 at Triple-A Indianapolis, but he could be called up in late-April, once the Pirates have exacted an extra year of control over the promising prospect. The likes of John Jaso, Mike Morse and Jason Rogers do not exactly represent daunting roadblocks.
Bell compiled an overall line of .325/.375/.459 and was named Pittsburgh's top minor league hitter of the year in 2014. The organization moved Bell to first base from the outfield for the Arizona Fall League, with fairly disappointing results. The Pirates have sought help at first and the 22-year-old switch-hitter projects as a possible long-term solution. Unfortunately, after a rough AFL both in the field (five errors) and at the plate (zero homers), the organization must wonder whether the 6-foot-2, 235 pounder will ever hit for power. Bell went deep just nine times in 465 plate appearances split between High-A (nine homers in 363 PA) and Double-A (zero homers in 102 PA). He's already dealt with knee injuries on multiple occasions, but if he finds a power stroke, the Bucs will most likely fast track him to the majors.
Bell may have taken a back seat to some of Pittsburgh's other prospects for the last year or so, but make no mistake - his power potential is for real. After being limited to 15 games due to a knee injury in 2012, the switch-hitting corner outfielder began to find his way last summer. Bell posted a .279/.353/.453 line in 459 at-bats for Low-A West Virginia, to which he added 37 doubles, 13 homers, and 76 RBI. Pittsburgh might not promote the second-round draft pick swiftly, if only because the 21-year-old missed nearly all of 2012, but his offensive potential has the organization excited about his future. Owners in dynasty leagues should consider Bell, while most should track his progress. He's likely Pittsburgh's second-best offensive prospect behind Gregory Polanco.
Bell entered 2012 as the team's brightest and best paid ($5 million bonus) offensive prospect in the low minors. He played in only 15 Low-A games, however, before suffering a knee injury that cost him his season -- not exactly the best way to start a pro career. Inflammation in his left knee lingered throughout the summer to the point that he was unable to participate in the fall Instructional League. Hopefully he'll find a way to get back on the field for 2013 because he's one of the organization's best power prospects. The switch-hitter, who remains years away from the majors, makes for a strong pickup in dynasty leagues assuming that he makes it back from his knee issues.
Bell entered the 2011 draft as a player with immense power who seemed bent on foregoing the draft to enter college. His mother is a university professor, but the lure of first-round money at pick No. 61 proved to be too much for the switch-hitter to pass up. Bell immediately becomes the best power prospect in the Pirates system. He's thought to be average at best defensively, but has a chance to move up quickly an offensively-challenged organizational ladder. His second-round, $5 million contract would've never happened under the new CBA, but Bell gives the small market Bucs a chance to cash in on a player who was universally ranked as a first-round talent.
More Fantasy News
Extra bases flowing freely
1BPittsburgh Pirates
April 14, 2019
Bell went 2-for-3 with a pair of doubles, one walk and two RBI against Washington on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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Goes deep versus Nationals
1BPittsburgh Pirates
April 13, 2019
Bell went 1-for-4 with a solo homer in a 6-3 victory over the Nationals on Friday.
ANALYSIS
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Hot hitting continues
1BPittsburgh Pirates
April 11, 2019
Bell went 2-for-4 with an RBI single against the Cubs on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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Hits massive home run
1BPittsburgh Pirates
April 7, 2019
Bell went 2-for-3 with a homer, two RBI and two runs in a 7-5 victory against the Reds on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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Hits first home run
1BPittsburgh Pirates
April 6, 2019
Bell went 3-for-5 with two doubles, a home run and two RBI in a 6-5 win over the Reds on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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