Brandon Nimmo
Brandon Nimmo
25-Year-Old OutfielderOF
New York Mets
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Nimmo entered 2018 poised for a role as the Mets' fourth outfielder, but Yoenis Cespedes, Juan Lagares and Jay Bruce combined to play only 162 games. He earned an everyday role and led off for much of the season, finishing fourth among qualified hitters with a .404 OBP and sixth in MLB with a 149 wRC+. He was hit by a pitch 22 times (most in MLB), exceeding his total from the previous four seasons combined, but his 15.0 BB% was in line with what he did in 2017. The big difference last season was a spike in power. His ISO rose from .158 to .219 and he topped 15 home runs for the first time as a pro. His HR/FB rose from 12.8% to 17.5% -- a mark that ranked 35th among 140 qualified hitters. He could replicate last year's power output, but we should not expect further growth. Nimmo has established himself as one of the core pieces on this roster, and should lead off again for much of the season. He is a better asset in OBP and points leagues. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a one-year, $536,240 contract with the Mets in March of 2017.
Will play mostly center field
OFNew York Mets
February 14, 2019
Nimmo is expected play primarily center field to begin the season, Anthony DiComo of reports.
With Yoenis Cespedes (heel) set to open the season on the shelf, it sounds like the Mets are planning to deploy Jeff McNeil as their primary left fielder, pushing Michael Conforto to right field and Nimmo to center field, at least against right-handers. McNeil will likely platoon with the likes of Keon Broxton and Juan Lagares, which could push Nimmo to a corner outfield spot against southpaws. Regardless of where he plays, the soon-to-be 26-year-old figures to see his fair share of opportunities after slashing .263/.404/.483 with 17 homers and nine steals in 140 games in 2018.
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Batting Stats
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2016
Since 2016vs Left .688 208 20 3 10 5 .226 .338 .350
Since 2016vs Right .893 622 95 20 64 6 .277 .408 .484
2018vs Left .742 151 16 3 9 5 .234 .351 .391
2018vs Right .946 384 61 14 38 4 .275 .424 .521
2017vs Left .530 49 1 0 1 0 .190 .292 .238
2017vs Right .878 166 25 5 20 2 .281 .404 .474
2016vs Left .661 8 3 0 0 0 .286 .375 .286
2016vs Right .667 72 9 1 6 0 .273 .333 .333
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2016
OPS at Home
OPS on Road
OPS at Home
OPS at Home
Since 2016Home .844 399 59 12 33 5 .262 .387 .457
Since 2016Away .837 431 56 11 41 6 .265 .394 .442
2018Home .822 256 34 8 17 4 .237 .383 .440
2018Away .945 279 43 9 30 5 .288 .423 .522
2017Home .919 94 15 3 10 1 .304 .387 .532
2017Away .698 121 11 2 11 1 .224 .372 .327
2016Home .813 49 10 1 6 0 .310 .408 .405
2016Away .452 31 2 0 0 0 .226 .226 .226
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Stat Review
How does Brandon Nimmo compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
A middling prospect in the Mets' organization, Nimmo began the 2017 campaign on the disabled list before being optioned to Triple-A Las Vegas. He slashed a pedestrian .223/.365/.392 before injuries forced Nimmo into big-league action for the second straight season. The lefty swinger showcased his patience, walking 33 times in 215 trips to the dish on the way to an impressive .379 OBP. Nimmo has mediocre power, slugging only .418. He has some speed, but was successful on only 37 of 67 stolen-base attempts in his minor-league career -- not exactly worthy of a green light at the major-league level. He ended the season strong, smacking four homers in September, putting him in contention for an Opening Day roster spot, especially with Michael Conforto (shoulder) likely to begin the season on the disabled list. Nimmo is best suited for duty as a fourth outfielder, and the acquisition of Jay Bruce likely keeps him in that role. He's not mixed-league worthy.
A former first-round pick, Nimmo got his first extended look at Triple-A Las Vegas to open up the season, and after excelling there, he got his first taste of big league action. The 23-year-old wrapped up his minor league campaign with sparkling numbers, hitting .352 with a .964 OPS and 11 home runs in 97 games. He suffered through a bit of a drop off once he got to the majors, which was to be expected following his stellar showing at Triple-A. The most concerning aspect, however, was the reemergence of his free swinging ways -- a problem that plagued him early in his career but had seemingly improved as he moved up the organizational ranks -- to the tune of striking out in 25 percent of his plate appearances. If he's able to correct that issue, Nimmo looks to be on an upward trajectory and will likely be deployed as a spare outfielder on the major league roster.
The former 13th overall pick in the 2011 draft out of high school in Cheyenne, Wyoming, is finally starting to show flashes of that pedigree. His .322/.448/.458 slash line in 279 plate appearances at High-A St. Lucie turned heads, primarily because of an approach that yielded a 51:50 K:BB ratio. However, he met his match after advancing to Double-A Binghamton, where his BABIP regressed from .401 to .283, and as a result, he posted much more pedestrian numbers. Nimmo profiles as a Daniel Nava-type of big leaguer (the 2013 version), offering more value in OBP leagues and in real life, as the power and speed production will probably always be below average. The Mets will likely send him back to Double-A to start 2015, and if he can redeem himself, he should finish the season at Triple-A, with a chance to make a big-league impact in 2016.
Nimmo began the year on fire, but regressed a bit and was then sidelined for nearly a month due to hand and back injuries. When Nimmo returned in late May, his struggles continued, and despite an August surge, his overall numbers were just so-so. Nimmo's poor contact rate - just 67 percent - resulted in 118 strikeouts in 480 at-bats - but his good eye led to 71 walks. He has a long way to go, given that he didn't play high school ball, but the Mets expect him to fill out, move to left field and possibly be a 15-15 candidate down the road for the parent club. That likely won't happen until 2017, but he should begin 2014 at High-A St. Lucie, a much better hitter's park than Savannah, where he played last season.
Nimmo showed a good eye at the plate while making his debut in the New York-Penn League in 2012, drawing a walk in 15 percent of his plate appearances while carrying a .372 OBP. However, he did not make contact very often (71 percent) and it may take him significantly longer to develop moving through the Mets' system after being drafted out of high school in Wyoming in 2011, which limited his experience to Legion Ball. Given the longer development path, and that his ceiling may not be overwhelmingly high anyway, rostering Nimmo may require a league format with very deep minor league reserves.
The Mets drafted Nimmo 13th overall in 2011 despite that the fact that he did not play high school ball while growing up in Wyoming. He signed for $2.1 million just before the signing deadline, enabling him to play 10 games in rookie ball. Nimmo has been projected to possibly be a Von Hayes-like player, but don't expect him to be ready until 2014 at the earliest as he'll make his full-season debut in April.
More Fantasy News
Set to lead off next season
OFNew York Mets
December 11, 2018
Manager Mickey Callaway said Tuesday that Nimmo "needs to be leading off" in 2019, Tim Britton of The Athletic reports.
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Done for season, but injury not severe
OFNew York Mets
September 29, 2018
Nimmo's right hamstring injury looks "mild," according to manager Mickey Callaway, but Nimmo's season is over, Anthony DiComo of reports.
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Exits game with apparent leg injury
OFNew York Mets
September 29, 2018
Nimmo needed to be helped off the field while leaving Saturday's game in the seventh inning, sustaining an apparent right leg injury after running to first, Tim Healey of Newsday reports.
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Slaps three-run homer
OFNew York Mets
September 15, 2018
Nimmo went 1-for-2 with a walk and a three-run homer in Saturday's loss to the Red Sox.
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Delivers game-winning home run
OFNew York Mets
September 3, 2018
Nimmo blasted a pinch-hit, three-run home run Monday against the Dodgers.
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