Blake Snell
Blake Snell
25-Year-Old PitcherSP
Tampa Bay Rays
2018 Fantasy Outlook
Snell has mostly struggled so far at the highest level, failing to meet the hype as a former top prospect, but he made strides late in 2017 and may be on the verge of a breakout. The young left-hander shaved a full walk from his BB/9 from the previous season (to 4.1) and got sharper as the season wore on, posting a 2.9 BB/9 in the second half. Meanwhile, Snell added to his strikeout percentage in each of the season's final three months, finishing with a 26.5-percent mark in September, while also trimming his HR/9 from 1.21 to 0.93 from the first half to the second half. It's not uncommon for pitchers to struggle with fastball command like Snell did with the jump to the big leagues; Snell seems to have regained his trust in the pitch, but continuing to locate well will be critical to his success moving forward. With plenty of owners disappointed by his struggles last season, Snell's second-half improvement may not be baked into his price on draft day. Read Past Outlooks
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Wins ninth straight start
PTampa Bay Rays
September 23, 2018
Snell (21-5) allowed no runs on three hits and two walks over 6.2 innings while recording the win over the Blue Jays on Sunday. He struck out 11.
ANALYSIS
Snell was outstanding again, winning his ninth consecutive start. The left-hander permitted only three singles and during his nine-start winning streak has given up only six earned runs in 46 innings. The 25-year-old has a sterling 1.90 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP this season, and his next scheduled start is Friday at home against these same Blue Jays.
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-19%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-27%
BAA vs LHP
2017
 
 
-25%
BAA vs LHP
2016
 
 
-2%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .185 294 85 29 48 10 0 2
Since 2016vs Right .228 1308 332 139 264 60 4 34
2018vs Left .139 132 44 9 17 5 0 2
2018vs Right .190 522 156 49 89 22 1 14
2017vs Left .182 75 18 8 12 3 0 0
2017vs Right .243 472 101 51 101 23 2 15
2016vs Left .264 87 23 12 19 2 0 0
2016vs Right .270 314 75 39 74 15 1 5
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-34%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-53%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-30%
ERA at Home
2016
 
 
-27%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2016Home 2.40 1.12 195.1 18 8 0 9.9 3.5 0.8
Since 2016Away 3.66 1.36 191.0 13 12 0 9.5 4.3 0.8
2018Home 1.24 0.84 80.0 10 1 0 10.2 2.3 0.9
2018Away 2.63 1.09 89.0 10 4 0 11.0 3.8 0.8
2017Home 3.32 1.09 65.0 3 3 0 9.1 3.3 1.1
2017Away 4.76 1.57 64.1 2 4 0 7.4 4.9 1.0
2016Home 3.04 1.61 50.1 5 4 0 10.4 5.7 0.4
2016Away 4.19 1.63 38.2 1 4 0 9.3 4.4 0.7
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Stat Review
How does Blake Snell compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
K/BB
3.45
 
K/9
10.7
 
BB/9
3.1
 
HR/9
0.9
 
Fastball
95.8 mph
 
ERA
1.97
 
WHIP
0.97
 
BABIP
.246
 
GB/FB
1.38
 
Strand %
85.8%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
2015
2014
Snell's eagerly anticipated major league debut was by and large a successful one. The young southpaw posted five quality starts overall but was also lifted before the fourth inning on five occasions, a perfect example of the inconsistencies a rookie pitcher can often display, regardless of their talent level. The one major blemish that Snell carried over from the minors was an issue with control, as he posted a bloated 5.2 BB/9 and 1.62 WHIP at the big league level. He was as stingy as ever with the long ball, however, generating a minuscule 0.5 HR/9 that essentially mirrored or represented an improvement on his figure in that category at his various minor league stops. With a full offseason to prepare for the grind of a major league campaign, Snell could take a formidable leap forward in 2017 and has plenty of proven strikeout upside, having tallied a double-digit K/9 from High-A to Triple-A. Control will presumably still be an issue for the time being, but the talented southpaw still has plenty to offer in several other fantasy categories.
There aren’t enough superlatives to describe Snell’s 2015 season. Across three levels, the lefty went 15-4 with a 1.41 ERA, a 1.02 WHIP, and struck out 163 batters in 134 innings and seemed to look better with each level. At Triple-A Durham, he went 6-2 with a 1.83 ERA, a 0.95 WHIP, and struck out 57 batter while allowing 29 hits in 44.1 innings of work. That type of resume would normally be a lock for a job in a rotation the next season, but he pitches for Tampa Bay. Like Hellickson and Price before him, he’ll return to Durham for (insert made up BS reason here) until arbitrary Super 2 date passes. The Rays have a set rotation of Archer, Smyly, Odorizzi, Moore, and Ramirez as the roster stands now even after dealing Karns, so they do at least have a legit reason to send him back to the minors. Unless there is a trade or an injury, don’t look for him sometime in June, at the earliest.
It is said that lefties take a bit longer to develop, especially with their command. That may be the case for Snell. He pitched at two levels last season and struck out 119 batters in 115.2 innings of work while permitting just 95 hits and two home runs. He also walked 56 batters, including 37 in just 75 innings of work in High-A ball. He throws in the low 90s and the team really likes his changeup, which is a required pitch to move up in the organization. He will likely report to Double-A Montgomery in 2015 and should be watched to see how his progression continues.
Snell put together a successful first year in full-season baseball with Low-A Bowling Green. In 23 starts, he went 4-9 with a 4.27 ERA and had 106 strikeouts in 99 innings. A tall left-hander, he features a big fastball that can hover in the mid-90s. A 2011 draft selection out of high school, the Rays have brought Snell along slowly to build up his innings and preserve his arm. He had a very high walk rate of 6.6 BB/9 in 2013, which can be expected of most young pitchers. He features an interesting set of pitches and is expected to develop those and continue to work as a starter. He will likely start 2014 with High-A Charlotte, as he makes a bid to surpass 100 innings for the first time in his professional career.
More Fantasy News
Gets 20th win, 200th strikeout
PTampa Bay Rays
September 19, 2018
Snell (20-5) allowed one hit in five scoreless innings in a win over the Rangers on Tuesday, striking out five and walking two.
ANALYSIS
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Carries no-hitter into seventh, claims 19th win
PTampa Bay Rays
September 12, 2018
Snell (19-5) picked up the win Wednesday against the Indians, allowing one run on one hit and two walks while striking out nine across seven innings.
ANALYSIS
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Fans nine for 18th win
PTampa Bay Rays
September 8, 2018
Snell (18-5) picked up the win in Friday's 14-2 rout of the Orioles, allowing two runs on five hits over 5.1 innings while striking out nine.
ANALYSIS
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Continues to dominate in second half
PTampa Bay Rays
September 1, 2018
Snell won his 17th game Saturday against Cleveland, giving up two runs (one earned) and eight hits over 6.2 innings. He struck out nine and walked one.
ANALYSIS
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Fans eight, notches 16th win
PTampa Bay Rays
August 26, 2018
Snell (16-5) allowed one run on two hits and two walks while striking out eight over six innings as he secured the victory Sunday against Boston.
ANALYSIS
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