Lucas Sims
Lucas Sims
25-Year-Old PitcherRP
Cincinnati Reds
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Sims came over to the Reds in the Adam Duvall deal at the trade deadline last year, having stagnated in the Braves' organization. Upon arriving at Triple-A Louisville, Sims performed well over 28 innings, with a 32:5 K:BB ratio, albeit at the cost of five homers allowed. The Reds called him up in September but he had to be shut down after three appearances thanks to a strained teres major in his upper right arm. Like many in the organization, Sims is a flawed pitching prospect with an uncertain role. He is not without pedigree (first-round pick in 2012) and won't turn 25 until May. However, the Reds seem to be looking to speed up their rebuild, and therefore won't give him a long leash as a starter if he can help out of the big-league bullpen. Read Past Outlooks
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$Signed a one-year contract with the Braves in March of 2018. Traded to the Reds in July of 2018.
Starting Saturday
PCincinnati Reds
September 27, 2019
Sims will start Saturday's game against the Pirates.
ANALYSIS
Sims figures to toss the first inning or two before handing the ball to a bulk reliever, especially considering he hasn't worked more than two frames since July 24 against Milwaukee. He owns a 4.39 ERA and 1.15 WHIP with 56 punchouts over 41 innings this season.
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Pitching Stats
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
31
Last 10 Games
29
Last 5 Games
32
How many pitches does Lucas Sims generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Lucas Sims generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-5%
BAA vs LHP
2019
 
 
-23%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-31%
BAA vs LHP
2017
 
 
-10%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .243 229 43 38 45 16 1 6
Since 2017vs Right .257 280 74 17 65 11 2 14
2019vs Left .172 77 20 12 11 3 0 3
2019vs Right .222 100 37 7 20 4 1 5
2018vs Left .192 37 5 11 5 2 0 1
2018vs Right .278 40 11 2 10 1 0 2
2017vs Left .305 115 18 15 29 11 1 2
2017vs Right .276 140 26 8 35 6 1 7
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-32%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-55%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-100%
ERA on Road
2017
 
 
-54%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 4.55 1.29 65.1 3 2 0 9.1 3.9 1.4
Since 2017Away 6.71 1.59 51.0 2 5 0 9.0 4.8 1.8
2019Home 3.12 1.04 26.0 2 0 0 11.8 3.1 1.0
2019Away 6.88 1.35 17.0 0 1 0 12.2 5.3 2.6
2018Home 10.64 2.36 11.0 0 0 0 9.8 9.0 2.5
2018Away 0.00 0.43 4.2 0 0 0 7.7 3.9 0.0
2017Home 3.49 1.09 28.1 1 2 0 6.4 2.5 1.3
2017Away 7.67 1.91 29.1 2 4 0 7.4 4.6 1.5
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Lucas Sims compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against this season's data (min 20 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.00
 
K/9
11.9
 
BB/9
4.0
 
HR/9
1.7
 
Fastball
93.6 mph
 
ERA
4.60
 
WHIP
1.16
 
BABIP
.264
 
GB/FB
0.47
 
Left On Base
72.2%
 
Exit Velocity
88.6 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
6.1%
 
Spin Rate
2779 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
31.6%
 
Swinging Strike
15.5%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Lucas Sims
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Grody to the Max
142 days ago
Todd Zola's weekly pitcher rankings features the best two-win pitcher in baseball on top in Max Scherzer.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
September 2, 2018
Jan Levine takes a look at Arodys Vizcaino, who's set for a rehab assignment, and what his role might be for the Braves upon his return. Who else can help fantasy players following September roster expansion?
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
August 26, 2018
Jan Levine analyzes the top free agents in the National League, including Wilmer Difo, who will take over at second base for the departed Daniel Murphy.
Farm Futures: September Call-up Candidates
August 16, 2018
James Anderson previews the players most likely to get added to September rosters, including a return engagement for Rockies second baseman Garrett Hampson.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
August 5, 2018
Jan Levine gives his prices for the stacked crew of new National League players, including Brian Dozier, who's off to a smashing start with the Dodgers.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
After opening the 2017 season toiling for Triple-A Gwinnett, recording a 3.75 ERA and 1.14 WHIP with 132 strikeouts and 36 walks in 115.1 innings, Sims made his major-league debut for the Braves on August 1, appearing in 14 games (10 starts). Results were mixed as the right-hander's strikeout rate was a pedestrian 17 percent with a high nine percent walk rate. As a flyball pitcher, Sims needs to limit free passes to minimize damage done by the inevitable homers he allows. Not overpowering with a fastball velocity in the 91-93 mph range, Sims uses five pitches, all more than 10 percent of the time, including a sinker, slider, curveball and changeup. This repertoire plays as a starter if he can hone control so batters don't know what to expect. While Sims is still just 23 years old, he's one of several young arms the Braves are hoping to emerge as rotation staples. A solid spring could earn Sims a rotation spot, with a bullpen role as the fallback.
While Sims has featured a plus fastball and plus curveball for several years now, his inability to find the strike zone over the past couple seasons flipped his realistic outlook from mid-rotation starter to high-leverage reliever. He completely changed that narrative in a return trip to Triple-A in 2017, posting a 7.7 percent walk rate -- his lowest mark over a significant stretch as a professional. That drastic improvement has earned him a look in the big-league rotation, but he will only have a limited amount of time to show those command/control gains are legitimate, as the Braves have a host of more highly acclaimed pitching prospects who will be ready at some point in 2018, with more on the way in 2019. If Sims can prove to be pitch efficient and keep the walks in a manageable range, he has the stuff to post average or better strikeout rates as a starter. If he gets squeezed out, he will be on the short list of potential Braves closers in 2019 and beyond.
A freak hip injury, suffered in a team bus crash while with High-A Carolina, cost Sims nearly seven weeks of the season. Once cleared to return, Sims joined Double-A Mississippi rather than return to Carolina, and while the results were generally strong in nine starts for Mississippi, control issues continued to plague him. The 21-year-old showed improvement in that regard during the Arizona Fall League, issuing just three passes while fanning 17 in 17 innings, earning the start for the West in the Fall Stars game. Sims flashes two potential plus pitches (fastball and curveball) and mixes in a changeup, but the control will have to stabilize before he's given a chance in the major league rotation, and there are questions as to whether he can stick in the rotation long-term. He will attend camp as a non-roster invitee but figures to open the year back at Double-A with a chance to contribute later in the year.
The move up to High-A Lynchburg in 2014 came with a steep learning curve -- he posted a 5.00 ERA and a dismal 38:25 K:BB in 72 first-half innings -- but Sims showed the type of promise late in the year that made him the 21st overall pick in the 2012 first-year player draft. Sims was able to miss bats at a much higher clip in the second half (69 strikeouts in 84.2 innings) while seeing only a slight uptick in walks (from 3.1 BB/9 to 3.4), resulting in a 3.51 ERA after the All-Star break and 2.88 ERA in August. The right-hander's curveball and changeup are still developing behind his 93-95 mph fastball, but Sims has the potential to feature three plus offerings at the major league level, giving him claim to being the Braves' top pitching prospect in many minds. New president of baseball operations John Hart seems to be looking several years ahead, so the team will likely take its time with Sims, meaning a jump to Double-A Mississippi early in 2015 is not necessarily a given.
Considered the top pitching prospect in the Braves organization, Sims was dominant in his first season at Low-A Rome (2.62 ERA, 10.3 K/9, 3.5 BB/9). When the 2014 season opens, Sims will still be just 19 years old, and while those in dynasty leagues will likely want to pick him up, those in re-draft leagues can leave him be, as it's hard to imagine he'd get a run with the big club in 2014, given the team's pitching depth. It's believed that Sims could be future option in the front of the Atlanta rotation, however, so patience in dynasty formats could pay significant dividends.
The Braves' 2012 first-round draft pick won't be contributing to non-keeper fantasy teams anytime soon. Even in keeper leagues, it is probably worthwhile to wait a couple years to see how he develops. Sims is still a teenager, after all, and has only played rookie ball in his brief career. Sims features a fastball that sits in the low-to-mid-90s and a good changeup. He was also lauded for his control in his high school career. High school draftees always sound great and by all means they are immensely talented, but many flame out in the lower rungs of the minors when they face more advanced competition. He'll likely see time at Low-A Rome for his first full professional season in 2013.
More Fantasy News
Shifts back to relief
PCincinnati Reds
September 7, 2019
Sims covered 1.1 innings in relief Friday in the Reds' 7-5 loss to the Diamondbacks, giving up one run on two hits and a walk while striking out three.
ANALYSIS
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Covers 2.2 frames in spot start
PCincinnati Reds
September 3, 2019
Sims allowed one run on three hits and zero walks over 2.2 innings during Tuesday's 6-2 loss to the Reds. He struck out two and didn't factor in the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Set for spot start
PCincinnati Reds
September 2, 2019
Sims will start Tuesday against the Phillies, C. Trent Rosecrans of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Piling up strikeouts in bullpen
PCincinnati Reds
August 5, 2019
Sims has made four appearances out of the bullpen since his July 24 spot start in Milwaukee, working 6.1 innings and giving up three runs on five hits and two walks while striking out 12.
ANALYSIS
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Downed by Brewers
PCincinnati Reds
July 24, 2019
Sims (1-1) took the loss Wednesday as the Reds fell 5-4 to the Brewers, giving up five runs on three hits and two walks over 4.2 innings while striking out five.
ANALYSIS
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