Zach Eflin
Zach Eflin
25-Year-Old PitcherSP
Philadelphia Phillies
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Eflin entered 2018 offering little reason for optimism, having recorded ERAs of 5.54 and 6.16 (with similarly ugly FIPs) in two 11-start cameos in the majors. He had shown good control, walking just 5.3% of batters, but hadn’t shown any ability to put hitters away, recording just a 12.0% strikeout rate. In 2018, however, he was a new man. Thanks in part to a fastball which jumped from 92.7 mph to 94.3 mph, he suddenly had the ability to strike batters out, managing a league-average 22.5% strikeout rate in 24 starts. Combined with a walk rate that took just a small step back (to 6.8%), he finished with a solid enough 4.36 ERA and a 3.80 FIP, suggesting room for even more improvement. His spot in the rotation going forward isn’t guaranteed, as Jerad Eickhoff should be healthy this season and the Phillies could bring in more competition in the offseason, but Eflin should remain a competent (if unexciting) option if given the chance. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year contract with the Phillies in March of 2018.
Falls to 2-2
PPhiladelphia Phillies
April 18, 2019
Eflin (2-2) took the loss against the Rockies on Thursday, giving up three runs (two earned) on seven hits over six innings, striking out two and walking three as the Phillies fell 6-2.
Eflin wasn't particularly sharp in recording two strikeouts against three free passes, but he still managed a quality start in a losing effort. It was a welcome rebound performance after he was blown up for six earned on 10 hits by the Marlins in his last start after two lights-out outings to start the year. The 25-year-old now has a 3.68 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP through 22 innings on the season.
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .294 457 87 33 122 23 2 23
Since 2017vs Right .263 464 91 20 113 27 0 14
2019vs Left .295 47 9 3 13 0 0 3
2019vs Right .289 46 11 1 13 2 0 2
2018vs Left .286 249 57 21 64 16 2 9
2018vs Right .240 299 66 16 66 18 0 7
2017vs Left .306 161 21 9 45 7 0 11
2017vs Right .312 119 14 3 34 7 0 5
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
ERA at Home
ERA at Home
ERA at Home
ERA on Road
Since 2017Home 4.22 1.24 106.2 9 6 0 8.1 2.0 1.8
Since 2017Away 5.43 1.45 107.2 5 9 0 6.9 2.4 1.3
2019Home 1.29 0.86 7.0 1 0 0 6.4 0.0 1.3
2019Away 4.80 1.60 15.0 1 2 0 9.0 2.4 2.4
2018Home 3.33 1.19 70.1 8 3 0 9.1 2.6 1.2
2018Away 5.62 1.44 57.2 3 5 0 8.1 2.7 1.1
2017Home 7.06 1.43 29.1 0 3 0 6.1 1.2 3.4
2017Away 5.40 1.40 35.0 1 2 0 3.9 2.1 1.3
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Stat Review
How does Zach Eflin compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
93.4 mph
Strand %
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Zach Eflin
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3 days ago
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8 days ago
Todd Zola's weekly pitcher rankings feature a number of solid two-start options, including Washington's Stephen Strasburg, who faces two the league's weakest lineups.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
Eflin continued to struggle in his second year in the majors. He followed up his 5.54 ERA in 2016 with a 6.16 ERA last season, and the high number was well-deserved. He posted a K/9 of just 4.9, well below the major-league average. He did manage a solid walk rate (1.7 BB/9) and an average groundball rate (44.1 percent), but it's hard to succeed as a starter in the big leagues without missing bats. Eflin battled injuries in each of the past two seasons, but he's still just 23 years old, so it's too early to write him off completely. The Phillies remain short on quality starting pitching, so Eflin will likely be given another chance to earn a rotation spot in 2018, but will have to show considerable improvement to stick around with the big-league club.
Eflin entered last season with minimal expectations after his strikeout rate dropped to 4.7 K/9 at Double-A Reading in 2015. He got off to a great start at Triple-A Lehigh Valley, thanks in part to a spike in his strikeout rate which Eflin attributed to better command of his fastball along with learning to set hitters up. That improvement earned him a shot with the Phillies in June. Eflin was terrible in his first start, but settled in after that, going 2-3 with a 2.08 ERA over his next seven starts before things went south in his final three appearances. He was placed on the disabled list in early-August with patellar tendinopathy in his knees, a condition he has dealt with since he was a child, along with a fractured foot. It is possible the injuries had some impact on his struggles over his final three starts. Eflin had surgery on both of his knees toward the end of last season and is expected to be ready for spring training. He will need another spike in his strikeout rate to inspire confidence as he managed just a 4.4 K/9 in the majors last season. It may require him to develop another one of his pitches to go with his slider, as both his two-seam and four-seam fastballs were quite hittable last season.
Eflin completed the second full season of his professional career as a 20-year-old at High-A Lake Elsinore, where he fared well against much older competition. His greatest skills growth came in his ability to get opposing hitters to pound the ball into the ground more consistently, as he posted a 1.67 GO/AO mark after showing flyball tendencies (0.76 GO/AO) in the Midwest League in 2013. At 6-foot-4, there is still projection remaining for Eflin, who typically works with a low-90s two-seam fastball, but has the ability to reach back and dial up his four-seamer to 97 mph. He also throws a good slider and an improving changeup, rounding out an arsenal that may eventually enable him to miss more bats. At the low end, he should develop into a steady innings eater, but he's very advanced for his age and could develop into a No. 3 starter. Traded to the Dodgers in December before being included in the package that sent Jimmy Rollins to Los Angeles, Eflin will begin his first season in the Phillies' organization pitching in the rotation at Double-A.
After an atrocious April in which he faltered his way to a 6.06 ERA in four starts, Eflin settled in nicely, posting a 7-4 record, 2.20 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, and 74:23 K:BB ratio in 102.1 innings covering 18 starts. Don't be surprised if he takes the next step in his age-20 season by starting 2014 at High-A Lake Elsinore. A supplemental first-round pick in 2012, Eflin could make a quick ascent up the Padres' organizational prospect rankings if he fares well in the California League.
More Fantasy News
Ugly loss Saturday
PPhiladelphia Phillies
April 13, 2019
Eflin (2-1) took the loss against the Marlins on Saturday by allowing six runs on 10 hits across four innings. He had four strikeouts and did not issue a walk.
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Tosses gem
PPhiladelphia Phillies
April 7, 2019
Eflin (2-0) picked up the win after surrendering a run on six hits while striking out five over seven innings Sunday against Minnesota.
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Picks up win in season debut
PPhiladelphia Phillies
April 2, 2019
Eflin (1-0) earned the win Tuesday against the Nationals by allowing only three hits and one walk across five scoreless innings. He recorded nine strikeouts.
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Strong start to spring
PPhiladelphia Phillies
March 9, 2019
Eflin struck out three over 2.2 scoreless frames in Friday's 5-4 loss to the Braves in Grapefruit League play. He issued two walks and gave up a hit in the outing.
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Dealing with strained oblique
PPhiladelphia Phillies
September 26, 2018
Manager Gabe Kapler said Wednesday that Eflin has a strained left oblique and will not start against the Braves this weekend, Matt Gelb of The Athletic reports.
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