Jesse Winker
Jesse Winker
27-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Cincinnati Reds
2021 Fantasy Outlook
There is one signifcant difference between Winker's previous productive numbers and his 2020 season - he started producing against left-handers this time, too. As true with any other 2020 line, small sample caveats apply, but Winker hit .290/.421/.548 against southpaws in 38 plate appearances. The Reds were forced to give him the chance, following Nick Senzel's multiple absences and the breakdown of other right-handed bats in the lineup. If the overall line from Winker encourages the Reds to play him more frequently against lefties, it gives him a chance to provide useful fantasy counting stats and not just good rate stats. Before drafting Winker, make sure you are aware of your league's position requirements - he played 16 games in the outfield and 37 at DH. That's good enough for OF-eligibility in the NFBC, but in other traditional formats that require 20 games per position, he will be a UT-only player. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#203
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $3.15 million contract with the Reds in January of 2021.
Homers in win
OFCincinnati Reds
July 27, 2021
Winker went 1-for-5 with a solo home run in Tuesday's 7-4 win over the Cubs.
ANALYSIS
Winker continued his breakout season Tuesday with a solo home run off Adbert Alzolay in the first inning. The first-time All-Star is hitting a ridiculous .476 in his last five games with two home runs and five RBI.
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Batting Stats
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2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
24
52
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
3
13
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+59%
OPS vs RHP
2021
 
 
+90%
OPS vs RHP
2020
 
 
+5%
OPS vs LHP
2019
 
 
+100%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019vs Left .602 193 20 4 15 0 .194 .311 .291
Since 2019vs Right .958 798 125 45 105 2 .303 .388 .569
2021vs Left .549 105 11 2 9 0 .176 .286 .264
2021vs Right 1.043 323 57 19 50 1 .345 .412 .631
2020vs Left .969 38 5 2 4 0 .290 .421 .548
2020vs Right .927 141 21 10 19 1 .246 .383 .544
2019vs Left .443 50 4 0 2 0 .163 .280 .163
2019vs Right .887 334 47 16 36 0 .285 .368 .519
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+9%
OPS at Home
2021
Even Split
2020
Even Split
2019
 
 
+29%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019Home .924 487 76 28 65 2 .288 .376 .548
Since 2019Away .848 494 67 20 54 0 .278 .366 .481
2021Home .924 206 34 11 28 1 .281 .379 .545
2021Away .925 222 34 10 31 0 .325 .383 .542
2020Home .911 82 14 7 12 1 .250 .341 .569
2020Away .914 87 10 4 10 0 .265 .414 .500
2019Home .929 199 28 10 25 0 .311 .387 .542
2019Away .722 185 23 6 13 0 .224 .324 .398
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Stat Review
How does Jesse Winker compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.59
 
BB Rate
9.6%
 
K Rate
16.4%
 
BABIP
.328
 
ISO
.239
 
AVG
.304
 
OBP
.381
 
SLG
.543
 
OPS
.924
 
wOBA
.401
 
Exit Velocity
84.1 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
36.2%
 
Barrels/PA
9.1%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Jesse Winker
DraftKings MLB: Tuesday Breakdown
4 days ago
Mike Barner is locked in on a White Sox stack Tuesday against the Royals.
FanDuel MLB: Tuesday Targets
4 days ago
Chris Bennett checks out Tuesday's slate and suggests deploying Jesse Winker as part of a Reds stack against the Cubs.
DraftKings MLB: Sunday Breakdown
6 days ago
Dan Marcus likes Robbie Grossman as a nice value play against Daniel Lynch and the Royals.
FanDuel MLB: Sunday Targets
6 days ago
With Bailey Ober set to start for the Twins, Chris Morgan is recommending a few Angels hitters.
DraftKings MLB: Tuesday Breakdown
11 days ago
Kris Bryant previews Tuesday’s DraftKings slate, turning to a Cubs stack against St. Louis.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
Winker answered some nagging worries in 2019 but raised others with his campaign. A multi-year shoulder injury sapped his power in the minors and in his first real major-league stint in 2018. After getting it fixed in the offseason, he offered more power in 2019, hitting 16 homers in 338 at-bats before a cervical strain ended his season in August. But that extra power can be somewhat attributed to the lively ball, as many of his homers were to the opposite field and his GB% actually increased to 49.3%. It also came at the cost of his average (.269) and declining BB% (9.9%, compared to 14.7% in 2018). Winker almost never faces lefties and did little with those plate appearances, with no extra-base hits in 50 plate appearances. The nearly-strict platoon limits his upside in standard mixed leagues, as does his lack of stolen bases.
Winker was a bright spot for the Reds in 2018 before a shoulder injury and subsequent surgery curtailed his season in July. It took awhile for him to get regular playing time, and he wasn't great early on, but really hit his stride (along with a number of opposing pitchers' offerings) in the last two months, before he got hurt. He walked more than he struck out in his age-24 season. It is unclear how much of an outlier his .231 ISO in 2017 will end up being, but Winker has long played through shoulder woes, so his underwhelming power figures in the upper levels of the minors do not tell the whole story. While the Reds acquired Yasiel Puig and Matt Kemp in an offseason trade, Winker seems like the least likely incumbent outfielder to lose out on significant playing time, given his age and pedigree. Between his on-base skills and likely position in the order, Winker should be a good source of cheap counting stats from a third or fourth outfielder slot.
It was easy to project a power breakout for Winker. He played through a wrist injury in 2016, was repeating Triple-A and his size and approach suggested he could unlock more thump. Then he hit just two home runs in 85 games in the International League. Just when the last passenger jumped off the "Winker could hit for power" bandwagon, he blasted seven bombs after an August 1 callup. In his last 105 MLB at-bats, he hit as many home runs as he did in his previous 708 professional at-bats. Power is impossible to figure out these days. It's easy, however, to see that Winker has a ridiculously advanced approach and hit tool for a player his age, at least against righties. He has not shown an ability to do damage against lefties in the upper levels, and the Reds have two readymade platoon options in Adam Duvall and Phillip Ervin. Winker may wrangle an everyday job at some point, but barring a trade, he could be sharing right field duty to start the year.
Although Winker's prospect luster has faded a bit, his advanced approach gives him a relatively high floor, and he's now knocking at the door for the rebuilding Reds. Scott Schebler represents the only real obstacle to playing time in right field. Winker was promoted to Triple-A Louisville in 2016 and finished seventh in the International League with a .397 OBP, walking as many times as he struck out in 448 plate appearances. Now the bad news. Winker totaled just three homers with Louisville as a wrist injury hindered his power stroke, and he hit .260 with a .346 SLG against left-handed pitching. While he was never much of a runner, Winker didn't even attempt a stolen base all year. The International League is tough on power and Winker should see the power tick up some with improved health and especially when he gets to Great American Ball Park, but it will need to tick up considerably for him to maintain 2017 relevance outside of NL-only leagues.
In a way, Winker is a bit of a poor man's Joey Votto - his strongest offensive skill is his ability to get on-base, as he's never had a walk rate below 13 percent in his professional career. Going along with that, there's a concern that Winker isn't hitting for enough power yet, slugging just .433 last year at Double-A Pensacola. He really struggled over the first half of the season, but a strong finish (he hit .344/.457/.560 from August 1 to the end of the season) salvaged his overall numbers. The Reds will probably wait until June or July to call him up due to service time considerations, but Winker will be in Cincinnati at some point in 2016, barring injury.
The Reds' 2012 draft is looking better each year. Not only did first-round pick Nick Travieso take a big step in 2014, so did Winker before a wrist injury at Double-A derailed his season. But he rallied in the Arizona Fall League to win the batting title there, hitting .338/.440/.559. The big question for the Reds is how soon they believe Winker will be ready for the big leagues. They had a pretty big hole in left field last season, and had a really hard time getting good on-base guys. Winker managed only 21 games at Double-A Pensacola last year before getting hurt, so chances are he could begin 2015 at that level but then get promoted aggressively if he starts off well.
The Reds' farm system lacks high-impact offensive players, but Winker demonstrated quite a bit of promise at Low-A Dayton in 2013, showing both power (his 16 homers were in the league's top-10 despite Dayton being a tough park to hit in) and patience (13% walk rate, 82% contact rate). Don't be surprised if the 2012 first-round supplemental pick out of high school in Florida takes a big leap in High-A in 2014.
More Fantasy News
Falls triple shy of cycle
OFCincinnati Reds
July 24, 2021
Winker went 3-for-4 with a home run, a double and four RBI in Saturday's 5-3 victory over the Cardinals.
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Three hits in extra-innings loss
OFCincinnati Reds
July 20, 2021
Winker went 3-for-6 with two doubles, two runs scored and two RBI in Monday's 15-11 extra-innings loss to the Mets.
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Gets breather Tuesday
OFCincinnati Reds
July 6, 2021
Winker is not in the starting lineup for Tuesday's game against Kansas City, C. Trent Rosecrans of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Slugs 19th homer
OFCincinnati Reds
June 29, 2021
Winker went 1-for-3 with a two-run home run and a walk Tuesday against the Padres.
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Starting as expected
OFCincinnati Reds
June 28, 2021
Winker (hip) will bat second and play left field Monday against the Phillies.
ANALYSIS
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