Jesse Winker
Jesse Winker
26-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Cincinnati Reds
2020 Fantasy Outlook
Winker answered some nagging worries in 2019 but raised others with his campaign. A multi-year shoulder injury sapped his power in the minors and in his first real major-league stint in 2018. After getting it fixed in the offseason, he offered more power in 2019, hitting 16 homers in 338 at-bats before a cervical strain ended his season in August. But that extra power can be somewhat attributed to the lively ball, as many of his homers were to the opposite field and his GB% actually increased to 49.3%. It also came at the cost of his average (.269) and declining BB% (9.9%, compared to 14.7% in 2018). Winker almost never faces lefties and did little with those plate appearances, with no extra-base hits in 50 plate appearances. The nearly-strict platoon limits his upside in standard mixed leagues, as does his lack of stolen bases. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a one-year, $545,000 contract with the Reds in March of 2018.
Returns from illness
OFCincinnati Reds
March 6, 2020
Winker (illness) is batting second as the designated hitter in Friday's Cactus League game against the A's.
ANALYSIS
The 26-year-old was expected to serve as the designated hitter for Wednesday's contest before being scratched with the ailment, but he'll slot back into that role for Friday's matchup. Winker had an .830 OPS in 113 games last season and is competing for time in Cincinnati's crowded outfield following the offseason acquisitions of Nick Castellanos, Shogo Akiyama and Travis Jankowski (hamstring).
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Batting Stats
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2019
2018
2017
2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
42
4
15
10
8
1
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
4
3
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+67%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+100%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+27%
OPS vs RHP
2017
 
 
+194%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .543 147 17 2 10 0 .176 .295 .248
Since 2017vs Right .907 708 93 28 86 1 .307 .396 .511
2019vs Left .443 50 4 0 2 0 .163 .280 .163
2019vs Right .887 334 47 16 36 0 .285 .368 .519
2018vs Left .690 71 8 2 8 0 .211 .357 .333
2018vs Right .874 263 30 5 35 0 .321 .418 .455
2017vs Left .354 26 5 0 0 0 .120 .154 .200
2017vs Right 1.042 111 16 7 15 1 .344 .427 .615
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+17%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+29%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+28%
OPS at Home
2017
 
 
+33%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .909 430 63 18 55 0 .309 .399 .511
Since 2017Away .780 425 47 12 41 1 .261 .358 .421
2019Home .929 199 28 10 25 0 .311 .387 .542
2019Away .722 185 23 6 13 0 .224 .324 .398
2018Home .940 163 24 6 25 0 .328 .429 .511
2018Away .737 171 14 1 18 0 .271 .382 .354
2017Home .772 68 11 2 5 0 .259 .358 .414
2017Away 1.026 69 10 5 10 1 .333 .391 .635
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Stat Review
How does Jesse Winker compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.63
 
BB Rate
9.9%
 
K Rate
15.6%
 
BABIP
.286
 
ISO
.204
 
AVG
.269
 
OBP
.357
 
SLG
.473
 
OPS
.830
 
wOBA
.364
 
Exit Velocity
88.9 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
41.0%
 
Barrels/PA
3.2%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Jesse Winker
Spring Training Job Battles: Early March Update
30 days ago
Erik Halterman analyzes the latest spring training job battles, including the Diamondbacks bullpen where Archie Bradley has yet to be named the closer.
The Z Files: The Relationship Between HR and Flyball Average Exit Velocity
67 days ago
Todd Zola takes a deep dive into average exit velocity on flyballs and discovers that Gio Urshela's power display last year may not have been fueled by luck after all.
The Z Files: Is Average Exit Velocity on Groundballs Useful?
74 days ago
Todd Zola dives into the weeds on how the average exit velocity on groundballs impacts BABIP while also looking at other factors, such as the elite sprint speed of players like Trea Turner.
Games Played By Position: 2020 Eligibility Notes
173 days ago
Clay Link looks at appearances by position and makes note of multi-position eligibility and lost eligibility for 2020.
DraftKings MLB: Monday Picks
231 days ago
Christopher Olson suggests rolling with a Reds stack Monday against San Diego.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
Winker was a bright spot for the Reds in 2018 before a shoulder injury and subsequent surgery curtailed his season in July. It took awhile for him to get regular playing time, and he wasn't great early on, but really hit his stride (along with a number of opposing pitchers' offerings) in the last two months, before he got hurt. He walked more than he struck out in his age-24 season. It is unclear how much of an outlier his .231 ISO in 2017 will end up being, but Winker has long played through shoulder woes, so his underwhelming power figures in the upper levels of the minors do not tell the whole story. While the Reds acquired Yasiel Puig and Matt Kemp in an offseason trade, Winker seems like the least likely incumbent outfielder to lose out on significant playing time, given his age and pedigree. Between his on-base skills and likely position in the order, Winker should be a good source of cheap counting stats from a third or fourth outfielder slot.
It was easy to project a power breakout for Winker. He played through a wrist injury in 2016, was repeating Triple-A and his size and approach suggested he could unlock more thump. Then he hit just two home runs in 85 games in the International League. Just when the last passenger jumped off the "Winker could hit for power" bandwagon, he blasted seven bombs after an August 1 callup. In his last 105 MLB at-bats, he hit as many home runs as he did in his previous 708 professional at-bats. Power is impossible to figure out these days. It's easy, however, to see that Winker has a ridiculously advanced approach and hit tool for a player his age, at least against righties. He has not shown an ability to do damage against lefties in the upper levels, and the Reds have two readymade platoon options in Adam Duvall and Phillip Ervin. Winker may wrangle an everyday job at some point, but barring a trade, he could be sharing right field duty to start the year.
Although Winker's prospect luster has faded a bit, his advanced approach gives him a relatively high floor, and he's now knocking at the door for the rebuilding Reds. Scott Schebler represents the only real obstacle to playing time in right field. Winker was promoted to Triple-A Louisville in 2016 and finished seventh in the International League with a .397 OBP, walking as many times as he struck out in 448 plate appearances. Now the bad news. Winker totaled just three homers with Louisville as a wrist injury hindered his power stroke, and he hit .260 with a .346 SLG against left-handed pitching. While he was never much of a runner, Winker didn't even attempt a stolen base all year. The International League is tough on power and Winker should see the power tick up some with improved health and especially when he gets to Great American Ball Park, but it will need to tick up considerably for him to maintain 2017 relevance outside of NL-only leagues.
In a way, Winker is a bit of a poor man's Joey Votto - his strongest offensive skill is his ability to get on-base, as he's never had a walk rate below 13 percent in his professional career. Going along with that, there's a concern that Winker isn't hitting for enough power yet, slugging just .433 last year at Double-A Pensacola. He really struggled over the first half of the season, but a strong finish (he hit .344/.457/.560 from August 1 to the end of the season) salvaged his overall numbers. The Reds will probably wait until June or July to call him up due to service time considerations, but Winker will be in Cincinnati at some point in 2016, barring injury.
The Reds' 2012 draft is looking better each year. Not only did first-round pick Nick Travieso take a big step in 2014, so did Winker before a wrist injury at Double-A derailed his season. But he rallied in the Arizona Fall League to win the batting title there, hitting .338/.440/.559. The big question for the Reds is how soon they believe Winker will be ready for the big leagues. They had a pretty big hole in left field last season, and had a really hard time getting good on-base guys. Winker managed only 21 games at Double-A Pensacola last year before getting hurt, so chances are he could begin 2015 at that level but then get promoted aggressively if he starts off well.
The Reds' farm system lacks high-impact offensive players, but Winker demonstrated quite a bit of promise at Low-A Dayton in 2013, showing both power (his 16 homers were in the league's top-10 despite Dayton being a tough park to hit in) and patience (13% walk rate, 82% contact rate). Don't be surprised if the 2012 first-round supplemental pick out of high school in Florida takes a big leap in High-A in 2014.
More Fantasy News
Out Wednesday with illness
OFCincinnati Reds
Illness
March 4, 2020
Winker won't play Wednesday in the Reds' 'B' game against the White Sox due to an illness, Bobby Nightengale of The Cincinnati Enquirer reports.
ANALYSIS
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Back in action
OFCincinnati Reds
February 28, 2020
Winker (wrist) is in the lineup for Friday's spring game against the A's, according to MLB.com.
ANALYSIS
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Avoids major injury
OFCincinnati Reds
Wrist
February 24, 2020
Winker said Monday that his wrist felt fine and that his X-rays came back negative, Bobby Nightengale of The Cincinnati Enquirer reports.
ANALYSIS
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Exits after HBP
OFCincinnati Reds
Wrist
February 23, 2020
Winker exited Sunday's Cactus League game against the White Sox after being hit by a pitch on the left wrist during the first inning, C. Trent Rosecrans of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Starting spring opener
OFCincinnati Reds
February 22, 2020
Winker (neck) is in the starting lineup for Sunday's spring opener against the White Sox, C. Trent Rosecrans of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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