Rafael Montero
Rafael Montero
27-Year-Old PitcherSP
New York Mets
60-Day DL
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 4/15/2019
2018 Fantasy Outlook
Hype has surrounded Montero since he first arrived in Queens as a 23-year-old in 2014, but it has yet to all come together for the righty from the Dominican Republic. Montero was used as both a starter and a reliever in 2017, but failed to find his footing in either role. In 18 starts, he compiled a 5.08 ERA over 95.2 innings and was roughed up for a 7.33 ERA over 23.1 innings out of the bullpen. He failed to reach even a 2.0 K/BB in either role and just doesn't seem to have the control necessary to succeed in the majors at this point. The Mets have seemed unwilling to make major moves to bolster their pitching staff, and Montero is just 27 in 2018, so he may still have one more chance to prove he belongs in the majors. The 189 strikeouts in 192.1 innings are alluring, but a lot of that luster goes away once you catch a whiff of the 1.71 WHIP that comes with them. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#478
ADP
Add To Watchlist
Moved to 60-day DL
PNew York Mets
Elbow
March 27, 2018
The Mets placed Montero (elbow) on the 60-day disabled list Monday.
ANALYSIS
Montero is scheduled to undergo season-ending Tommy John surgery Tuesday, so the Mets elected to shift him to the 60-day DL in order to clear an extra spot on the 40-man roster. The Mets will likely use the opening on non-roster invitee Phillip Evans, who was informed over the weekend that he earned a spot with the big club as a utility man off the bench.
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Pitching Stats
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Minor League Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-7%
BAA vs RHP
2018
No Stats
2017
 
 
-4%
BAA vs LHP
2016
 
 
-52%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .316 311 55 38 84 16 2 5
Since 2016vs Right .294 332 79 45 80 12 0 11
2018vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017vs Left .300 271 49 31 70 14 0 5
2017vs Right .311 279 65 36 71 11 0 7
2016vs Left .424 40 6 7 14 2 2 0
2016vs Right .205 53 14 9 9 1 0 4
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-17%
ERA at Home
2018
No Stats
2017
 
 
-2%
ERA at Home
2016
 
 
-60%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2016Home 5.38 1.75 78.2 3 8 0 8.0 5.3 0.6
Since 2016Away 6.52 1.84 59.1 2 4 0 9.7 5.6 1.7
2018Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017Home 5.48 1.77 69.0 3 8 0 7.7 5.1 0.5
2017Away 5.58 1.72 50.0 2 3 0 9.9 5.0 1.4
2016Home 4.66 1.66 9.2 0 0 0 10.2 6.5 0.9
2016Away 11.57 2.46 9.1 0 1 0 8.7 8.7 2.9
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Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2015
2014
Having worked him mostly as a starter throughout the minors, the Mets planned to use Montero in that capacity in the majors should they need any reinforcements in their rotation. Though he struggled badly enough that he was demoted from Triple-A Las Vegas to Double-A Binghamton midseason, Montero got his chance this season in the form of three spot starts with the parent club. Though his first two starts were decent, he didn't perform well overall, yielding 14 walks and three home runs over 11 innings as a starter. That was actually better than his performance out of the bullpen, though, as the once highly regarded prospect allowed a .371 batting average against en route to a 9.00 ERA in six relief appearances. Unless injuries hinder it again, it's not clear if Montero will get a look in the rotation this season. His stock has fallen far enough that it would be difficult to count on him even if he is tabbed for spot duty.
Montero’s blazing quick ascent through the minors suggested a level of polish that could’ve yielded the season that unheralded teammate Jacob deGrom ended up having as the NL’s Rookie of the Year. It would have no doubt been a best-case scenario, but the ability to limit walks, stifle home runs, and miss plenty of bats with average or above stuff across the board is what Montero was all about in the minors. He got a couple chances with the Mets, but two of those three skills weren’t present. He walked batters in all 10 of his starts including more than one in eight of them and he allowed homers in each of his first five starts, resulting in a 1.6 HR/9 when it was all said and done. With minor league numbers in line with his past, the MLB struggles suggest more of a learning curve issue as opposed to any sort of skills erosion. The incredible depth of the Mets' pitching could make it tough to find time in 2015 or even make him someone they look to move for some hitting.
Montero continued his rapid rise in the Mets' organization, blowing through Double-A Binghamton to pitch a half-season at Triple-A Las Vegas. Two of Montero's hallmarks are his control and limiting home runs, and each were on full display last year, as he posted a 4.49 K/BB ratio and gave up just six home runs in 155.1 innings. Montero has a low-90s fastball, along with a low-80s slider and changeup, and he can paint the black with each of those three pitches. He likely will open 2014 back with the 51s, but like fellow prospect Noah Syndergaard, he should hit New York by mid-season and profiles to be a future No. 3 starter.
More Fantasy News
Tommy John surgery scheduled
PNew York Mets
Elbow
March 26, 2018
Montero will undergo Tommy John surgery Tuesday, Matt Ehalt of The Bergen Record reports.
ANALYSIS
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Will likely require Tommy John surgery
PNew York Mets
Elbow
March 22, 2018
Montero suffered a complete tear of his UCL and will likely undergo Tommy John surgery in the near future, Mike Puma of The New York Post reports.
ANALYSIS
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Unlikely to make team
PNew York Mets
March 20, 2018
Montero's poor performances this spring have left him unlikely to make the Mets' Opening Day roster, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.
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Out of options
PNew York Mets
March 17, 2018
Montero is out of minor-league options but hasn't pitched well enough this spring to guarantee himself a spot in the Mets' bullpen for Opening Day, Oliver Macklin of MLB.com reports.
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Finishes season with quality start
PNew York Mets
September 26, 2017
Montero gave up three runs on eight hits and two walks with three strikeouts over six innings in a no-decision against the Braves on Tuesday. He also hit a batter.
ANALYSIS
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