Marco Gonzales Fantasy News & Stats

Marco Gonzales

26-Year-Old PitcherSP

Seattle Mariners

2018 Stats

W-L

13-9

ERA

4.00

WHIP

1.22

145

Rest-of-Season Projections

W-L

ERA

WHIP

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2018 Fantasy Outlook

Gonzales returned from Tommy John surgery last season, making 11 appearances (eight starts) with the Mariners after coming over from St. Louis in a July trade. The results were ugly, but the top estimators point to the lefty being at least a run better than his ERA would suggest (5.06 FIP, 4.46 xFIP, 4.48 SIERA). His strikeout rate was modest at 7.2 K/9 and Gonzales had trouble with the long ball (1.80 HR/9), but he posted a strong walk rate for the year (2.5 BB/9) and his numbers at Triple-A were solid. Gonzales was excellent in seven relief innings (24.1 K-BB percentage) and he finished strong overall, posting a 2.81 ERA in September. As things stand, Gonzales appears likely to serve as Seattle's swingman to open 2018. That puts him just an injury away from starts, and of course the top two arms in the Mariners' rotation (James Paxton and Felix Hernandez) have dealt with a slew of injuries in recent years. Read Past Outlooks

RANKSFrom Preseason

#463

ADP

Overall

Starting Pitcher

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League Majors

Bats L

Throws L

40 Man Yes

Height 6'0"

Weight 199

DOB 2/16/1992

Born Fort Collins, CO

College Gonzaga

Drafted 1st Rd 2013 STL

Five effective innings

PSeattle Mariners

September 27, 2018

Gonzales allowed two hits and a walk while striking out six across five scoreless innings Thursday against the Rangers. He did not factor into the decision.

ANALYSIS
Gonzales ended his breakout 2018 campaign on a strong note, finding the strike zone with 50 of his 70 pitches while holding the Rangers without an extra-base hit. The 26-year-old found his footing in his first full season at the major-league level, ending the season with a 4.00 ERA and 1.22 WHIP while striking out 145 batters across 166.2 innings.

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Pitching Stats

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Minor League Game Log

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Left/Right Pitching Splits

Since 2016

-1%

BAA vs LHP

2018

-2%

BAA vs LHP

2017

-7%

BAA vs LHP

2016

No Stats

	BAA	Batters	K	BB	H	2B	3B	HR
Since 2016vs Left	.280	167	29	6	44	3	0	6
Since 2016vs Right	.284	704	148	37	187	42	4	19
2018vs Left	.263	121	18	3	30	3	0	4
2018vs Right	.268	565	127	29	142	36	2	13
2017vs Left	.326	46	11	3	14	0	0	2
2017vs Right	.349	139	21	8	45	6	2	6
2016vs Left	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2016vs Right	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
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Home/Away Pitching Splits

Since 2016

-20%

ERA at Home

2018

-16%

ERA at Home

2017

-28%

ERA at Home

2016

No Stats

	ERA	WHIP	IP	W	L	SV	K/9	BB/9	HR/9
Since 2016Home	3.88	1.23	97.1	5	3	0	8.0	1.6	0.8
Since 2016Away	4.86	1.41	109.1	9	7	0	7.4	2.1	1.3
2018Home	3.63	1.20	79.1	5	3	0	8.7	1.8	0.5
2018Away	4.33	1.25	87.1	8	6	0	7.0	1.6	1.3
2017Home	5.00	1.39	18.0	0	0	0	5.0	0.5	2.5
2017Away	6.95	2.05	22.0	1	1	0	9.0	4.1	1.2
2016Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2016Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
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Stat Review

How does Marco Gonzales compare to other starting pitchers?

This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

K/BB

4.53

K/9

7.8

BB/9

1.7

HR/9

0.9

Fastball

90.1 mph

ERA

4.00

WHIP

1.22

BABIP

.323

GB/FB

1.67

Strand %

69.5%

Advanced Pitching Stats

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Defensive Stats

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Stats Vs Today's Lineup

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2017

2016

2015

2014

After missing 2016 due to Tommy John surgery, Gonzales is unlikely to be back pitching in games until a month or two into the 2017 season. He will almost certainly spend time at Triple-A Memphis once healthy due to the fact that he is yet to impress in the majors and seemed to take a step back in the minors before he went under the knife. Over 14 starts with Memphis in 2015 (when he most recently pitched), Gonzales really struggled to retire the opposition, as batters hit .317 with him on the mound. He was much better at Triple-A in 2014, and it is possible his elbow was already an issue during his struggles in 2015. His stuff profiles better at the back of a big league rotation than in the bullpen, so he should continue to be developed as a starter, but given the Cardinals' rotation depth it is unclear when he will get a legitimate look in that role as long as he remains in this organization.

Gonzales’ proximity to the big leagues is the selling point and his lack of upside is a reason to look elsewhere in dynasty leagues. He will never be more than a No. 3 starter, and of course he’s far from a lock to actualize that ceiling. Assuming Carlos Martinez is over the shoulder issues that plagued him at the end of the year, Gonzales, Tim Cooney and Tyler Lyons are all on the outside looking in on the rotation heading into spring training. Gonzales had his own shoulder issues in the first half of last season, which may have contributed to his shaky run in the Pacific Coast League, but he will nonetheless be relying more on stuff and reputation than tangible success. Meanwhile, Cooney and Lyons can both point to successful, albeit brief runs in the MLB rotation last season, so Gonzales should enter camp as an underdog to serve as the first choice to fill in if someone in the rotation goes down with an injury.

Gonzales was terrific for the Cardinals when called upon in 2014, posting a 4.12 ERA in seven starts and striking out 39 in 43.2 innings. His xFIP of 2.94 shows just how good he was and going into his age-23 season, there's a lot for Cardinals fans and fantasy owners to be excited about. Arguably the organization's top pitching prospect entering 2014, Gonzales has a legitimate shot to crack the Cardinals' rotation in 2015 following the departure of Shelby Miller. He'll have to beat out fellow phenom Carlos Martinez along with oft-injured Jaime Garcia. Gonzales clearly has the talent to do so and if he gets the chance, he could be a great fantasy asset. However, the Cardinals could choose to develop Gonzales the same way they have Martinez, who was relegated to bullpen duties despite arguably being St. Louis' best pitcher last spring.

Gonzales was the Cardinals' first-round pick out of Gonzaga University in the 2013 draft. The lefty is a high-floor pitcher, but he doesn't have a ton of upside and could work his way to the majors late this season. In his first season as a professional, Gonzales posted a 2.70 ERA in 23.1 innings, striking out 23 while walking eight. It's an extremely small sample size, and the Cardinals will have a much better idea of what they have in the 22-year-old after a few months in Double-A, where he should start the 2014 season.

More Fantasy News

Six strong innings

PSeattle Mariners

September 22, 2018

Gonzales (13-9) allowed one hit and one walk while striking out three across six scoreless innings to earn the win Saturday against the Rangers.