Ryan McMahon
Ryan McMahon
23-Year-Old First Baseman1B
Colorado Rockies
2018 Fantasy Outlook
It's clear now that 2016 -- a year where McMahon was a league average hitter (101 wRC+) on a Hartford Yard Goats team that had to play all their games on the road -- was the outlier. He has been at least 37 percent better than league average during every other minor-league stint, and was dominant at Double-A and Triple-A in 2017. One could point to good fortune (.381 BABIP at Double-A, .416 BABIP at Triple-A) as the reason for this dominance. However, he got his strikeout rate under 20 percent for the first time in his career, which points to sustainable success. He has plus power, sneaky speed for a corner infielder, and with the help of Coors Field, he could annually flirt with .300. While McMahon is a third baseman by trade, he started 33 games at first base, 23 games at second base and 13 games at the hot corner while at Triple-A. The Rockies are prepping him for an inevitable position change due to Nolan Arenado's presence. He could serve as the big-league first baseman for the bulk of 2018. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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Smacks walkoff homer
1BColorado Rockies
August 11, 2018
McMahon went 1-for-4 with a walkoff three-run homer in Saturday's win over the Dodgers.
ANALYSIS
The 23-year-old has now homered in consecutive games and is batting .344 with six extra-base hits in 14 games since his most recent recall. He's still not playing every day, but McMahon is worth stashing in a lot of leagues as he has the skill set to be valuable if regular playing time were to open up.
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Batting Stats
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Minor League Game Log
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+46%
OPS vs LHP
2018
 
 
+62%
OPS vs LHP
2017
 
 
+218%
OPS vs RHP
2016
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016vs Left .915 41 5 1 4 0 .294 .415 .500
Since 2016vs Right .628 177 13 4 16 1 .214 .288 .340
2018vs Left 1.011 36 5 1 4 0 .333 .444 .567
2018vs Right .626 158 11 4 15 1 .215 .278 .347
2017vs Left .200 5 0 0 0 0 .000 .200 .000
2017vs Right .635 19 2 0 1 0 .200 .368 .267
2016vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2016vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+83%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+95%
OPS at Home
2017
 
 
+3%
OPS at Home
2016
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016Home .858 121 10 4 15 0 .286 .372 .486
Since 2016Away .469 96 8 1 5 1 .161 .240 .230
2018Home .906 103 9 4 14 0 .308 .379 .527
2018Away .465 90 7 1 5 1 .159 .233 .232
2017Home .548 18 1 0 1 0 .143 .333 .214
2017Away .533 6 1 0 0 0 .200 .333 .200
2016Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2016Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Stat Review
How does Ryan McMahon compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB/K
0.27
 
BB Rate
8.6%
 
K Rate
31.5%
 
BABIP
.324
 
ISO
.147
 
AVG
.232
 
OBP
.305
 
SLG
.379
 
OPS
.683
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
2015
McMahon entered the season as a consensus top-50 prospect, and he proceeded to post career-worst full-season numbers in every relevant offensive category other than walk rate (10.3 percent) and steals (11 on 17 attempts). The decline in production coincides with him moving to a neutral hitting environment after taking advantage of the extremely hitter-friendly parks in Low-A Asheville and High-A Modesto during the two previous seasons. McMahon played half his games at first base last year, which sheds some light on the Rockies' long-term plans, as he is blocked at third base by Nolan Arenado. He was essentially a league average hitter in the Eastern League (101 wRC+) while being over three years younger than league average, which would be more encouraging if he still projected to end up on the left side of the infield. Additionally, his 30.1 percent strikeout rate raises concerns about the viability of his hit tool against upper-level pitching.
Since being drafted 42nd overall in 2013, McMahon has done nothing but tear the cover off the ball. He spent all of 2015 at High-A Modesto and for the third straight year the slugging third baseman hit better than .280, with an OBP over .350, a slugging percentage north of .500 and an ISO of at least .220. It is worth noting that in 2014 he spent the entire season with Low-A Asheville, which along with Modesto is one of the most favorable hitting environments in the minors, so his numbers should not be taken entirely at face value. That said, he will begin his age-21 season at Double-A, coming off back-to-back 18-homer seasons, so McMahon is undeniably advanced with the bat. He might be just two years away from being big league ready, at which point the Rockies may need to consider moving McMahon to first base, where the bat should still be able to play, that is if Nolan Arenado is the long-term option at the hot corner.
McMahon was the toast of the Sally League last April, homering nine times in the month and looking every bit the part of the advanced left-handed hitter with pop the Rockies believed they netted when they drafted him in 2013. His slugging tailed off to more modest levels after that, but McMahon still enjoyed a successful campaign, finishing with a .282/.358/.502 line over his 552 plate appearances. While he still struggles with making contact (25.9 K%) and noticed a fairly significant gulf in both his home/road and lefty/righty splits, McMahon was a year or more younger than most of his compatriots at Low-A and made up for the high strikeout totals by posting a quality 9.8% walk rate. Nolan Arenado looks to be the Rockies’ long-term answer at third base, but McMahon will likely remain at the position again at High-A Modesto this season before perhaps moving to a corner outfield spot if and when his well-rounded offensive skills warrant a promotion to the upper levels of the minors.
More Fantasy News
Doubles twice in victory
1BColorado Rockies
July 29, 2018
McMahon went 2-for-4 with two doubles, a run scored and one RBI in Sunday's 3-2 win over Oakland.
ANALYSIS
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Called up and starting
1BColorado Rockies
July 29, 2018
McMahon has been called up from Triple-A Albuquerque and will start at first base Sunday against the Athletics, Patrick Saunders of The Denver Post reports.
ANALYSIS
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Sent back to minors
1BColorado Rockies
June 21, 2018
McMahon was optioned to Triple-A Albuquerque on Thursday, Thomas Harding of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Hits first major-league homer Thursday
1BColorado Rockies
June 14, 2018
McMahon went 1-for-3 with a solo home run Thursday in the Rockies' loss to the Phillies.
ANALYSIS
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Loses hold of everyday role
1BColorado Rockies
June 3, 2018
McMahon will start at first base and bat eighth Sunday against the Dodgers, Patrick Saunders of The Denver Post reports.
ANALYSIS
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