Ryan McMahon
Ryan McMahon
25-Year-Old Second Baseman2B
Colorado Rockies
2020 Fantasy Outlook
McMahon finally got regular playing time in 2019, but it took him until the second half of the season to make the most of it. A .256/.332/.399 first-half slash line gave way to a .244/.326/.500 slash line after the break, and he hit 17 of his 24 homers after the intermission. Can anyone explain his 41% HR/FB in the second half despite his flyball rate declining from the first half? Us neither. There is still a lot of noise in this stat line, but both his average exit velocity and his hard-hit rate were in the 90th percentile last season. The strikeout rate remains rather high, which should temper expectations for him because Coors Field or not, it is tough for anyone to hit for average while striking out 30% of the time. McMahon missed qualifying at three positions by one game in 2019, if you play in the standard 20-game rule format. If you use 10 or 15, enjoy his 1B/2B/3B eligibility. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#177
ADP
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$Signed a contract with the Rockies in June of 2013 that includes a $1.33 million signing bonus.
On bench against lefty
2BColorado Rockies
September 19, 2020
McMahon is not in the lineup for Saturday's game against the Dodgers.
ANALYSIS
McMahon has sat frequently against southpaws recently, and he'll do so again here against one of the best in the league in Clayton Kershaw. Garrett Hampson will star at second base Saturday.
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Batting Stats
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2020
2019
2018
2017
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
14
10
5
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
4
3
4
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+13%
OPS vs LHP
2020
 
 
+16%
OPS vs LHP
2019
 
 
+1%
OPS vs LHP
2018
 
 
+56%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018vs Left .807 248 32 14 41 1 .252 .316 .491
Since 2018vs Right .713 655 73 22 82 5 .233 .318 .396
2020vs Left .753 47 7 3 9 0 .190 .277 .476
2020vs Right .649 115 11 4 12 0 .216 .296 .353
2019vs Left .785 162 20 10 28 1 .257 .298 .487
2019vs Right .775 377 50 14 55 4 .247 .342 .433
2018vs Left .967 39 5 1 4 0 .313 .436 .531
2018vs Right .618 163 12 4 15 1 .215 .276 .342
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+46%
OPS at Home
2020
 
 
+73%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+27%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+106%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018Home .864 488 65 28 85 3 .273 .344 .519
Since 2018Away .591 415 40 8 38 3 .197 .285 .306
2020Home .818 97 13 6 18 0 .244 .330 .488
2020Away .472 65 5 1 3 0 .155 .231 .241
2019Home .863 284 42 18 53 3 .270 .335 .529
2019Away .680 255 28 6 30 2 .226 .323 .357
2018Home .904 107 10 4 14 0 .309 .383 .521
2018Away .439 95 7 1 5 1 .149 .221 .218
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Ryan McMahon compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.29
 
BB Rate
10.3%
 
K Rate
35.6%
 
BABIP
.294
 
ISO
.176
 
AVG
.209
 
OBP
.299
 
SLG
.386
 
OPS
.684
 
wOBA
.301
 
Exit Velocity
81.5 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
37.9%
 
Barrels/PA
5.6%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
An impressive camp landed McMahon on the Opening Day roster, playing first base against right-handed pitching. After slashing .180/.317/.200 through April 30, McMahon was farmed to Triple-A Albuquerque. He was recalled May 25 to help fill in at second. After a hot start, McMahon fell back to his unproductive ways and was demoted again June 20. He returned in late July, finishing the season in a reserve role. McMahon slashed .256/.333/.419 over the second half, buoyed by a 1.076 OPS at home. Contact was McMahon's primary shortcoming as he fanned at a 31.7% clip. Entering 2018, it appeared McMahon had made strides in that department. Plus, a 29.9% flyball rate hindered power. Still just 24 years old, McMahon has time to get back on track and tap into the home-run potential he showed in the minors. There's playing time to be had on the right side of the infield, at least versus RHP.
It's clear now that 2016 -- a year where McMahon was a league average hitter (101 wRC+) on a Hartford Yard Goats team that had to play all their games on the road -- was the outlier. He has been at least 37 percent better than league average during every other minor-league stint, and was dominant at Double-A and Triple-A in 2017. One could point to good fortune (.381 BABIP at Double-A, .416 BABIP at Triple-A) as the reason for this dominance. However, he got his strikeout rate under 20 percent for the first time in his career, which points to sustainable success. He has plus power, sneaky speed for a corner infielder, and with the help of Coors Field, he could annually flirt with .300. While McMahon is a third baseman by trade, he started 33 games at first base, 23 games at second base and 13 games at the hot corner while at Triple-A. The Rockies are prepping him for an inevitable position change due to Nolan Arenado's presence. He could serve as the big-league first baseman for the bulk of 2018.
McMahon entered the season as a consensus top-50 prospect, and he proceeded to post career-worst full-season numbers in every relevant offensive category other than walk rate (10.3 percent) and steals (11 on 17 attempts). The decline in production coincides with him moving to a neutral hitting environment after taking advantage of the extremely hitter-friendly parks in Low-A Asheville and High-A Modesto during the two previous seasons. McMahon played half his games at first base last year, which sheds some light on the Rockies' long-term plans, as he is blocked at third base by Nolan Arenado. He was essentially a league average hitter in the Eastern League (101 wRC+) while being over three years younger than league average, which would be more encouraging if he still projected to end up on the left side of the infield. Additionally, his 30.1 percent strikeout rate raises concerns about the viability of his hit tool against upper-level pitching.
Since being drafted 42nd overall in 2013, McMahon has done nothing but tear the cover off the ball. He spent all of 2015 at High-A Modesto and for the third straight year the slugging third baseman hit better than .280, with an OBP over .350, a slugging percentage north of .500 and an ISO of at least .220. It is worth noting that in 2014 he spent the entire season with Low-A Asheville, which along with Modesto is one of the most favorable hitting environments in the minors, so his numbers should not be taken entirely at face value. That said, he will begin his age-21 season at Double-A, coming off back-to-back 18-homer seasons, so McMahon is undeniably advanced with the bat. He might be just two years away from being big league ready, at which point the Rockies may need to consider moving McMahon to first base, where the bat should still be able to play, that is if Nolan Arenado is the long-term option at the hot corner.
McMahon was the toast of the Sally League last April, homering nine times in the month and looking every bit the part of the advanced left-handed hitter with pop the Rockies believed they netted when they drafted him in 2013. His slugging tailed off to more modest levels after that, but McMahon still enjoyed a successful campaign, finishing with a .282/.358/.502 line over his 552 plate appearances. While he still struggles with making contact (25.9 K%) and noticed a fairly significant gulf in both his home/road and lefty/righty splits, McMahon was a year or more younger than most of his compatriots at Low-A and made up for the high strikeout totals by posting a quality 9.8% walk rate. Nolan Arenado looks to be the Rockies’ long-term answer at third base, but McMahon will likely remain at the position again at High-A Modesto this season before perhaps moving to a corner outfield spot if and when his well-rounded offensive skills warrant a promotion to the upper levels of the minors.
More Fantasy News
Takes seat against lefty
2BColorado Rockies
September 17, 2020
McMahon isn't in Thursday's lineup against the Dodgers.
ANALYSIS
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Sits against southpaw
2BColorado Rockies
September 15, 2020
McMahon is not in the lineup Tuesday against lefty Sean Manaea and the Athletics, Patrick Saunders of The Denver Post reports.
ANALYSIS
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Ties game with solo shot
2BColorado Rockies
September 11, 2020
McMahon went 1-for-4 with a solo home run in Friday's 8-4 win over the Angels.
ANALYSIS
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Retreats to bench Wednesday
2BColorado Rockies
September 9, 2020
McMahon isn't in Wednesday's lineup against the Padres.
ANALYSIS
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Takes seat Sunday
2BColorado Rockies
September 6, 2020
McMahon isn't in Sunday's lineup against the Dodgers.
ANALYSIS
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