Erick Fedde News

Erick Fedde

28-Year-Old PitcherSP

Washington Nationals

2021 Stats

W-L

2-4

ERA

5.29

WHIP

1.36

Rest-of-Season Projections

W-L

ERA

WHIP

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2021 Fantasy Outlook

Fedde has remained consistent in many areas over the past two seasons, even though he had a limited sample during the abbreviated 2020 campaign. He worked mainly as a starter in 2020, posting a career-best 4.29 ERA and 1.37 WHIP over 50.1 innings. His 5.22 xFIP and 5.44 SIERA suggest that some of his results were due to luck, but both marks were quite similar to his results from 2019. The right-hander averaged a strikeout rate over 20.0% during his first two years in the league, but he's been just above 12% over the past two seasons, while his walk rate has remained steady. Fedde posted a 54.2 GB% in 2020, and was relatively effective at limiting meaningful contact with a 32.5% hard-hit rate. The 28-year-old likely earned the chance to compete for a back-end starting role to begin the season. However, he could wind up serving as a swingman for Washington, which would limit his fantasy value in 2021. Read Past Outlooks

RANKSFrom Preseason

#601

ADP

Overall

League Majors

Bats R

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 6'4"

Weight 200

DOB 2/25/1993

Born Las Vegas, NV

College UNLV

Drafted 1st Rd 2014 WAS

Stuck with fourth loss

PWashington Nationals

May 11, 2021

Fedde (2-4) took the loss Tuesday after allowing three runs on five hits and three walks over five innings in a 6-2 defeat against the Phillies. He struck out four.

ANALYSIS
The right-hander continues to struggle with his command and control. Fedde has issued multiple walks in four straight starts and served up four homers in his last three, leaving him with a 5.29 ERA and 32:16 K:BB through 32.1 innings on the year. Barring a turnaround over the next couple weeks, Fedde remains the most likely candidate to lose his rotation spot when Stephen Strasburg (shoulder) is back.

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Pitching Stats

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2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

2021 MLB Game Log

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2020 MLB Game Log

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2019 MLB Game Log

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2018 MLB Game Log

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2017 MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Pitching Appearances Breakdown

Average Pitch Count

Last 10 Games

Last 5 Games

How many pitches does Erick Fedde generally throw?

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

What part of the game does Erick Fedde generally pitch?

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

% Games Reaching Innings Threshold

% Games By Number of Innings Pitched

Left/Right Pitching Splits

Since 2019

-16%

BAA vs RHP

2021

-24%

BAA vs RHP

2020

-32%

BAA vs LHP

2019

-35%

BAA vs RHP

	BAA	Batters	K	BB	H	2B	3B	HR
Since 2019vs Left	.280	325	39	35	80	13	1	11
Since 2019vs Right	.236	373	62	36	76	19	0	15
2021vs Left	.268	66	12	9	15	3	0	2
2021vs Right	.203	76	20	7	13	4	0	3
2020vs Left	.188	91	8	10	15	1	0	3
2020vs Right	.278	131	20	12	32	8	0	7
2019vs Left	.333	168	19	16	50	9	1	6
2019vs Right	.217	166	22	17	31	7	0	5
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Home/Away Pitching Splits

Since 2019

-46%

ERA on Road

2021

-62%

ERA on Road

2020

Even Split

2019

-63%

ERA on Road

	ERA	WHIP	IP	W	L	SV	K/9	BB/9	HR/9
Since 2019Home	5.71	1.63	93.0	4	8	0	5.7	4.5	1.6
Since 2019Away	3.06	1.11	67.2	4	2	0	5.6	3.2	1.2
2021Home	7.56	1.74	16.2	1	3	0	9.2	4.9	2.2
2021Away	2.87	0.96	15.2	1	1	0	8.6	4.0	0.6
2020Home	4.28	1.57	27.1	0	3	0	4.9	4.0	1.6
2020Away	4.30	1.13	23.0	2	1	0	5.1	3.9	2.0
2019Home	5.88	1.63	49.0	3	2	0	5.0	4.8	1.5
2019Away	2.17	1.17	29.0	1	0	0	4.3	2.2	0.9
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Stat Review

How does Erick Fedde compare to other starting pitchers?

This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

K/BB

2.00

K/9

8.9

BB/9

4.5

HR/9

1.4

Fastball

94.0 mph

ERA

5.29

WHIP

1.36

BABIP

.280

GB/FB

1.34

Left On Base

64.9%

Exit Velocity

80.7 mph

Barrels/BBE

5.0%

Spin Rate

1967 rpm

Balls Hit 95+ MPH

21.5%

Swinging Strike

7.8%

Advanced Pitching Stats

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Defensive Stats

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Stats Vs Today's Lineup

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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Erick Fedde

DraftKings MLB: Tuesday Breakdown

5 days ago

Mike Barner takes stock of Tuesday's DraftKings slate, rolling with a Nationals stack against Chase Anderson and the Phillies.

FanDuel MLB: Tuesday Targets

5 days ago

Chris Bennett reviews Tuesday's slate and thinks Randy Arozarena's playoff power stroke could show up against Yankees left-hander Jordan Montgomery.

Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Aces Not High

8 days ago

Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching, as Shane Bieber is one of the few aces with two starts.

MLB Betting: Wednesday Best Bets

11 days ago

Joe Sheehan offers his best bets on the board for Wednesday's MLB action, including a look at the total in Washington where a pair of shaky bullpens could play a major factor between the Braves and the Nats.

FanDuel MLB: Wednesday Targets

11 days ago

Chris Morgan looks over Wednesday's slate and thinks Alex Bregman is enjoying playing the villain role for the visiting Astros in Yankee Stadium.

Past Fantasy Outlooks

2019

2018

2017

2016

2015

Fedde made 11 starts for the Nationals when not in the minors or on the shelf with a shoulder injury. He wasn't particularly effective when called upon, finishing the season with a 5.54 ERA. His underlying numbers were in line with those of a back-end starter, matching his prospect reports. The righty's 21.2% strikeout rate and 10.1% walk rate were each worse than league average, though neither by a large amount, and he kept the ball on the ground fairly well at a 53.1% clip. He was hurt by the long ball when batters did manage to hit it in the air, however, giving up a 22.2% HR/FB rate, nearly double the league average. If that number regresses this season, Fedde should be able to eat innings at the back of the rotation without hurting the Nationals too much. He looks to be the team's sixth starter heading into the year.

Fedde has the best shot to break camp as Washington's No. 5 starter as of early January, but the Nationals would undoubtedly prefer a better option. Fedde is entering his age-25 season and has made just 21 starts above High-A. His limited experience as a starter in the upper levels is due largely to the Nationals using him as a reliever at Double-A and Triple-A for a good chunk of last season. His slider grades out as a plus pitch, but his 93-mph fastball and improved changeup are just average offerings. Fedde's development brings flashbacks to the days when A.J. Cole was seen as a potential mid-rotation arm, then hit a wall against upper-level hitting and now projects to be a permanent member of the Nationals' bullpen. Fedde will continue to be developed as a starter for now, but he is more likely to develop into a No. 5 starter or setup man than a No. 3 starter.

Few prospects have seen their stock rise more in the last 12 months than Fedde. The 2014 first-round pick continued recovering from Tommy John surgery with flying colors, throwing 121 innings between High-A and Double-A while posting combined 9.1 K/9 and 2.2 BB/9 rates. His fastball returned to the mid-90s with excellent life, his slider flashed as a true out pitch, and he even showed improvement with his changeup. As he's already 23 years old, the Nats have little reason to continue babying him, and it wouldn't be a shock to see him fire his last few frames in the majors. The development of that changeup remains key to his long-term value, as without it Fedde could find himself trying to find a role as a dominant late-inning reliever instead of a starter, but with Giolito and Reynaldo Lopez now in Chicago, the path is cleared for Fedde to challenge for a full-time rotation spot as soon as 2018.

The 18th overall pick in the 2014 draft, Fedde slid out of the top 10 after undergoing Tommy John surgery to close an outstanding career at UNLV. Making his pro debut in late June with short-season Auburn, the right-hander made eight strong starts before a promotion to Low-A Hagerstown to finish the year, and scouting reports had him back in his pre-surgery form with a mid-90s fastball that can touch higher as well as a developing slider and changeup that both have the makings of plus pitches. The Nationals have done very well in handling Lucas Giolito's development following his TJ surgery, and while the college-trained Fedde is older than Giolito, the organization won't likely rush him through the system. Expect the 22-year-old to return to Low-A in 2016 and get a possible midseason promotion if he's earned it, with his major league debut coming no earlier than late 2017.

The Nationals selected Fedde in the first round of the 2014 first-year player draft knowing that he would be rehabbing from Tommy John surgery performed just a month earlier, but given their track record with players like Lucas Giolito, you have to give them some credit for knowing what they're doing. In college, Fedde displayed a low-90s sinking fastball that he could crank up to 96 mph when he needed to, along with a sharp slider and the makings of a useful changeup. If he returns from surgery without a hitch, and used his time off the mound to improve his strength and fitness as well as rehabbing his elbow, he could advance through the Nats' system as quickly as their ultra-cautious plan will allow him. The earliest he'll realistically be knocking on the door of the major league roster is 2018, but keeper league owners who aren't deterred by that timetable could wind up with a gem if they grab him now.

More Fantasy News

Hurt by long ball Wednesday

PWashington Nationals

May 5, 2021

Fedde (2-3) took the loss Wednesday, giving up five runs on five hits and two walks over five innings as the Nationals were downed 5-3 by Atlanta. He struck out three.