Kyle Freeland
Kyle Freeland
27-Year-Old PitcherSP
Colorado Rockies
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Freeland had a career-worst 6.73 ERA in 2019, but his ERA indicators suggested that he may have been relatively unlucky. He got rid of the cutter and introduced a curveball in 2020 while improving to a 4.33 ERA. In addition, his 4.55 xFIP and 4.95 SIERA were similar to his marks from earlier in his career. While 2019's struggles may have been an anomaly, his 15.1 K% during the abbreviated 2020 season ranked second-worst among qualified starters and hindered his fantasy value. The southpaw struggled to limit hard contact in 2019, but he settled down in 2020 with a 5.6% barrel rate and a 51.5 GB% that was sixth-best among qualified starters. Pitchers at Coors Field carry warning labels, but Freeland bounced back over a smaller sample in 2020. He was one of the best at forcing groundballs last season despite his struggles to force strikeouts, and his fantasy outlook is slightly more promising in 2021. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#553
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $5.025 million contract with the Rockies in January of 2021.
Avoids arbitration with Colorado
PColorado Rockies
January 15, 2021
Freeland signed a one-year, $5.025 million contract with the Rockies on Friday to avoid arbitration, Robert Murray of FanSided.com reports.
ANALYSIS
The left-hander rebounded last season with a 4.33 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 46:23 K:BB over 70.2 inning after posting a 6.73 ERA in 2019. Freeland is essentially a lock to begin 2021 in Colorado's starting rotation.
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Pitching Stats
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2020
2019
2018
2017
2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
86
Last 10 Games
86
Last 5 Games
90
How many pitches does Kyle Freeland generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Kyle Freeland generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-14%
BAA vs LHP
2020
Even Split
2019
 
 
-1%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-27%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2018vs Left .232 330 85 24 69 8 1 8
Since 2018vs Right .269 1274 211 106 308 52 12 42
2020vs Left .263 61 14 4 15 1 0 3
2020vs Right .263 226 30 17 54 12 0 5
2019vs Left .298 89 21 4 25 4 0 3
2019vs Right .295 384 58 35 101 17 7 22
2018vs Left .185 180 50 16 29 3 1 2
2018vs Right .255 664 123 54 153 23 5 15
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-19%
ERA on Road
2020
 
 
-6%
ERA on Road
2019
 
 
-50%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-26%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2018Home 4.66 1.39 179.2 13 7 0 6.9 2.8 1.6
Since 2018Away 3.78 1.36 197.2 9 14 0 7.3 3.5 0.9
2020Home 4.46 1.43 38.1 1 1 0 4.9 2.1 1.2
2020Away 4.18 1.39 32.1 1 2 0 7.0 3.9 1.1
2019Home 9.25 1.76 47.2 2 4 0 5.9 3.0 3.0
2019Away 4.61 1.43 56.2 1 7 0 7.6 3.7 1.4
2018Home 2.40 1.17 93.2 10 2 0 8.3 3.0 1.1
2018Away 3.23 1.31 108.2 7 5 0 7.2 3.2 0.5
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Kyle Freeland compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.00
 
K/9
5.9
 
BB/9
2.9
 
HR/9
1.1
 
Fastball
91.9 mph
 
ERA
4.33
 
WHIP
1.42
 
BABIP
.307
 
GB/FB
2.34
 
Left On Base
75.5%
 
Exit Velocity
81.3 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
3.3%
 
Spin Rate
2147 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
24.5%
 
Swinging Strike
10.0%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Kyle Freeland
Mound Musings: A Look at Pitching in the NL West
6 days ago
Brad Johnson’s first column of the season will focus on the NL West, where in Arizona, the Diamondbacks and Madison Bumgarner are in a state of transition.
Collette Calls: Shifting Targets
123 days ago
Jason Collette looks at pulled groundball data to find hitters to fade and pitchers to target late in 2021, including Colorado's German Marquez.
DraftKings MLB: Tuesday Breakdown
155 days ago
Sasha Yodashkin breaks down Tuesday’s 11-game DraftKings slate, providing his picks for assembling a winning lineup.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Down the Stretch They Come
158 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's pitching as the season comes into the final stretch. What's that mean for aces like Gerrit Cole with the playoffs on tap?
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Thursday Picks
160 days ago
Mookie Betts, on the road at Coors Field, is one of Mike Barner’s top Yahoo picks for a short six-game Thursday slate.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
While 2017 and 2018 were seasons testing the theory that you should not draft pitchers in Colorado, 2019 was a harsh reminder that theory has many fans for a reason. Hitters made a lot of loud contact off Freeland, but he had moments where things worked. He had three starts in which he went six or more innings with one or zero earned runs. He also had four starts in which he allowed seven or more earned runs. He is a matchup play right now, as he was crushed at home last year (9.82 ERA), but historically, his home and road ERAs are not even half a run apart. He needs a change in approach against righties as a lineup loaded with righties will give Freeland a lot of trouble. The fastball/cutter life works on the road against lineups with a heavy-lefty presence, but he is otherwise a risky roster asset. This has future long reliever written all over it unless his changeup improves.
Among the bigger surprises in fantasy baseball last year, Freeland went on an extended run in which he seemingly threw six innings and picked up a win every time out. The peripheral numbers and ERA estimators don't paint as rosy a picture (12.2 K-BB%, 3.67 FIP), but keep in mind that he has beaten the publicly-available estimators at literally every single stop since he was drafted with the eighth overall pick in the 2014 first-year player draft. His familiarly with the Denver air -- he grew up there -- seems to help his cause. That may seem like a bunk narrative, but Freeland has posted better numbers at Coors Field than on the road in each of his two seasons. We like German Marquez's chances of sustaining his success more, but Freeland has good command and plenty of job security. Don't write off what he did in 2018 as a total fluke.
Freeland managed to leverage a strong spring training performance into a major-league rotation spot and the results were generally encouraging. In 28 starts and five relief appearances -- the Rockies wanted to limit his workload -- the young southpaw posted a 4.10 ERA and 1.49 ERA. He faded a lot in the second half of the season, as his ERA and WHIP sat at the more respectable levels of 3.77 and 1.40 at the All-Star break. He's just 24 years old, so there's definitely potential for improvement in the coming years. From a fantasy perspective, his K:BB leaves a lot to be desired, but his groundball-heavy approach bodes well as he pitches in Colorado. Freeland appears to have the inside track to the final rotation spot heading into spring training.
Freeland has not quite lived up to expectations as a first-round pick in 2014, but he still may end up being a serviceable big-league hurler. The lefty is a groundball pitcher, which is particularly important since he will play his future home games in the thin air of Colorado. His control is also above-average, and he got stronger in that department as the season progressed; Freeland walked just 19 batters in 73.2 innings at Triple-A to finish the season. The limiting factor is his lack of strikeouts. Freeland managed just 108 strikeouts in 162 combined innings in 2016, and his strikeout rate was no better the season before at High-A. He may be given a chance to compete for a rotation spot in spring training, but Freeland will likely end up back at Triple-A to begin the campaign with the chance to appear in the big leagues as a reliever later in the season.
Freeland may have been out of sight and out of the minds of many for most of 2015, but there are reasons not to forget about the No. 8 pick in the 2014 draft. He has been sidelined for much of his professional career, first with shoulder fatigue, then following a procedure to remove bone chips in his elbow. However, he returned to the mound in late July, first for two starts at rookie ball, and then finishing with seven starts for High-A Modesto. A 4.05 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, and 28:10 K:BB over 46.2 innings across both stops probably won’t excite dynasty league owners, and the lack of strikeouts are particularly concerning, but he gets a bit of pass considering it was his first game action in almost a year. Good size and athleticism should aid him in the upper levels, and if his stuff returns to where it was two years ago, Freeland could still reach his potential as a No. 3 starter.
Following a dazzling junior year at the University of Evansville, Freeland was selected eighth overall by the Rockies in the 2014 first-year player draft. The Rockies made quick work in signing the left-hander, who debuted with their rookie club in July before finishing the season with five starts at Low-A Asheville, where he gave up just two runs and struck out 18 batters over 21.2 innings. The Rockies intentionally capped his pitch counts due to the high number of innings he had thrown for Evansville in the spring, but he’ll be on tap for a full workload in 2015, perhaps opening the season a level up in the California League. The 21-year-old doesn’t have overpowering stuff, but does an excellent job of painting the strike zone with his low-90s fastball, low-80s slider and an improving changeup. His early success has been encouraging and could allow him to rise through the Rockies’ system quickly, but he’ll first need to prove himself against the competition in the upper minors before receiving a big-league shot.
More Fantasy News
Chased early in season finale
PColorado Rockies
September 27, 2020
Freeland (2-3) took the loss Sunday against the Diamondbacks, allowing six runs on eight hits and two walks across 2.1 innings. He struck out two.
ANALYSIS
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Manages no-decision
PColorado Rockies
September 22, 2020
Freeland pitched six innings against San Francisco on Tuesday, allowing two runs on five hits and three walks. He struck out one and did not factor in the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Takes second loss
PColorado Rockies
September 17, 2020
Freeland (2-2) was charged with the loss Thursday against the Dodgers after surrendering four runs on six hits and a pair of walks while striking out five across 6.1 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Notches quality start
PColorado Rockies
September 12, 2020
Freeland hurled six innings against the Angels on Saturday, allowing two runs on four hits and two walks while striking out four. He did not factor in the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Back on track in no-decision
PColorado Rockies
September 7, 2020
Freeland pitched six scoreless innings, allowing three hits and three walks while striking out six in a no-decision versus the Padres on Monday.
ANALYSIS
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