Spencer Turnbull
Spencer Turnbull
28-Year-Old PitcherSP
Detroit Tigers
10-Day IL
Injury Forearm
Est. Return 6/26/2021
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Turnbull is the kind of pitcher that would get us excited in years past when our access to stats was mostly limited to what was on a baseball card. He went .500 for a bad team with a sub-4.00 ERA, a high groundball rate, nary a home run and nearly a strikeout per inning. Below the surface, things do not look as nice. He walks too many batters, gives up quite a bit of hard contact and his outcomes were better than what a pitcher with a 9.1 K-BB% normally enjoys. Nearly every expected stat in his profile portends bad things in 2021 if he repeats the issues with walks from 2020. Conversely, if he found better command and could lean more on his awesome slider, he could take a significant step forward in 2021. The potential is there for this talented arm to go either way, but you should lean toward another year of growing pains. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#433
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $556,100 contract with the Tigers in March of 2019.
No structural damage to forearm
PDetroit Tigers
Forearm
June 6, 2021
Manager A.J. Hinch said Sunday that Turnbull's right forearm is structurally sound after the 28-year-old underwent further medical evaluations, Evan Woodbery of MLive.com reports. "It's muscular in nature," Hinch said of Turnbull's injury. "He does have inflammation he's got to deal with, but we were very happy with the initial diagnosis."
ANALYSIS
The Tigers placed Turnbull on the injured list Saturday with right forearm tightness, a diagnosis he received after being pulled from his start one day earlier. Fortunately for Turnbull, he appears to have avoided a strain of the forearm, and he should be able to treat his injury through rest and rehab while he waits for the inflammation to subside. He remains without a definitive timeline for a return, but one should begin to come into focus once he's cleared to start a throwing program.
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Pitching Stats
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2021
2020
2019
2018
2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
86
Last 10 Games
86
Last 5 Games
92
How many pitches does Spencer Turnbull generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Spencer Turnbull generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-8%
BAA vs RHP
2021
 
 
-24%
BAA vs LHP
2020
 
 
-18%
BAA vs LHP
2019
 
 
-21%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2019vs Left .253 571 112 52 127 25 5 9
Since 2019vs Right .233 516 128 47 106 27 1 9
2021vs Left .176 101 22 6 16 2 1 2
2021vs Right .231 100 22 6 21 5 0 0
2020vs Left .193 129 26 18 21 6 1 0
2020vs Right .236 101 24 10 21 5 0 2
2019vs Left .298 341 64 28 90 17 3 7
2019vs Right .234 315 82 31 64 17 1 7
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-11%
ERA at Home
2021
 
 
-7%
ERA at Home
2020
 
 
-61%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-13%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2019Home 3.90 1.32 136.0 6 13 0 9.0 3.2 0.6
Since 2019Away 4.39 1.33 119.0 5 10 0 7.9 3.9 0.7
2021Home 2.79 1.03 29.0 3 1 0 8.4 2.2 0.3
2021Away 3.00 0.90 21.0 1 1 0 7.3 2.1 0.4
2020Home 2.22 1.09 28.1 3 1 0 7.6 3.5 0.0
2020Away 5.72 1.59 28.1 1 3 0 8.6 5.7 0.6
2019Home 4.92 1.51 78.2 0 11 0 9.7 3.4 0.9
2019Away 4.26 1.35 69.2 3 6 0 7.9 3.7 0.8
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Spencer Turnbull compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.67
 
K/9
7.9
 
BB/9
2.2
 
HR/9
0.4
 
Fastball
94.3 mph
 
ERA
2.88
 
WHIP
0.98
 
BABIP
.265
 
GB/FB
2.50
 
Left On Base
67.1%
 
Exit Velocity
81.3 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
2.5%
 
Spin Rate
2380 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
19.9%
 
Swinging Strike
11.1%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Spencer Turnbull
MLB FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
4 days ago
Jason Shebilske looks at the leading waiver-wire options for the week, including the Ray’s Pete Fairbanks who appears to be the ninth-inning favorite in Tampa Bay.
The Z Files: Spin City
6 days ago
Todd Zola takes a look at the spin rate leaderboards on individual pitches and finds some surprising numbers from veteran hurlers like Adam Wainwright.
Fantasy Baseball Injury Report: Trouble for Mariners' Lewis
13 days ago
Jeff Stotts describes Kyle Lewis' latest knee issue, a meniscus tear in the same knee in which he's had a history of injuries.
MLB Betting: Friday Best Bets
17 days ago
Joe Sheehan is content to fade Shohei Ohtani against the Mariners in his best bets for Friday.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: 99 Baseball Games on the Wall
23 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching, as the schedule is jam-packed with games. Corbin Burnes, though, is one of the few aces with two starts.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
You have to feel for a guy who posts a 3.99 FIP and goes 3-17 on the season over 30 starts. Turnbull had a 22.3 K% last year, but the 9.0 BB% led to a high WHIP. Around those issues, he had nine quality starts and had eight starts where he struck out at least seven batters. He lives off his fastball and breaking balls, which help him hold righties at bay, as they have a .234/.325/.380 slash line against him in the majors. Lefties fare better against him (.296/.364/.432) because Turnbull has yet to come up with an effective pitch that either fades away or cuts in. He has worked on a cutter to give him something against lefties, but either that pitch or finding a changeup is needed for him to narrow his splits. He is better than his W-L record indicates, but there is still room for improvement.
Turnbull earned his first big-league callup in September, starting three games for the Tigers and appearing in another one in relief. He struggled to a 6.06 ERA, a result that isn't too surprising considering he'd only ever made two starts at the Triple-A level prior to his promotion. His underlying numbers in his small sample were actually quite promising, as he struck out a roughly average 21.7% of batters while walking just 5.8%, leading to a 2.85 FIP. His true talent undoubtedly lies somewhere in the large space between his ERA and FIP. On a rebuilding Tigers team, he may be given the chance to show what he can do over a larger sample. The 26-year-old didn't project as anything more than a back-end starter as a prospect, with poor control and no standout secondary pitches.
More Fantasy News
Placed on 10-day IL
PDetroit Tigers
Forearm
June 5, 2021
Turnbull was placed on the 10-day injured list with a right forearm strain Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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Initial results encouraging
PDetroit Tigers
Forearm
June 4, 2021
Turnbull's forearm injury may be simply a muscle strain and not structural, Cody Stavenhagen of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Dealing with right forearm injury
PDetroit Tigers
Forearm
June 4, 2021
Turnbull was removed from Friday's game against the White Sox due to right forearm tightness.
ANALYSIS
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Secures fourth win
PDetroit Tigers
May 29, 2021
Turnbull (4-2) earned the win over the Yankees on Saturday, pitching 5.2 innings and allowing one run on three hits and three walks while striking out six.
ANALYSIS
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Logs quality start in no-decision
PDetroit Tigers
May 24, 2021
Turnbull allowed three runs across six innings and did not factor into the decision in Monday's loss to Cleveland. He gave up seven hits and a walk while striking out three.
ANALYSIS
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