Ryan Yarbrough
Ryan Yarbrough
29-Year-Old PitcherSP
Tampa Bay Rays
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Yarbrough appeared almost exclusively as a starter last season for the first time in his three-year career, starting nine games while appearing in relief twice. He cruised to a career-best 3.56 ERA, though the ERA estimators were slightly more pessimistic, as his 3.87 FIP and 4.33 xFIP both sat at roughly the midpoint between his marks from the two previous seasons. His strikeout rate fell to a career-low 18.8%, but when combined with a strong 5.1 BB%, it was generally enough to get the job done. Yarbrough should remain one of the Rays' primary rotation options this season, especially after the departure of Charlie Morton, and there's every reason to believe he'll remain a serviceable starter heading into his age-29 season, albeit a fairly low-ceiling one for fantasy purposes given his consistently mediocre strikeout rates. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#259
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $2.3 million contract with the Rays in February of 2021.
Loses arbitration case
PTampa Bay Rays
February 13, 2021
Yarbrough has lost his arbitration case against the Rays and will earn $2.3 million in 2021, Mark Feinsand of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Yarbrough had filed at $3.1 million during his arbitration case, but he'll have to settle for $800,000 less. The southpaw should take on a more prominent role in the Rays' rotation this year after Blake Snell was traded to the Padres during the offseason. Yarbrough made 11 appearances (nine starts) in 2020, posting a 3.56 ERA and 1.19 WHIP over 55.2 innings.
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Pitching Stats
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2020
2019
2018
2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
67
Last 10 Games
61
Last 5 Games
47
How many pitches does Ryan Yarbrough generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Ryan Yarbrough generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-9%
BAA vs LHP
2020
 
 
-3%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-1%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-23%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2018vs Left .223 368 88 29 73 20 1 10
Since 2018vs Right .246 1048 198 53 239 61 2 28
2020vs Left .259 61 11 4 14 2 0 1
2020vs Right .250 164 30 8 37 7 0 4
2019vs Left .231 144 30 9 30 10 1 4
2019vs Right .228 419 87 11 91 21 2 11
2018vs Left .201 163 47 16 29 8 0 5
2018vs Right .262 465 81 34 111 33 0 13
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-24%
ERA on Road
2020
 
 
-11%
ERA on Road
2019
 
 
-41%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-9%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2018Home 4.55 1.24 166.1 12 9 0 7.5 2.2 1.1
Since 2018Away 3.45 1.07 175.0 16 7 0 7.5 2.2 0.9
2020Home 4.03 1.30 22.1 1 1 0 6.9 1.6 1.6
2020Away 3.60 1.13 30.0 0 3 0 6.9 2.4 0.3
2019Home 5.46 1.25 57.2 2 3 0 7.6 1.7 1.1
2019Away 3.21 0.82 84.0 9 3 0 7.3 1.0 0.9
2018Home 4.07 1.22 86.1 9 5 0 7.6 2.6 1.0
2018Away 3.69 1.39 61.0 7 1 0 8.1 3.7 1.2
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Ryan Yarbrough compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.67
 
K/9
7.1
 
BB/9
1.9
 
HR/9
0.8
 
Fastball
87.4 mph
 
ERA
3.56
 
WHIP
1.19
 
BABIP
.303
 
GB/FB
1.75
 
Left On Base
74.6%
 
Exit Velocity
76.8 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
3.7%
 
Spin Rate
2054 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
19.1%
 
Swinging Strike
13.4%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2016
Yarbrough worked in the bulk role again in 2019, but early on, his season was disastrous. He was sent down to Triple-A after five appearances to begin the season with an 8.10 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. If it could have gone wrong for him in April, it did. He went down to Durham and tinkered with his approach, deciding to throw his below-average fastball less and add more cutters and sliders...and it worked! He was recalled May 23 and went 9-2 with a 2.55 ERA and 0.87 WHIP until hitting a wall in September where his numbers went back to their April form. Yarbrough is not a starter as he is ideally suited for the bulk role with this limited repertoire. When his command is on, he is excellent at inducing weak contact and generating infield popups and cans of corn to the outfield. He gets hurt when he fails to execute, so a misplaced fastball or a flat cutter becomes a rocket to or over the wall.
With the implementation of the opener in Major League Baseball also came the introduction of the primary pitcher. That was Yarbrough's primary role in 2018. He totaled 147.1 innings despite making just six starts in 38 appearances, and the results were relatively strong despite underwhelming peripherals. He didn't even crack 90 mph on average with his fastball, but his slider and cutter were effective enough against left-handed batters. It was a different story against right-handed hitters -- 10.1 K-BB%, .324 wOBA, 4.34 FIP. Further, Yarbrough's ERA jumped from 2.63 the first time through to 4.29 the second time through (as a reliever), which suggests that both Yarbrough and the team may be better off shortening him up. Factor in the caliber of the offenses in his own division and Yarbrough looks like a low-upside pitcher with the downside of a true middle reliever, so waiver-wire fodder in mixed leagues.
Yarbrough spent the majority of 2015 with High-A Bakersfield in the California League, where he finished with a 4-7 record and 3.76 ERA in 16 starts. He posted a 4.11 strikeout-to-walk ratio, .266 batting average against, and 1.28 WHIP. Part of his high batting average against can likely be explained by his .324 BABIP, which was much higher than the .266 BABIP he finished with in 2014. Yarbrough had a groin injury in June that sent him to the 7-day DL, but should be healthy to start 2016. Yarbrough's arsenal of pitches includes an average fastball and curveball to go along with an excellent change-up. He moved up from number 11 to number eight on the Mariners prospect rankings during 2015 and is estimated to make the MLB during 2016. Scouts believe has back-of-the-rotation potential, but will most likely end up in the bullpen long-term. If Yarbrough pitches well to start 2016, there is a good chance he could be called-up to the MLB at some point as a lefty reliever.
More Fantasy News
Lasts 3.1 frames in Game 4
PTampa Bay Rays
October 25, 2020
Yarbrough didn't factor in the decision in Game 4 of the World Series against the Rays on Saturday. He allowed two runs on five hits with one strikeout and one walk across 3.1 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Starting Game 4
PTampa Bay Rays
October 23, 2020
Yarbrough will start Game 4 of the World Series against the Dodgers on Saturday, Juan Toribio of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Picks up win in Game 3
PTampa Bay Rays
October 14, 2020
Yarbrough allowed two runs on three hits and two walks while striking out five over five innings as he earned the win Tuesday during Game 3 of the ALCS against the Astros.
ANALYSIS
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No-decision as primary pitcher
PTampa Bay Rays
October 9, 2020
Montgomery gave up two runs on six hits and one walk over five innings during a loss to the Yankees on Thursday in Game 4 of the ALDS. He had one strikeout and didn't factor in the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Serving as primary pitcher Saturday
PTampa Bay Rays
September 26, 2020
Yarbrough will serve as the primary pitcher for Saturday's game against the Phillies.
ANALYSIS
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