Matt Duffy
Matt Duffy
30-Year-Old Third Baseman3B
Chicago Cubs
2021 Fantasy Outlook
There was no outlook written for Matt Duffy in 2021. Check out the latest news below for more on his current fantasy value.
$Signed a one-year contract with the Cubs in December of 2020.
Starting Sunday
3BChicago Cubs
May 2, 2021
Duffy is starting at third base and batting fifth in Sunday's game against the Reds.
ANALYSIS
Duffy will be making his second start of the weekend series, as the Cubs have been using Kris Bryant in the outfield more frequently with Joc Pederson (wrist) on the injured list. Pederson is traveling with the team but has yet to be activated, so Duffy should continue to have some short-term fantasy value with the elevated playing time. He's slashing .275/.408/.300 through 40 at-bats this season.
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Batting Stats
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2021
2019
2018
2017
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
3
1
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
2
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+24%
OPS vs RHP
2021
 
 
+19%
OPS vs LHP
2020
No Stats
2019
 
 
+45%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019vs Left .611 87 9 0 6 3 .208 .333 .278
Since 2019vs Right .756 145 14 1 11 0 .299 .386 .370
2021vs Left .888 21 5 0 3 3 .353 .476 .412
2021vs Right .748 42 6 0 2 0 .286 .405 .343
2020vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019vs Left .524 66 4 0 3 0 .164 .288 .236
2019vs Right .759 103 8 1 9 0 .304 .379 .380
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+21%
OPS on Road
2021
 
 
+3%
OPS at Home
2020
No Stats
2019
 
 
+39%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019Home .632 105 9 0 6 1 .233 .343 .289
Since 2019Away .762 127 14 1 11 2 .294 .386 .376
2021Home .804 36 6 0 4 1 .323 .417 .387
2021Away .778 27 5 0 1 2 .286 .444 .333
2020Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019Home .542 69 3 0 2 0 .186 .304 .237
2019Away .756 100 9 1 10 0 .295 .370 .386
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Stat Review
How does Matt Duffy compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.90
 
BB Rate
14.3%
 
K Rate
15.9%
 
BABIP
.381
 
ISO
.058
 
AVG
.308
 
OBP
.429
 
SLG
.365
 
OPS
.794
 
wOBA
.366
 
Exit Velocity
82.2 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
23.8%
 
Barrels/PA
1.6%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Clay Link looks at appearances by position and makes note of multi-position eligibility and lost eligibility for 2020.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
Duffy's tenure with the Rays came to an unceremonious end as they released him after three-plus injury-filled seasons. Duffy played only 199 games for the club, missing 2017 entirely. He left after compiling a .284/.351/.356 slash line for Tampa Bay. While he wasn't expected to be a slugger, more pop was anticipated after he bopped a dozen homers with the Giants in 2015. Duffy played only 46 games in his final season with the Rays, debuting July 23 after extended rehab for a hamstring strain incurred in the spring. It's rare a hitter's on-base rate is higher than his slugging percentage, but that's what Duffy recorded with his .252/.342/.327 slash. Entering his age-29 season, Duffy is young enough to resurrect his career, but he'll likely have to do it via a minor-league contract and find a way to add more oomph to his skill set.
There were 140 qualified batters last year that had at least 502 plate appearances on the season. Duffy ranked 140th in ISO in that group with a .072 mark. There were four pitchers (minimum 50 PA) that had higher ISO scores than Duffy last year. Yes, Duffy hit for a high average and reached base at a career-best .361 clip, and tied a career-high with 12 steals, but these numbers are near impossible to roster in standard mixed leagues since he only qualifies at third base. He has the OBP skills to hit high in the order, and even lead off, but putting him in the middle of the order would be troublesome because he simply lacks consistent extra-base power. His best swing is one where he filets the ball to the opposite field, which helps push his average up as opposing defenses cannot shift him in the traditional sense. In two-strike counts, teams would be wise to reverse shift him and force him to roll over on something to the shortstop.
Duffy injured his heel prior to the 2017 season, and various setbacks prevented him from making a single appearance during the campaign. Prior to missing the 2017 season, he'd played in just 91 games in 2016 due to an Achilles injury. At this point in time, Duffy is in line to be healthy for spring training. The Rays retained the arb-eligible Adeiny Hechavarria, maintaining an insurance policy in case Duffy's injury issues rear their ugly head once again. With a career line of .281/.324/.395 and a modest 15.4 percent strikeout rate, Duffy has built a respectable resume at the big-league level, but his power is modest and that limits his appeal at a suddenly talent-rich shortstop position. Considering his history of injuries, it wouldn't be a surprise if Tampa Bay limited Duffy's usage during the early stages of the upcoming season.
Duffy's star-crossed 2016 included a slow start in San Francisco, a trade deadline move to the Rays, and season-ending Achilles surgery in early September. Despite the hiccup, he's on track to be fully ready for spring training. Duffy is expected to take the reins as the starting shortstop in the coming season and will look to produce numbers much closer to his solid 2015 rookie season with the Giants, when he slashed .295/.334/.428 with 12 homers and 77 RBI. The 25-year-old saw a regression in all of those categories last season over 246 fewer plate appearances than the prior year. With a clean start and full health, however, Duffy could prove to be a valuable source of fantasy production in multiple categories, particularly extra-base hits, RBI, stolen bases, batting average and OBP.
Other than teammate Brandon Crawford, Duffy has to be considered one of the more pleasant fantasy surprises of 2015. Never a highly-regarded prospect, Duffy had to hit his way onto the 25-man roster in spring training. He did just that, and never stopped hitting, forcing the Giants' hand to make him their everyday third baseman following the release of Casey McGehee. Despite never hitting more than five home runs in the minors, Duffy finished the 2015 season with 12 to go along with 77 RBI and 12 stolen bases. While those numbers aren't astronomical, they definitely were useful to fantasy owners who likely picked him up for nothing. Unlike fellow Rookie of the Year finalist, Kris Bryant, Duffy doesn't have a very high ceiling. What we saw from him in 2015 is probably what we are going to see going forward, but there is definitely value in that.
Duffy was an 18th-round pick out of Long Beach State in 2012 and he has ascended the minor leagues with little fanfare. Since being drafted by the Giants, he's shown major strides in his ability at the plate, hitting .332/.398/.444 with a 10.1% walk rate and stealing 20 bases at Double-A Richmond in 2014 to earn a big-league callup as part of the revolving door at second base. Duffy was overmatched during his taste of San Francisco, but he's hitting enough in the minors to be considered a potential utility option in the not-so-distant future. With a 6-foot-2 frame, he may eventually develop more power, but it hasn't surfaced in the form of home runs yet. Duffy has been used primarily as a shortstop in the minors, and he may become a coveted trade target by teams looking for a utilityman capable of exceeding expectations. Look for Duffy to advance to Triple-A in 2015, where he'll likely spend most of the season unless injuries ravage the team's infield depth.
More Fantasy News
Records three hits in big win
3BChicago Cubs
April 21, 2021
Duffy went 3-for-4 with a walk, two runs scored and three RBI in Wednesday's 16-4 win over the Mets.
ANALYSIS
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Returns from COVID IL
3BChicago Cubs
April 16, 2021
Duffy was activated from the COVID-19 injured list Friday.
ANALYSIS
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Lands on COVID-19 injured list
3BChicago Cubs
Undisclosed
April 13, 2021
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Makes roster
3BChicago Cubs
March 28, 2021
Duffy had his contract selected by the Cubs on Sunday and will be on the Opening Day roster, Sahadev Sharma of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Two hits Monday
3BChicago Cubs
March 22, 2021
Duffy went 2-for-4 with a double and an RBI in Monday's Cactus League game against the Angels.
ANALYSIS
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