Matt Duffy
Matt Duffy
28-Year-Old Third Baseman3B
Tampa Bay Rays
2019 Fantasy Outlook
There were 140 qualified batters last year that had at least 502 plate appearances on the season. Duffy ranked 140th in ISO in that group with a .072 mark. There were four pitchers (minimum 50 PA) that had higher ISO scores than Duffy last year. Yes, Duffy hit for a high average and reached base at a career-best .361 clip, and tied a career-high with 12 steals, but these numbers are near impossible to roster in standard mixed leagues since he only qualifies at third base. He has the OBP skills to hit high in the order, and even lead off, but putting him in the middle of the order would be troublesome because he simply lacks consistent extra-base power. His best swing is one where he filets the ball to the opposite field, which helps push his average up as opposing defenses cannot shift him in the traditional sense. In two-strike counts, teams would be wise to reverse shift him and force him to roll over on something to the shortstop. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a one-year, $2.68 million contract with the Rays in January of 2019, avoiding arbitration.
Avoids arbitration with Rays
3BTampa Bay Rays
January 11, 2019
Duffy signed a one-year, $2.675 million contract with the Rays on Friday to avoid arbitration, Robert Murray of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
Duffy played in 132 games last season and slahed .294/.361/.366 but hit only four home runs, and featured an abysmal .071 ISO. The 27-year-old saw all of his time in the field at third base, and his limited power severely hampers the fantasy appeal of his solid average and on-base numbers.
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Batting Stats
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Minor League Game Log
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+1%
OPS vs LHP
2018
 
 
+2%
OPS vs RHP
2017
No Stats
2016
 
 
+7%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016vs Left .711 255 26 3 20 3 .277 .358 .353
Since 2016vs Right .701 671 74 6 52 17 .281 .335 .366
2018vs Left .718 150 16 1 14 2 .288 .369 .348
2018vs Right .731 410 43 3 30 10 .296 .359 .372
2017vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2016vs Left .702 105 10 2 6 1 .261 .343 .359
2016vs Right .654 261 31 3 22 7 .257 .297 .357
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+35%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+13%
OPS at Home
2017
No Stats
2016
 
 
+88%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016Home .809 464 53 1 33 14 .338 .399 .411
Since 2016Away .598 462 47 8 39 6 .223 .283 .315
2018Home .774 271 31 0 18 8 .325 .395 .379
2018Away .683 289 28 4 26 4 .266 .330 .354
2017Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2016Home .858 193 22 1 15 6 .356 .404 .454
2016Away .456 173 19 4 13 2 .151 .205 .252
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Stat Review
How does Matt Duffy compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB/K
0.51
 
BB Rate
8.4%
 
K Rate
16.6%
 
BABIP
.353
 
ISO
.072
 
AVG
.294
 
OBP
.361
 
SLG
.366
 
OPS
.727
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Rays Depth Chart
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Matt Duffy
The Z Files: Historical Top 200
74 days ago
Todd Zola takes a look at the end-of-season top-200 performers over the last five years and thinks Charlie Blackmon's being discounted too heavily in early drafts given his track record.
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Sunday Picks
122 days ago
Salvador Perez's numbers may be down compared to previous seasons, but Chris Morgan says he remains a power threat against Daniel Norris and the Tigers.
FanDuel MLB: Thursday Value Plays
153 days ago
Chris Morgan breaks down the Thursday FanDuel slate as Ozzie Albies has a good matchup against the Marlins.
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Thursday Picks
153 days ago
Adam Zdroik advises that the options are limited for tonight’s small slate. He suggests Oakland first baseman Matt Olson, who brings some power to the plate with 19 homers and a .239 ISO against righty arms.
The Z Files: Prepping For the Stretch Run
167 days ago
Todd Zola breaks down what sort of production you can expect over the final quarter of the season, even if you're rostering a surging player like Matt Carpenter.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
Duffy injured his heel prior to the 2017 season, and various setbacks prevented him from making a single appearance during the campaign. Prior to missing the 2017 season, he'd played in just 91 games in 2016 due to an Achilles injury. At this point in time, Duffy is in line to be healthy for spring training. The Rays retained the arb-eligible Adeiny Hechavarria, maintaining an insurance policy in case Duffy's injury issues rear their ugly head once again. With a career line of .281/.324/.395 and a modest 15.4 percent strikeout rate, Duffy has built a respectable resume at the big-league level, but his power is modest and that limits his appeal at a suddenly talent-rich shortstop position. Considering his history of injuries, it wouldn't be a surprise if Tampa Bay limited Duffy's usage during the early stages of the upcoming season.
Duffy's star-crossed 2016 included a slow start in San Francisco, a trade deadline move to the Rays, and season-ending Achilles surgery in early September. Despite the hiccup, he's on track to be fully ready for spring training. Duffy is expected to take the reins as the starting shortstop in the coming season and will look to produce numbers much closer to his solid 2015 rookie season with the Giants, when he slashed .295/.334/.428 with 12 homers and 77 RBI. The 25-year-old saw a regression in all of those categories last season over 246 fewer plate appearances than the prior year. With a clean start and full health, however, Duffy could prove to be a valuable source of fantasy production in multiple categories, particularly extra-base hits, RBI, stolen bases, batting average and OBP.
Other than teammate Brandon Crawford, Duffy has to be considered one of the more pleasant fantasy surprises of 2015. Never a highly-regarded prospect, Duffy had to hit his way onto the 25-man roster in spring training. He did just that, and never stopped hitting, forcing the Giants' hand to make him their everyday third baseman following the release of Casey McGehee. Despite never hitting more than five home runs in the minors, Duffy finished the 2015 season with 12 to go along with 77 RBI and 12 stolen bases. While those numbers aren't astronomical, they definitely were useful to fantasy owners who likely picked him up for nothing. Unlike fellow Rookie of the Year finalist, Kris Bryant, Duffy doesn't have a very high ceiling. What we saw from him in 2015 is probably what we are going to see going forward, but there is definitely value in that.
Duffy was an 18th-round pick out of Long Beach State in 2012 and he has ascended the minor leagues with little fanfare. Since being drafted by the Giants, he's shown major strides in his ability at the plate, hitting .332/.398/.444 with a 10.1% walk rate and stealing 20 bases at Double-A Richmond in 2014 to earn a big-league callup as part of the revolving door at second base. Duffy was overmatched during his taste of San Francisco, but he's hitting enough in the minors to be considered a potential utility option in the not-so-distant future. With a 6-foot-2 frame, he may eventually develop more power, but it hasn't surfaced in the form of home runs yet. Duffy has been used primarily as a shortstop in the minors, and he may become a coveted trade target by teams looking for a utilityman capable of exceeding expectations. Look for Duffy to advance to Triple-A in 2015, where he'll likely spend most of the season unless injuries ravage the team's infield depth.
More Fantasy News
Unlikely to return Sunday
3BTampa Bay Rays
Quadriceps
September 29, 2018
Duffy (quadriceps) is not expected to return for Sunday's season finale against the Blue Jays, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Held out Saturday
3BTampa Bay Rays
Quadriceps
September 29, 2018
Duffy (quadriceps) is not in the lineup for Saturday's game against the Blue Jays, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Remains out of Friday's lineup
3BTampa Bay Rays
Quadriceps
September 28, 2018
Duffy (quadriceps) is out of the lineup for Friday's game against the Blue Jays, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Held out Thursday
3BTampa Bay Rays
Quadriceps
September 27, 2018
Duffy (quadriceps) is not in the lineup against the Yankees on Thursday, Marc Topkin of The Tampa Bay Times reports.
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Exits with quad issue
3BTampa Bay Rays
Quadriceps
September 26, 2018
Duffy was removed from Wednesday's game against the Yankees with right quad tightness, Steve Carney of Sports Radio 620 WDAE reports.
ANALYSIS
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