Ozzie Albies
Ozzie Albies
22-Year-Old Second Baseman2B
Atlanta Braves
2019 Fantasy Outlook
The performance of young players after the break is often considered telling. If that’s the case, why is Albies getting a pass, despite a huge second half swoon? Albies posted a .834 OPS and 120 wRC+ before the break compared to a .624 OPS and 67 wRC+ after. His strikeout rate rose 1.5%, but that’s not enough to account for the disparity. The culprit was a 32-point dip in BABIP, fueled by a drop in hard-hit rate. Medium-hits balls carry the lowest BABIP and 60 percent of Albies' second-half contact was of that variety. Accordingly, his 14.7% first-half HR/FB plummeted to 5.6% post-break. Conveniently omitted is Albies isn’t just young, he did this as a 21-year-old sophomore. Albies' overall game remains impressive at his age, but he could be in danger of hitting lower in the Braves' order if he doesn’t get off to a fast start, depriving him of some counting stat volume. The power/speed combo is enticing, just beware it’s not risk-free. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a seven-year, $35 million contract extension with the Braves in April of 2019. Contract includes $7 million team options for 2026 and 2027.
Three hits in win
2BAtlanta Braves
July 16, 2019
Albies went 3-for-4 with a double and a run scored in Monday's win over the Brewers.
The 22-year-old has been raking in July, delivering six multi-hit performances in 10 games to fuel a .395/.425/.632 slash line. Albies' fantasy value may seem vaguely disappointing due to his lack of activity on the basepaths -- he's just 7-for-9 on steal attempts this year despite plus speed -- but his .293 batting average, 14 homers, 50 RBI and 58 runs on the year give him a strong foundation in most formats.
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Batting Stats
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
Since 2017vs Left .948 344 55 15 47 5 .351 .379 .569
Since 2017vs Right .733 989 142 29 103 24 .248 .310 .423
2019vs Left 1.056 88 16 5 19 2 .400 .409 .647
2019vs Right .767 317 42 9 31 5 .261 .334 .433
2018vs Left .905 196 28 8 20 2 .335 .357 .548
2018vs Right .696 488 77 16 52 12 .231 .283 .412
2017vs Left .926 60 11 2 8 1 .327 .407 .519
2017vs Right .773 184 23 4 20 7 .273 .337 .436
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
OPS at Home
OPS at Home
OPS on Road
OPS on Road
Since 2017Home .818 672 105 20 71 9 .286 .344 .475
Since 2017Away .761 661 92 24 79 20 .264 .311 .450
2019Home .992 202 34 10 27 3 .335 .381 .611
2019Away .673 203 24 4 23 4 .250 .320 .353
2018Home .729 337 55 9 32 5 .267 .318 .412
2018Away .783 347 50 15 40 9 .256 .292 .491
2017Home .779 133 16 1 12 1 .261 .353 .426
2017Away .845 111 18 5 16 7 .314 .355 .490
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Stat Review
How does Ozzie Albies compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against this season's data (min 200 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB Rate
K Rate
Exit Velocity
88.8 mph
Hard Hit Rate
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
Albies got the call to the majors on Aug. 1 and hit the ground running, flashing the well-rounded skill set that made him a top prospect in baseball. At 20 years old, the switch-hitting Albies displayed advanced plate skills, posting a .347 wOBA in 244 plate appearances. He's not an imposing presence in the batter's box at 5-foot-9, 160 pounds, but Albies has excellent bat speed and he used that to generate above-average game power (.171 ISO, 33.2 percent hard-hit rate). He also went 8-for-9 on the basepaths, and when it was all said and done, Albies was worth roughly two wins above replacement in just 57 games. Albies' ability to make consistent contact gives him a solid floor in batting average, and he runs at a time when stolen bases are on the decline league-wide. The power is just the cherry on top. He could end up being a significant bargain in drafts and auctions, even with spring helium.
Regardless of how well he has hit or how many bases he has stolen, the most impressive thing about Albies has always been his age relative to the players he is playing against. In 2014, he was a 17-year-old hitting .356 in the Appalachian League. The next year he finished fourth in the Sally League with a .310 average while being the fourth youngest player in the league. This past season he was the youngest player at Double-A, but that didn't stop him from winning the Southern League batting title by hitting .321, earning a 56-game run at Triple-A as a 19-year-old. Indeed, the word "advanced" sufficiently sums up Albies' game. The Braves chose Dansby Swanson as the shortstop of the future, meaning Albies' future is at the keystone. He will likely start 2017 with Triple-A Gwinnett -- an absurd reality for a player who turned 20 in January, but even more ridiculous is the fact that his time there may be brief.
The diminutive shortstop continued to gain acclaim in prospect circles last year, slashing .310/.368/.404 with 29 steals on 37 attempts, while posting an impressive 56:36 K:BB in 439 plate appearances as an 18-year-old with Low-A Rome. In addition to an excellent hit tool and plus speed, he also projects to be a plus defender at shortstop. These attributes will push Albies into the top-25 of most real-life prospect lists, but dynasty league owners should pump the brakes. The first knock on Albies is that he offers low single-digit home run power. The second strike against him is that he is three years away from the big leagues. His upside is that of Elvis Andrus, who has been a fine fantasy shortstop, but by no means a building block on teams that win dynasty leagues. Albies' 2015 season was cut short after he suffered a hairline fracture in his thumb in August, but he should be ready for the start of the season.
Albies, a native of Curacao, hit .364/.446/.444 with 22 stolen bases in 27 attempts in 57 games between the Gulf Coast League and the Appalachian League as a 17-year-old in 2014. The power isn't there, and his slight frame (5-foot-9, 150 pounds) doesn't lend a whole lot of hope to him developing much in time, but he has a plus hit tool and an advanced eye at the plate for his age (28:23 BB:K last season). It remains to be seen how aggressively the Braves will push him through the system, but Albies is likely several years away from reaching the majors regardless, and it's possible his future could be with another organization, with the tandem of Andrelton Simmons and Jose Peraza expected to hold down the middle-infield spots in Atlanta for years to come.
More Fantasy News
Keys extra-inning rally
2BAtlanta Braves
July 13, 2019
Ablies went 2-for-5 with an RBI, a run scored and a stolen base in a 7-5 win over the Padres on Saturday.
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On fire heading into break
2BAtlanta Braves
July 8, 2019
Albies went 2-for-3 with a walk in Sunday's win over the Marlins.
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Slugs three-run homer
2BAtlanta Braves
July 5, 2019
Albies went 2-for-3 with a three-run home run in a victory over Philadelphia on Thursday.
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Returns to action
2BAtlanta Braves
July 2, 2019
Albies (elbow) is starting at second base and batting eighth Tuesday against the Phillies.
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Sidelined Sunday
2BAtlanta Braves
June 30, 2019
Albies (elbow) is not in the lineup for Sunday's game versus the Mets.
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